Marco Marini is a Senior Economist of the Real Sector Division in the IMF Statistics Department (STA). His current activities are providing technical assistance, delivering training courses, and improve the methodology of the quarterly national accounts (QNA). He has worked in the field of national accounts for several national and international agencies since early 2000. He has conducted research and published several papers in the areas of benchmarking, reconciliation, balancing, seasonal adjustment, revisions, and forecasting.
2001-2004 Doctorate (PhD) Statistical Methods for Businesses and Economics, University of Rome "RomaTre". 1994-1999 Laurea Economics, Univerisity of Rome "La Sapienza"
October 2010 to present: Senior Economist, International Monetary Fund. July 2001 to September 2014: Senior Researcher, ISTAT, National Statistical Institute of Italy. October 2005 to September 2007: Lecturer in Time Series Analysis, University of Naples "Federico II"
Senior Economist, Statistics Department, Real Sector Division
IMF Books and Working Papers:
Quarterly GDP Revisions in G-20 Countries : Evidence from the 2008 Financial Crisis, Working Paper No. 13/60, March 07, 2013
On the Extrapolation with the Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method, Working Paper No. 12/169, June 01, 2012
A Newton's Method for Benchmarking Time Series According to a Growth Rates Preservation Principle, Working Paper No. 11/179, July 01, 2011
Other Published Materials
Nowcasting Annual National Accounts with Quarterly Indicators : An Assessment of Widely Used Benchmarking Methods, Working Paper No. 16/71, March 18, 2016
Publications in Journals (Refereed)
Benchmarking Time Series according to a Growth Rates Preservation Principle (with T. Di Fonzo), 2012, Journal of Economic and Social Measurement 37:3, pp. 225-252
Simultaneous and Two-step Reconciliation of Systems of Time Series: Methodological and Practical Issues (with T. Di Fonzo), 2011, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Applied Statistics (Series C), 60:2, pp. 143–164
Direct vs Indirect Forecasts of Foreign Trade Unit Value Indices (with G. Lutero), 2010, Rivista di Statistica Ufficiale, ISTAT, 2-3, pp. 73-96
Benchmarking Systems of Seasonally Adjusted Time Series (with T. Di Fonzo), 2005, Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2:1, pp. 89-123
The Calendar Adjustment of Italian Quarterly National Accounts: Methodology and Presentation of Main Results (with F. Di Palma), 2004, Rivista di Statistica Ufficiale, ISTAT, 2, pp. 5-51
Publications in Books and Conference Volumes
Macroeconomic Developments in China: The Statistical Challenges (with F. Zollino), 2013, in G. Gomel, D. Marconi, I. Musu, and B. Quintieri, Eds, The Chinese Economy. Recent Trends and Policy Issues: Springer
Benchmarking and Movement Preservation: Evidences from Real-Life and Simulated
Series, in Advances in Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 2013, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
A Newton’s Method for Benchmarking Time Series (with T. Di Fonzo), in Grigoletto et al. (eds.), Complex Models and Computational Methods in Statistics, Springer, 2013.
The Economic Integration of Candidate Countries in the European Union: an Analysis with a Three-level Dynamic Factor Model, 2007, in Gian Luigi Mazzi and Giovanni Savio, Eds, Growth and Cycle in the Eurozone: Palgrave Macmillan
Other Published Materials
The Statistical Reconciliation of Time Series of Accounts after a Benchmark Revision (with B. Chen and T. Di Fonzo), 2014, Working Paper 2014-13, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Combining Forecasts for a Flash Estimate of Euro area GDP (with F. Bacchini, A. Ciammola, and R. Iannaccone), 2010(3), Contributi ISTAT