Press Release: IMF Executive Board Approves US$8.7 million Disbursement under the Rapid Credit Facility for Dominica

October 28, 2015

Press Release No. 15/483
October 28, 2015

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on October 28, 2015 approved a disbursement of an amount equivalent to SDR 6.15 million (about US$8.7 million) for Dominica to be drawn from the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF).

Following the Executive Board’s discussion of Dominica, Mr. Mitsuhiro Furusawa, Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair, issued the following statement:

“Dominica was hit by Tropical Storm Erika in August 2015, which resulted in significant loss of life and substantial damage to physical infrastructure. The Assessment Report by the World Bank and Government of Dominica estimates total damage and loss at US$483 million (96 percent of GDP), making this storm one of the worst natural disasters to ever strike the country. The recovery and rehabilitation costs will be substantial, putting tremendous pressure on already challenging fiscal and balance of payments positions.

“Fiscal policies will accommodate an increase in reconstruction spending over the medium term, expected to be mostly grant financed, while the underlying policies are being appropriately refocused from a supportive cyclical stance toward a medium-term consolidation objective. The authorities have committed to generating robust primary surpluses over the medium term to ensure downward debt dynamics. They will tackle pressures on current spending, broaden the revenue base, strengthen tax collection, further re-prioritize capital expenditures, and step up efforts to strengthen the fiscal policy framework to ensure the sustainability of the fiscal adjustment effort.

“The authorities are committed to strengthening financial policies to tackle regional and domestic vulnerabilities, both in terms of the health of financial institutions and their supervisory and regulatory frameworks. Structural reforms remain critical to support the fiscal effort as well as to improve competitiveness and private-sector growth prospects. Reforms to build resilience to potential future natural disasters should also be stepped up.”

The RCF provides immediate financial assistance with limited conditionality to low-income countries with an urgent balance of payments need. In this context, the economic policies of a member receiving RCF financing are expected to address the underlying balance of payments difficulties and support policy objectives including macroeconomic stability and poverty reduction. Financing under the RCF carries a zero interest rate, has a grace period of 5.5 years, and a final maturity of 10 years. The Fund reviews the level of interest rates for all concessional facilities every two years.


Dominica: Selected Economic Indicators
 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected

 

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  (annual percentage change)
 

Output and prices

           

Real GDP 1/

-0.1 -1.3 0.6 3.9 -3.0 3.9

Consumer prices (period average)

1.1 1.4 0.0 0.8 -1.0 0.3

Consumer prices (end of period)

2.0 1.2 -0.4 0.5 -0.2 0.1

Output gap (in percent of potential GDP)

1.4 -1.2 -1.8 0.7 -3.5 -1.1

Real effective exchange rate

-5.6 0.2 -0.6 -0.7

(period average, depreciation -)

           

Central government operations 2/

(in percent of GDP)

Revenue 3/

30.7 30.3 30.0 28.0 33.0 35.7

Expenditure

35.1 35.7 33.0 32.4 35.4 38.2

Primary balance

-2.9 -3.4 -1.0 -2.9 -0.1 -0.2

Overall balance

-4.4 -5.4 -3.0 -4.4 -2.4 -2.6

Central government debt (incl. guaranteed) 4/

69.7 72.6 74.7 79.8 82.7 82.7

External

49.6 52.6 54.8 58.2 59.7 59.4

Domestic

20.1 20.0 20.0 21.7 23.0 23.3

Money and credit

(annual percentage change)

Broad money (M2)

0.3 9.7 2.2 7.8 1.1 4.1

Real credit to the private sector

4.5 3.1 -0.3 -2.7 -3.8 3.9

Balance of Payments

(in percent of GDP)

Current account balance

-13.5 -18.8 -13.3 -13.1 -14.9 -16.7

Exports of goods and services

38.1 33.0 34.6 34.1 30.6 32.5

Imports of goods and services

52.8 51.5 48.1 47.4 45.8 49.3

Capital and financial account balance

17.5 18.9 10.6 15.4 11.9 15.2

FDI

2.8 6.0 4.8 6.4 4.7 4.8

Capital grants

3.8 3.3 1.5 3.7 5.0 8.5

Other (incl. errors and omissions)

