A Party without a Hangover? On the Effects of U.S. Government Deficits
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Summary:
This paper develops a 2-country New Keynesian overlapping generations model suitable for the joint evaluation of monetary and fiscal policies. We show that a permanent increase in U.S. government deficits raises the world real interest rate and significantly increases U.S. current account deficits, especially in the medium- to long-run. A simultaneous increase in non-U.S. savings lowers the world real interest rate and further increases U.S. current account deficits. We show that conventional infinite horizon models are ill-equipped to deal with issues that involve permanent changes in public or private sector savings rates.
Series:
Working Paper No. 2007/202
Subject:
Consumption Current account deficits Fiscal policy Public debt Real interest rates
English
Publication Date:
August 1, 2007
ISBN/ISSN:
9781451867664/1018-5941
Stock No:
WPIEA2007202
Pages:
38
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