For more information, see Senegal and the IMF

Senegal—Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility
Policy Framework Paper, 1998–2000

Tables 4-5

Table 4. Senegal: Key Debt Sustainability Indicators--Baseline Scenario
Average
1997 1998 1999 2000 2005 2010 2017 1997-2006 2007-2017
Key Ratios: (in percent)
  Debt-GDP ratio 75.2 71.0 65.5 60.5 40.0 27.1 14.4 54.9 23.4
  NPV of debt
    to exports
    ratio1
147.5 144.7 142.2 131.9 82.1 60.8 37.1 114.6 54.1
 
  NPV of debt to
    exports ratio,
    after expected debt
    relief2
n.a. 129.7 128.5 120.8 80.4 61.3 39.7 103.8 55.2
  NPV of debt
    to government
    revenue
307.0 296.4 261.8 238.2 137.4 88.5 44.9 210.6 76.3
 NPV debt to GDP ratio 50.0 46.3 42.0 37.7 23.0 15.9 8.9 34.0 13.9
  Debt service ratio 19.6 18.7 15.9 16.1 10.7 6.3 4.1 14.7 5.7
  Debt-service ratio,
     after expected debt
     relief2
n.a. 16.0 13.1 12.0 9.9 6.4 4.5 11.8 5.8
  Multilateral debt
    service ratio3
11.8 10.5 8.1 7.0 5.8 2.8 1.5 7.3 2.5
  Debt service to
    government revenue
    ratio
39.2 38.4 30.9 30.8 19.0 9.6 5.3 28.1 8.5

Memorandum Items:

(in millions of US$)
  Exports of goods
    and non factor
    services
1,485.2 1,541.3 1,641.2 1,744.7 2,446.2 3,205.7 4,740.4 1,920.8 3,553.0
  Exports of goods
    and non factor
    services (3-year
    average)
1,538.8 1,538.0 1,555.9 1,642.4 2,310.1 3,045.0 4,481.0 1,828.9 3,365.3
  Government Revenue 742.6 751.7 845.8 910.8 1,380.5 2,090.5 3,707.4 1,014.3 2,458.9
  Gross Domestic
     Product
4,555.0 4,811.6 5,276.4 5,756.6 8,242.0 11,614.0 18,771.8 6,266.5 13,236.4

Sources: Senegalese authorities; and staff estimates and projections.
1NPV of debt as a ratio of three-year average of exports of goods and nonfactor services.
2Assumes a 67 percent stock-of-debt operation with Paris Club creditors.
3Including IMF.

Table 5. Senegal: Selected Demographic and Social Indicators
  Latest single year
Most recent
estimate,
Sub-Saharan
Indicator 1970-75 1980-85 1989-94 Africa

Population

(In units indicated)
  Total (thousands) 4,806 6,375 8,263 571,902
  Annual growth rate (percent) 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.8
  Urban population
    (percent of total)
34.2 37.9 41.8 30.6
  Life expectancy (years) 43 45 50 52
  Total fertility rate
    (births per woman)
6.5 6.7 5.8 5.9
Labor force
  Total, ages 15-64 (thousands) 2,242 2,883 3,630 254,250
  Employment in agriculture
    (percent of total)
82 79 77 65

Education

(Percent of school age population)
  Primary school enrollment ratio 41 56 58 71
    Male 48 67 67 77
    Female 34 46 50 64
  Secondary school enrollment ratio 10 14 11 24

(In units indicated)
  Primary pupil/Teacher ratio
    (pupils per teacher)
42 46 59 40
  Adult illiteracy rate
    (percentage of population ages
    15 and above)
. . . 68 62 53
  Females . . . 81 77 54


Health and nutrition
  Population per hospital bed (persons) 775 . . . 1,923 1,316
  Population per nurse 1,675 2,024 4,246 . . .
  Infant mortality rate (per 1,000
    live births)
122 97 64 92
  Immunization (percentage, ages 0-5)
    Measles . . . 40.0 45.0 51.4
    DPT ... 54.0 54.0 53.5
  Access to safe water (percentage
    of population)
. . . . . . 52.7 49.0
  Food production per capita
    (1987 = 100)
158 82 78 102

Source: Social Indicators of Development, 1996 (World Bank).

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