Economic Performance over the Conflict Cycle

 
Author/Editor: Staines, Nicholas
 
Publication Date: June 01, 2004
 
Electronic Access: Free Full text (PDF file size is 970KB).
Use the free Adobe Acrobat Reader to view this PDF file

 
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
 
Summary: The paper finds a significant shift in the economic characteristics of civil conflicts during the1990s. Conflicts have become shorter but with more severe contractions and a stronger recovery of growth. The overall length and cost of the conflict cycle has probably declined. The stance of macroeconomic policy was an important factor while the underlying "conflict process" remained unchanged. This shift seems related to changes in aid flows since the Cold War: donors became disinclined to provide support during conflict, but more inclined after conflict. These findings are buttressed by the post-conflict experience of countries that received financial assistance from the IMF and of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). These findings have implications for policy and aid priorities after conflict.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 04/95
Subject(s): Financial assistance | Congo, Democratic Republic of the | Multilateral aid | Development assistance

Author's Keyword(s): Conflict | post-conflict | war | economic impact | macroeconomic stabilization | aid | cold war
 
English
Publication Date: June 01, 2004
ISBN/ISSN: 1934-7073 Format: Paper
Stock No: WPIEA0952004 Pages: 41
Price:
US$15.00 (Academic Rate:
US$15.00 )
 
 
Please address any questions about this title to publications@imf.org