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Projected % Change
   2014  2015
Real GDP 1.6 1.1
Source: World Economic Outlook Update (July 2014)

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Japan and the IMF
Updated September 30, 2014

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Staff Papers
December 18, 2001 -- IMF Staff Papers - December 2001 - Exchange Rate Movements and Tradable Goods Prices in East Asia: An Analysis Based on Japanese Customs Data, 1988-1999 By Shinji Takagi and Yushi Yoshida
Uses a dynamic panel data model to estimate the pass-through coefficients of 20 nine-digit industrial commodities that are traded between Japan and its East Asian and industrial country trading partners.
December 11, 2001 -- IMF Staff Papers - Dezember 2001 - A Peek Inside the Black Box: The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Japan By James Morsink and Tamim Bayoumi
Uses vector autoregressions to examine the monetary transmission mechanism in Japan. The empirical results indicate that both monetary policy and banks’ balance sheets are important sources of shocks, that banks play a crucial role in transmitting monetary shocks to economic activity, that corporations and households have not been able to substitute borrowing from other sources for a shortfall in bank borrowing, and that business investment is especially sensitive to monetary shocks.
December 01, 2000 -- IMF Staff Papers - Volume 47, Number 2, 2000 - Japan's Stagnant Nineties: A Vector Autoregression Retrospective, by Ramana Ramaswamy and Christel Rendu
This paper uses a vector autoregression (VAR) approach to identify the driving forces of the growth slowdown in Japan during the 1990s. Negative shocks to both residential and nonresidential investment are shown to have been important determinants of the slowdown. Despite the collapse in asset prices, negative shocks to private consumption were relatively small. A surprising conclusion is that trends in public consumption had a dampening impact on activity in the nineties. The VAR estimations do not support the counterfactual conjecture that activity in Japan would have been significantly weaker in the absence of the expansionary shift in fiscal policy.