Nonfinancial Firms in Latin America: A Source of Vulnerability?

 
Author/Editor: Gonzalez, Maria
 
Publication Date: November 29, 2012
 
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
 
Summary: We examine corporate sector vulnerabilities in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. First, we identify stylized facts based on corporate financial indicators. Second, we assess vulnerability of individual firms to a sudden stop in financing through a probit model, using a panel of 18 countries in 2000-11. Results suggest that higher leverage and maturity exposures raise a firm’s probability to become exposed to a funding shock, while a larger firm size and buffers reduce it. Further, greater exchange rate flexibility can help mitigate corporate vulnerability. Identification of firms at risk through the model suggests that some vulnerabilities may be building in Latin America led by leverage, currency exposures and moderating buffers. These effects are partially offset, however, by a significant reduction in maturity exposures.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 12/279
Subject(s): Corporate sector | Brazil | Chile | Colombia | Mexico | Peru | Latin America | Emerging markets | Economic models | Cross country analysis

 
English
Publication Date: November 29, 2012
ISBN/ISSN: 9781475513486/2227-8885 Format: Paper
Stock No: WPIEA2012279 Pages: 41
Price:
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