10.9 9.6 4.3 5.3 2.2 2.0

External debt (gross) 5/

73.6 83.1 84.6 93.5 96.0 95.7

Saving-investment balance

-13.5 -18.8 -13.3 -13.2 -14.9 -16.7

Saving

3.0 -3.5 0.4 1.7 2.2 0.8

Investment

16.6 15.2 13.7 14.9 17.1 17.5

Memorandum items:

           

Nominal GDP at market prices (EC$ millions)

           

Calendar year

1,354 1,310 1,368 1,415 1,359 1,416

Net imputed international reserves

           

Millions of U.S. dollars, end-of-period

74.5 91.8 85.4 99.9 96.4 88.6

Months of imports of goods and services

3.4 4.4 4.2 4.8 5.0 4.1
 

Sources: Dominican authorities; Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); and IMF staff estimates.

1/ Real GDP at market prices.

2/ Fiscal year (July-June) basis.

3/ Does not include grants that were received but not spent.

4/ Excludes commitments under the Petrocaribe arrangement with Venezuela.

5/ Comprises public sector external debt, foreign liabilities of commercial banks, and other private debt.

Dominica: Selected Economic Indicators
 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected

 

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  (annual percentage change)
 

Output and prices

           

Real GDP 1/

-0.1 -1.3 0.6 3.9 -3.0 3.9

Consumer prices (period average)

1.1 1.4 0.0 0.8 -1.0 0.3

Consumer prices (end of period)

2.0 1.2 -0.4 0.5 -0.2 0.1

Output gap (in percent of potential GDP)

1.4 -1.2 -1.8 0.7 -3.5 -1.1

Real effective exchange rate

-5.6 0.2 -0.6 -0.7

(period average, depreciation -)

           

Central government operations 2/

(in percent of GDP)

Revenue 3/

30.7 30.3 30.0 28.0 33.0 35.7

Expenditure

35.1 35.7 33.0 32.4 35.4 38.2

Primary balance

-2.9 -3.4 -1.0 -2.9 -0.1 -0.2

Overall balance

-4.4 -5.4 -3.0 -4.4 -2.4 -2.6

Central government debt (incl. guaranteed) 4/

69.7 72.6 74.7 79.8 82.7 82.7

External

49.6 52.6 54.8 58.2 59.7 59.4

Domestic

20.1 20.0 20.0 21.7 23.0 23.3

Money and credit

(annual percentage change)

Broad money (M2)

0.3 9.7 2.2 7.8 1.1 4.1

Real credit to the private sector

4.5 3.1 -0.3 -2.7 -3.8 3.9

Balance of Payments

(in percent of GDP)

Current account balance

-13.5 -18.8 -13.3 -13.1 -14.9 -16.7

Exports of goods and services

38.1 33.0 34.6 34.1 30.6 32.5

Imports of goods and services

52.8 51.5 48.1 47.4 45.8 49.3

Capital and financial account balance

17.5 18.9 10.6 15.4 11.9 15.2

FDI

2.8 6.0 4.8 6.4 4.7 4.8

Capital grants

3.8 3.3 1.5 3.7 5.0 8.5

Other (incl. errors and omissions)

10.9 9.6 4.3 5.3 2.2 2.0

External debt (gross) 5/

73.6 83.1 84.6 93.5 96.0 95.7

Saving-investment balance

-13.5 -18.8 -13.3 -13.2 -14.9 -16.7

Saving

3.0 -3.5 0.4 1.7 2.2 0.8

Investment

16.6 15.2 13.7 14.9 17.1 17.5

Memorandum items:

           

Nominal GDP at market prices (EC$ millions)

           

Calendar year

1,354 1,310 1,368 1,415 1,359 1,416

Net imputed international reserves

           

Millions of U.S. dollars, end-of-period

74.5 91.8 85.4 99.9 96.4 88.6

Months of imports of goods and services

3.4 4.4 4.2 4.8 5.0 4.1
 

Sources: Dominican authorities; Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); and IMF staff estimates.

1/ Real GDP at market prices.

2/ Fiscal year (July-June) basis.

3/ Does not include grants that were received but not spent.

4/ Excludes commitments under the Petrocaribe arrangement with Venezuela.

5/ Comprises public sector external debt, foreign liabilities of commercial banks, and other private debt.




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