Burcu Hacibedel

Last Updated: April 30, 2024

Burcu Hacibedel

Burcu Hacibedel is a senior economist in the IMF’s European Department. She holds PhD, MPhil and MBA degrees from the University of Oxford (UK), Her research interests include AI, machine-learning based financial modelling, international finance, macro-financial policy, corporate vulnerabilities, crypto-asset risks, NBFIs and asset pricing.

Personal WebPage: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=rxttoymaaaaj&hl=en

Fluent In: French, German, Turkish.

Education:

MBA, University of Oxford

MPhil, University of Oxford

DPhil (PhD), University of Oxford


Previous Experience:

Central Bank of Sweden/SIFR, Research Fellow

Erasmus University (the Netherlands), Assistant Professor (tenure track)

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Economist

European Investment Bank (EIB), Economist (seconded from the OECD)


Other Professional Positions:

Banking (Istanbul, Turkey), Trader


Country work or Mission Assignment:

Chile, Denmark, El Salvador, Gabon, Sao Tome and Principe, Sweden, Sudan, Togo


Teaching:

University of Oxford, College Lecturer/Tutor in Economics

Erasmus University, Assistant Professor of Finance (tenure track)

IMF Institute: Financial Market Analysis(FMAx), Financial Sector Surveillance, Financial Programming, Financial Sector Policies, Economic Issues in Regional Integration, Systemic Risk and Macroprudential Policy (IET course), Fiscal Policy Analysis


Field of Expertise:

Macro-Financial Issues

International Finance

Banking

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Inequality in Good and Bad Times: A Cross-Country Approach , Working Paper No. 19/20 , January 22, 2019

Changing Times for Frontier Markets : A Perspective from Portfolio Investment Flows and Financial Integration , Working Paper No. 16/177 , August 23, 2016

The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries , Occasional Paper No. 277 , October 04, 2013

IMF Country Reports

Denmark: 2023 Article IV Consultation

El Salvador: 2021 Article IV Consultation

Chile : 2018 Article IV Consultation

Democratic Republic of São Tomé and Príncipe : 2016 Article IV Consultation, First Review under the Extended Credit Facility

Gabon: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report;

Sudan: First Review Under the Staff Monitored Program

Togo: Staff Report for 2013 Article IV Consultation

IMF Occasional Papers, Pamphlets, and Special Issues Papers

Bal-Gunduz, Y., C. Ebeke, B. Hacibedel, L. Kaltani, V. Kehayova, C. Lane, C. Mumssen, N. Mwase, and J. Thornton, 2013. "The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries", IMF Occasional Papers no. 277, International Monetary Fund.

iMFdirect Blog Posts

Countries Should Act Now to Limit Rising Risks from Corporate Distress, January 2023

IMF Blog (with P. Muthoora), June 2019, "To Reduce Inequality Employ Young People"

Selected Issue

Chile 2018 Selected Issues: Private Sector Indebtedness in Chile

Democratic Republic of São Tomé and Príncipe : Selected Issues, Mainstreaming Macro-Financial Linkages

Other Published Materials

Assessing Macrofinancial Risks from Crypto Assets (with Hector Perez-Saiz), 2023, IMF WP 2023/214

Hacibedel, B and R. Qu, 2022, "Understanding and Predicting Systemic Corporate Distress: A Machine-Learning Approach", IMF Working Paper No. 2022/153

"Good Jobs for Young People: A Policy Imperative to Reduce Inequality", 2020, IMF Research Perspectives, Spring/Summer 2020, Vol.22 no.1 (with Priscilla Muthoora)

Inequality in Good and Bad Times: A Cross-country Approach, 2019, IMF Working Paper 19/20

Changing Times for Frontier Markets : A Perspective from Portfolio Investment Flows and Financial Integration, 2016. IMF Working Paper No. 16/177

Small States' Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change - Role for the IMF, Financing Approaches, 2016, IMF Policy Paper

"Good Jobs for Young People: A Policy Imperative to Reduce Inequality", 2020, IMF Research Perspectives, Spring/Summer 2020, Vol.22 no.1 (with Priscilla Muthoora)

Burcu Hacibedel

Burcu Hacibedel is a senior economist in the IMF’s European Department. She holds PhD, MPhil and MBA degrees from the University of Oxford (UK), Her research interests include AI, machine-learning based financial modelling, international finance, macro-financial policy, corporate vulnerabilities, crypto-asset risks, NBFIs and asset pricing.

Personal WebPage: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=rxttoymaaaaj&hl=en

Fluent In: French, German, Turkish.

