Policy, Risk and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Author/Editor:

Francis Vitek

Publication Date:

April 4, 2017

Electronic Access:

Free Full Text. Use the free Adobe Acrobat Reader to view this PDF file

Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary:

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies, to facilitate multilaterally consistent macrofinancial policy, risk and spillover analysis. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover transmission channels. These macrofinancial linkages encompass bank and capital market based financial intermediation, with financial accelerator mechanisms linked to the values of the housing and physical capital stocks. A variety of monetary policy analysis, fiscal policy analysis, macroprudential policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated. These include quantifying the monetary, fiscal and macroprudential transmission mechanisms, accounting for business cycle fluctuations, and generating relatively accurate forecasts of inflation and output growth.

Series:

Working Paper No. 17/89

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

April 4, 2017

ISBN/ISSN:

9781475592757/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2017089

Price:

$18.00 (Academic Rate:$18.00)

Format:

Paper

Pages:

122

Please address any questions about this title to publications@imf.org