How to order
IMF Publications

Working Papers in full text
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 All


Other research-related activities and publications of the IMF can be found at IMF Research

Free Email Notification

Receive emails when we post new items of interest to you.

Subscribe or Modify your profile



The Macroeconomic Impact of HIV/AIDS in Botswana

Author/Editor: MacFarlan, Maitland | Sgherri, Silvia
Authorized for Distribution: June 1, 2001
Electronic Access: Free Full Text (PDF file size is 1,197KB)
Use the free Adobe Acrobat Reader to view this PDF file.
 
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate.

Summary: This paper provides an overview of the potential macroeconomic effects of HIV/AIDS in Botswana, focusing on the key channels through which the pandemic is likely to affect the economic outlook and on the uncertainties involved. To estimate the impact of HIV/AIDS, a dual-economy equilibrium model is constructed and simulated under different scenarios. Depending on exactly how AIDS affects the outlook, GDP growth is projected to fall from around 5½ percent a year without the pandemic to between 1½ and 2½ percent a year with AIDS. Non-negligible redistribution effects across sectors and labor skill categories are also likely to arise. Finally, the paper draws attention to the potential effects of HIV/AIDS on the long-term fiscal position of Botswana, highlighting the need for increased international support and/or lower drug prices so that the widespread introduction of anti-retroviral drug treatments is feasible.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 01/80
Subject(s): Social policy | Botswana | Health care | Labor supply | Savings | Investment | Economic models
Author's keyword(s): Economic growth | HIV/AIDS | Botswana
 
English  
    Published:   June 1, 2001        
    ISBN/ISSN:   1934-7073   Format:   Paper
    Stock No:   WPIEA0802001   Pages:   42
    Price:   US$15.00
       
     
Price Delivery Note: Prepayment required for individual copies. An annual subscription is $375.00 a year. It includes 12 monthly shipments and priority mail delivery. The Stock No. for the subscription is WPEA.
Please address any questions about this title to publications@imf.org.