IMF Working Papers

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Brazil

Author/Editor:

Agnes A Belaisch

Publication Date:

July 1, 2003

Electronic Access:

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Summary:

In the last two years the real has undergone a large depreciation and the central bank has missed its inflation target in 2002 for the second year in a row. Inflation, however, has increased much less than the rate of currency depreciation and the pickup in inflation in the last quarter of 2002 raises the question of whether the exchange rate passthrough has finally risen. This paper argues that the passthrough in Brazil has fallen compared with estimates in other studies on earlier time periods, and remains low when compared with the passthrough in other Latin American countries. Indeed the passthrough is more comparable with that of G-7 countries—although in Brazil the effect on prices appears to be faster.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2003/141

Subject:

Consumer prices Depreciation Exchange rate adjustments Exchange rates Foreign exchange Inflation National accounts Prices