The Chilean Output Gap

Author/Editor:

Leandro Medina ; Nicolas E Magud

Publication Date:

January 1, 2011

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper estimates the potential output (and the output gap) in Chile using several different methodologies. After a structural brake in 1998, the average growth rate of potential output in Chile declined from over 7 percent to 3-4 percent in the aggregate economy, but to less than 2 percent in the natural resource sector. The contributions to aggregate potential output growth of the natural resource sector and the non-natural resource sector are estimated, finding that the contribution to growth of the natural resource sector is non-linear-increasing during the 1990s, declining during the 2000s, and turning negative in the mid-2000s-despite the monotonic decrease in the share of natural resource output in aggregate output.

Series:

Working Paper No. 11/2

Subject(s):

English

Publication Date:

January 1, 2011

ISBN/ISSN:

9781455211807/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2011002

Price:

$18.00 (Academic Rate:$18.00)

Format:

Paper

Pages:

14

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