Marco Marini is an Economist of the Real Sector Division of the IMF Statistics Department (STA). His current activities are providing technical assistance and delivering training courses on quarterly national accounts (QNA). In the last ten years he has acted as a national accounts consultant for various national and international agencies. Research interests are mainly on statistical techniques for the compilation and analysis of official statistics such as benchmarking, reconciliation, balancing, seasonal adjustment, forecasting, and revisions.
2001-2004 Doctorate (PhD) Statistical Methods for Businesses and Economics, University of Rome "RomaTre". 1994-1999 Laurea Economics, Univerisity of Rome "La Sapienza"
October 2010 to present: Economist, International Monetary Fund. July 2001 to present: Senior Researcher, ISTAT, National Statistical Institute of Italy (on temporary leave). October 2005 to September 2007: Lecturer in Time Series Analysis, University of Naples "Federico II"
Economist, Statistics Department
IMF Books and Working Papers:
Quarterly GDP Revisions in G-20 Countries: Evidence from the 2008 Financial Crisis, Working Paper No. 13/60, March 07, 2013
On the Extrapolation with the Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method, Working Paper No. 12/169, June 01, 2012
A Newton’s Method for Benchmarking Time Series according to a Growth Rates Preservation Principle, Working Paper No. 11/179, July 01, 2011
Macroeconomic Developments in China: The Statistical Challenges (with F. Zollino), 2013, in G. Gomel, D. Marconi, I. Musu, and B. Quintieri, Eds, The Chinese Economy. Recent Trends and Policy Issues: Springer
The Economic Integration of Candidate Countries in the European Union: an Analysis with a Three-level Dynamic Factor Model, 2007, in Gian Luigi Mazzi and Giovanni Savio, Eds, Growth and Cycle in the Eurozone: Palgrave Macmillan
A Newton’s Method for Benchmarking Time Series (with T. Di Fonzo), in Grigoletto et al. (eds.), Complex Models and Computational Methods in Statistics, Springer, 2013.
Publications in Journals (Refereed)
Benchmarking Time Series according to a Growth Rates Preservation Principle (with T. Di Fonzo), 2012, Journal of Economic and Social Measurement 37:3, pp. 225-252
Simultaneous and Two-step Reconciliation of Systems of Time Series: Methodological and Practical Issues (with T. Di Fonzo), 2011, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Applied Statistics (Series C), 60:2, pp. 143–164
Direct vs Indirect Forecasts of Foreign Trade Unit Value Indices (with G. Lutero), 2010, Rivista di Statistica Ufficiale, ISTAT, 2-3, pp. 73-96
Benchmarking Systems of Seasonally Adjusted Time Series (with T. Di Fonzo), 2005, Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2:1, pp. 89-123
The Calendar Adjustment of Italian Quarterly National Accounts: Methodology and Presentation of Main Results (with F. Di Palma), 2004, Rivista di Statistica Ufficiale, ISTAT, 2, pp. 5-51