Financial Sector Reform in Jamaica During 1985-1992, Possible Lessons for the CaribbeanWP/95/90-EA Financial Sector Reform in Jamaica During 1985-1992, Possible Lessons for the Caribbean by David Marston There have been two distinct phases in the use of indirect instruments in Jamaica. The first encompassed the period 1985-1989. In this period, interest rate controls were removed, a program to remunerate reserve requirements was instituted, and the liquid assets ratio (LAR) was phased out. Open market-type operations replaced credit ceilings as the primary instrument of control. The period 1989-1991 saw significant reversals, as credit ceilings were reintroduced and the LAR reimposed in response to a surge in credit and exchange rate pressures. A second phase in using indirect instruments was started in late 1991, coincident with the adoption of a more liberal foreign exchange system. This paper argues that, while it was fairly simple to remove interest rate restrictions on the intermediation process in Jamaica, consensus on policy-induced interest rate movements has been more difficult. Because of this dichotomy, while indicators of intermediation and banking efficiency improved consequent on the reforms, monetary control was more elusive, owing to weak fiscal performance and quasi-fiscal pressures on monetary policy. In contrast, from the standpoint of monetary control, greater stability has been associated with the currency board-type arrangement of the Eastern Caribbean Central Bank. The paper notes, however, that this outturn masks fiscal pressures among some member countries of the currency union, which, while not monetized, have been largely financed through arrears. This mode of financing inhibits market development and could conceivably threaten the union. Some of the issues that affected Jamaica's use of indirect instruments (quasi-fiscal pressures on money supply, disintermediation arising from unremunerated reserve requirements and interest rate caps, and inappropriate policy mix in the context of fixed exchange rates) are also evident in other Caribbean countries. The paper argues that, independent of the conclusion of the current debate in the region on currency regime, the resolution of these issues is crucial to the success of financial sector reforms now being pursued in these countries. |