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Constraints on the Design and Implementation of Monetary Policy in Oil Economies: The Case of Venezuela

Author/Editor: da Costa, Mercedes | Olivo, Víctor
Authorized for Distribution: June 1, 2008
Electronic Access: Free Full Text (PDF file size is 629KB)
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate.

Summary: By definition, fiscal dominance impedes the effective implementation of any monetary strategy aimed at controlling inflation. Economies that exhibit oil dominance-a situation in which oil exports largely affect the main macroeconomic indicators-may also exhibit fiscal dominance. However, in this case, the standard indicators used to gauge the presence of fiscal dominance may fail to give the appropriate signals. The main purpose of this paper is twofold: i) to present a simple framework to analyze fiscal dominance in oil exporting countries and ii) to test the hypothesis of the presence of oil dominance/fiscal dominance (OD/FD) in the case of Venezuela. Using VAR and VEC models it is possible to conclude that there is relevant evidence supporting the validity of the OD/FD hypothesis.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 08/142
Subject(s): Venezuela, Republica Bolivariana de | Oil exporting countries | Oil exports | Monetary policy | Fiscal policy | Venezuela, República Bolivariana de
Author's keyword(s): Monetary Policy | Fiscal Policy | Oil Economies.
 
English  
    Published:   June 1, 2008        
            Format:   Paper
    Stock No:   WPIEA2008142   Pages:   47
    Price:   US$18.00 (Academic Rate: US$18.00 )
       
     
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