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Author/Editor:
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Chinn, Menzie David ; Lee, Jaewoo
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Publication Date:
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August 01, 2002
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Electronic Access:
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Free Full text
(PDF file size is 625KB).
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.
The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
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Summary:
The canonical predictions of intertemporal open-economy macro models are tested by a structural VAR analysis of Group of Seven countries. The analysis is distinguished from the previous literature in that it adopts minimal assumptions for identification. Consistent with a large set of theoretical models, permanent shocks have large long-term effects on the real exchange rate but relatively small effects on the current account; temporary shocks have large effects on the current account and exchange rate in the short run, but not on either variable in the long run. The signs of some impulse responses point toward models that differentiate tradables and nontradables.
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Series:
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Working Paper No. 02/130
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Subject(s):
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Current account | Group of Seven | Canada | France | Germany | Italy | Japan | United Kingdom | United States | Real effective exchange rates | Economic models
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Author's Keyword(s):
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Real exchange rate | current account | intertemporal models | permanent and temporary shocks |
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