|
|
|
|
Author/Editor:
|
Barakchian, S. Mahdi ; Crowe, Christopher W.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Publication Date:
|
October 01, 2010
|
|
|
|
Electronic Access:
|
Free Full text
(PDF file size is 1,167KB).
Use the free
Adobe Acrobat Reader
to view this PDF file
Link to data for this title.
(ZIP file size is 217KB).
|
|
|
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.
The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
|
|
|
|
|
Summary:
Conventional VAR and non-VAR methods of identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks on the economy have found a negative output response to monetary tightening using U.S. data over the 1960s-1990s. However, we show that these methods fail to find this contractionary effect when the sample is restricted to the period since the 1980s, apparently due to changes in the policymaking environment that reduce their effectiveness. Identifying policy shocks using Fed Funds futures data, we recover the contractionary effect of monetary tightening on output and find that almost half of output variation over the period appears due to policy shocks.
|
|
|
|
Order a print copy
|
|
|
|
|
|
Series:
|
Working Paper No. 10/230
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subject(s):
|
Central bank policy | Economic models | External shocks | Monetary policy | United States
|
|
|
Author's Keyword(s):
|
Monetary policy | VAR estimation | Fed Funds Futures | FOMC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
