The Spillover Effects of the Global Crisison Economic Activity in Mena Emerging Market Countries: An Analysis Using the Financial Stress Index

Author/Editor:

Kenji Moriyama

Publication Date:

January 1, 2010

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

The estimated spillover of the global crisis to emerging market (EM) economies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) indicates that nearly two-thirds of the increased financial stress in MENA EM countries after the Lehman shock is attributable to direct or indirect spillovers of financial stress in advanced economies. Moreover, the estimated models suggest that the increased financial stress and slowdown in economic activity in advanced economies can explain about half of the drop in real GDP growth in MENA EM countries after the Lehman shock.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2010/008

Subject:

Econometric analysis Emerging and frontier financial markets Estimation techniques Financial crises Financial markets Financial sector policy and analysis Financial soundness indicators Spillovers

English

Publication Date:

January 1, 2010

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451961867/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2010008

Pages:

21

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