Macrofinance Model of the Czech Economy: Asset Allocation Perspective

Author/Editor: Kollar, Miroslav
Publication Date: March 01, 2012
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Summary: The paper developes a VAR macrofinance model of the Czech economy. It shows that yield misalignments from the yields implied by the macrofinance model partially determine subsequent yield changes over three to nine months. These yield misalignments tend to persist for a number of months. This persistence of the misalignments was explained by (a) the fact that the macro-economy influences asset markets only at lower frequencies, (b) the liquidity effect particularly during the times of capital inflows to Czech Republic, and (c) the fact that not all misalignments were greater than their historical one standard deviation.
Series: Working Paper No. 12/78
Subject(s): Capital markets | Economic models | Financial assets | Interest rate structures | Czech Republic

Author's Keyword(s): Yield curve modeling | macrofinance modeling | vector auto-regression model
Publication Date: March 01, 2012
Format: Paper
Stock No: WPIEA2012078 Pages: 48
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