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Measuring Disinflation Credibility in Emerging Markets: A Bayesian Approach with an Application to Turkey

Author/Editor: Rossi, Marco | Rebucci, Alessandro
Authorized for Distribution: November 1, 2004
Electronic Access: Free Full Text (PDF file size is 328KB)
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate.

Summary: This paper presents an empirical measure of disinflation credibility and discusses its evolution in Turkey since the 2001 crisis. The results indicate that credibility has improved markedly over this period, boding well for the future of disinflation in Turkey.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 04/208
Subject(s): Disinflation | Turkey | Emerging markets
Author's keyword(s): Bayesian Learning | Credibility | Disinflation | Mixing Estimation | Turkey
 
English  
    Published:   November 1, 2004        
    ISBN/ISSN:   1934-7073   Format:   Paper
    Stock No:   WPIEA2082004   Pages:   13
    Price:   US$15.00
       
     
Please address any questions about this title to publications@imf.org.