Education:

MBA, University of Oxford

MPhil, University of Oxford

DPhil (PhD), University of Oxford


Previous Experience:

Central Bank of Sweden/SIFR, Research Fellow

Erasmus University (the Netherlands), Assistant Professor (tenure track)

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Economist

European Investment Bank (EIB), Economist (seconded from the OECD)


Other Professional Positions:

Banking (Istanbul, Turkey), Trader


Country work or Mission Assignment:

Chile, Denmark, El Salvador, Gabon, Sao Tome and Principe, Sweden, Sudan, Togo


Teaching:

University of Oxford, College Lecturer/Tutor in Economics

Erasmus University, Assistant Professor of Finance (tenure track)

IMF Institute: Financial Market Analysis(FMAx), Financial Sector Surveillance, Financial Programming, Financial Sector Policies, Economic Issues in Regional Integration, Systemic Risk and Macroprudential Policy (IET course), Fiscal Policy Analysis


Field of Expertise:

Macro-Financial Issues

International Finance

Banking

IMF Books and Working Papers:

Inequality in Good and Bad Times: A Cross-Country Approach , Working Paper No. 19/20 , January 22, 2019

Changing Times for Frontier Markets : A Perspective from Portfolio Investment Flows and Financial Integration , Working Paper No. 16/177 , August 23, 2016

The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries , Occasional Paper No. 277 , October 04, 2013

IMF Country Reports

Denmark: 2023 Article IV Consultation

El Salvador: 2021 Article IV Consultation

Chile : 2018 Article IV Consultation

Democratic Republic of São Tomé and Príncipe : 2016 Article IV Consultation, First Review under the Extended Credit Facility

Gabon: 2014 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report;

Sudan: First Review Under the Staff Monitored Program

Togo: Staff Report for 2013 Article IV Consultation

IMF Occasional Papers, Pamphlets, and Special Issues Papers

Bal-Gunduz, Y., C. Ebeke, B. Hacibedel, L. Kaltani, V. Kehayova, C. Lane, C. Mumssen, N. Mwase, and J. Thornton, 2013. "The Economic Impact of IMF-Supported Programs in Low-Income Countries", IMF Occasional Papers no. 277, International Monetary Fund.

iMFdirect Blog Posts

Countries Should Act Now to Limit Rising Risks from Corporate Distress, January 2023

IMF Blog (with P. Muthoora), June 2019, "To Reduce Inequality Employ Young People"

Selected Issue

Chile 2018 Selected Issues: Private Sector Indebtedness in Chile

Democratic Republic of São Tomé and Príncipe : Selected Issues, Mainstreaming Macro-Financial Linkages

Other Published Materials

Assessing Macrofinancial Risks from Crypto Assets (with Hector Perez-Saiz), 2023, IMF WP 2023/214

Hacibedel, B and R. Qu, 2022, "Understanding and Predicting Systemic Corporate Distress: A Machine-Learning Approach", IMF Working Paper No. 2022/153

"Good Jobs for Young People: A Policy Imperative to Reduce Inequality", 2020, IMF Research Perspectives, Spring/Summer 2020, Vol.22 no.1 (with Priscilla Muthoora)

Inequality in Good and Bad Times: A Cross-country Approach, 2019, IMF Working Paper 19/20

Changing Times for Frontier Markets : A Perspective from Portfolio Investment Flows and Financial Integration, 2016. IMF Working Paper No. 16/177

Small States' Resilience to Natural Disasters and Climate Change - Role for the IMF, Financing Approaches, 2016, IMF Policy Paper

"Good Jobs for Young People: A Policy Imperative to Reduce Inequality", 2020, IMF Research Perspectives, Spring/Summer 2020, Vol.22 no.1 (with Priscilla Muthoora)

Publications in Journals (Refereed)

Hacibedel, B., Mandon, P., Muthoora, P. et al. Inequality, growth fluctuations, and employment. Empirical Economics (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-023-02476-w

Understanding and predicting systemic corporate distress: a machine-learning approach, 2023, Journal of Credit Risk, 19 (3), pp. 79-116

Inequality, Growth Fluctuations and Employment, 2023, Empirical Economics, forthcoming

Hacibedel B (joint work with N. Abidi and M. Nkusu), 2019, “ Frontier and Emerging Markets: A Perspective from Portfolio Flows and Financial Integration”, Journal of Banking and Financial Economics 1(11)2019, 19-45

Hacibedel, B., 2014, “Does Investor Recognition Matter for Asset Pricing?”, Emerging Markets Review , 21: 1–20.

Hacibedel, B., H. Reisen et al. 2011, ‘The Renminbi and Poor Country Growth’, The World Economy, 35: 273-294

Other Published Materials

Burcu Hacibedel, Helmut Reisen et al, 2010, The Renminbi and Poor-Country Growth, OECD Development Centre Working Paper No. 292