Uncovered Interest Parity

Author/Editor:

Peter Isard

Publication Date:

April 1, 2006

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper provides an overview of the uncovered interest parity assumption. It traces the history of the interest parity concept, summarizes evidence on the empirical validity of uncovered interest parity, and discusses different interpretations of the evidence and the implications for macroeconomic analysis. The uncovered interest parity assumption has been an important building block in multiperiod models of open economies, and although its validity is strongly challenged by the empirical evidence, at least at short time horizons, its retention in macroeconomic models is supported on pragmatic grounds by the lack of much empirical support for existing models of the exchange risk premium.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2006/096

Subject:

Currencies Exchange rates Forward exchange rates Interest rate parity Spot exchange rates

Frequency:

Biannually

English

Publication Date:

April 1, 2006

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451863567/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2006096

Pages:

14

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