IMF Publications by Subject
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Early warning systems:
2024
Title: Predicting IMF-Supported Programs: A Machine Learning Approach
Series: Working Paper No. 2024/054
Date: March 8, 2024
Subject: Data processing Early warning systems Economic and financial statistics Emergency assistance Financial crises Foreign aid Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 Machine learning Technology
2023
Title: Predicting Financial Crises: The Role of Asset Prices
Series: Working Paper No. 2023/157
Date: August 4, 2023
Subject: Asset prices Credit Early warning systems Financial crises Money Prices Systemic crises
2021
Title: Restructuring and Insolvency in Europe: Policy Options in the Implementation of the EU Directive
Series: Working Paper No. 2021/152
Date: May 27, 2021
Subject: Corporate insolvency Data collection Early warning systems Economic and financial statistics Financial crises Financial sector policy and analysis Solvency
Title: How to Assess Country Risk: The Vulnerability Exercise Approach Using Machine Learning
Series: Technical Notes and Manuals No. 2021/003
Date: May 7, 2021
Subject: Balance of payments Banking crises Early warning systems Expenditure Financial crises Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 Revenue administration Sudden stops
2020
Title: Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/289
Date: December 18, 2020
Subject: Banking crises Commodity prices Early warning systems Economic sectors Financial crises Inflation Prices
Title: UnFEAR: Unsupervised Feature Extraction Clustering with an Application to Crisis Regimes Classification
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/262
Date: November 25, 2020
Subject: Early warning systems Economic and financial statistics Financial crises Financial statistics Machine learning Technology
Title: A TIP Against the COVID-19 Pandemic
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/114
Date: July 3, 2020
Subject: COVID-19 Early warning systems Expenditure Financial crises Health Labor Population and demographics Public expenditure review
2019
Title: News-based Sentiment Indicators
Series: Working Paper No. 2019/273
Date: December 6, 2019
Subject: Banking crises Early warning systems Financial crises Financial regulation and supervision Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 Hedging
2018
Title: Predicting Fiscal Crises
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/181
Date: August 3, 2018
Subject: Cyclical indicators Early warning systems Expenditure Financial crises Output gap
Title: When Do We Repair the Roof? Insights from Responses to Fiscal Crisis Early Warning Signals
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/077
Date: April 6, 2018
Subject: Crisis prevention Early warning systems Fiscal consolidation Fiscal rules Public and publicly-guaranteed external debt