Estimation of Economic Growth in France Using Business Survey Data

Author/Editor:

Alain N. Kabundi

Publication Date:

April 1, 2004

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper proposes a new way of computing a coincident indicator for economic activity in France using data from business surveys. We use the generalized dynamic factor model à la Forni and others (2000) to extract common components from a large number of survey observations. The results obtained show that the resulting indicator forecasts economic activity with a relatively high degree of accuracy before the release of actual data.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2004/069

Subject:

Business cycles Cyclical indicators Economic and financial statistics Economic growth Financial institutions Stocks

English

Publication Date:

April 1, 2004

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451849097/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA0692004

Pages:

20

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