Can the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union Afford to Grow Old?

Author/Editor:

Hunter K. Monroe

Publication Date:

March 1, 2009

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

The demographic transition in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) now underway is rapid compared with international experience, and emigration is playing a particularly large role. This paper describes and quantifies several factors which could magnify the challenge of pension reform. First, for some ECCU countries, continued emigration at historical rates would considerably advance the projected date at which pension scheme assets are depleted. Second, there is a significant risk that assets will underperform, given the large exposures to the highly-leveraged public sector and to a lesser extent the record with private sector investments. Third, portfolio diversification away from the public sector could be complicated by age-related pressure for greater central government health spending.

Series:

Working Paper No. 09/38

Subject:

Frequency:

Quarterly

English

Publication Date:

March 1, 2009

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451871869/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2009038

Price:

$18.00 (Academic Rate:$18.00)

Format:

Paper

Pages:

15

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