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Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Effects of Financial Liberalization

Author/Editor: Kaminsky, Graciela Laura | Schmukler, Sergio L.
Authorized for Distribution: February 1, 2003
Electronic Access: Free Full Text (PDF file size is 2,360KB)
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate.

Summary: We examine the short- and long-run effects of financial liberalization on capital markets. To do so, we construct a new comprehensive chronology of financial liberalization in 28 mature and emerging market economies since 1973. We also construct an algorithm to identify booms and busts in stock market prices. Our results indicate that financial liberalization is followed by more pronounced boom-bust cycles in the short run. However, financial liberalization leads to more stable markets in the long run. Finally, we analyze the sequencing of liberalization and institutional reforms to understand the contrasting short- and long-run effects of liberalization.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 03/34
Subject(s): Capital account liberalization | Financial stability | Capital controls | Stock markets
Author's keyword(s): Financial liberalization | capital controls | financial integration | stock market prices | booms | busts | financial cycles
 
English  
    Published:   February 1, 2003        
    ISBN/ISSN:   1934-7073   Format:   Paper
    Stock No:   WPIEA0342003   Pages:   60
    Price:   US$15.00
       
     
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