Financial Globalization, Portfolio Diversification, and the Pattern of International Trade

Author/Editor:

Miklós Koren

Publication Date:

December 1, 2003

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

The paper provides a general-equilibrium model where incomplete international financial markets lead to insufficient industrial specialization and low international trade. As international portfolio diversification is limited and productivity is uncertain, investors wish to maintain a diversified industrial structure rather than specializing according to their comparative advantage. Financial globalization then induces more specialization and more trade. The present framework yields explicit closed-form solutions for the volume and the structure of trade. Empirical results support the implications of the theory. Trade in financially open countries is (i) higher, (ii) more dependent on productivity differences, and (iii) less sensitive to industry risks.

Series:

Working Paper No. 03/233

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

December 1, 2003

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451875614/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2332003

Price:

$15.00 (Academic Rate:$15.00)

Format:

Paper

Pages:

47

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