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Author/Editor:
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Kabundi, Alain N.
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Publication Date:
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April 01, 2004
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Electronic Access:
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Free Full text
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.
The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
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Summary:
This paper proposes a new way of computing a coincident indicator for economic activity in France using data from business surveys. We use the generalized dynamic factor model à la Forni and others (2000) to extract common components from a large number of survey observations. The results obtained show that the resulting indicator forecasts economic activity with a relatively high degree of accuracy before the release of actual data.
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Order a print copy
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Series:
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Working Paper No. 04/69
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Subject(s):
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Economic growth | France | Forecasting models | Data collection | Data analysis
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Author's Keyword(s):
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Dynamic factor models | survey data | economic forecasting |
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