Working Papers in full text
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
All
Other research-related activities and publications of the IMF can be found at IMF Research
|
Free Email Notification
Receive emails when we post new
items of interest to you.
Subscribe or
Modify your profile
|
|
|
|
How Good Are Ex Ante Program Evaluation Techniques? The Case of School Enrollment in PROGRESA
|
Author/Editor: |
Bornhorst, Fabian |
| Authorized for Distribution: |
September 1, 2009 |
|
Electronic Access: |
Free Full Text (PDF file size is 1,191KB)
Use the free Adobe Acrobat Reader to view this PDF file.
|
|
|
|
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate.
|
|
Summary: This paper evaluates a microsimulation technique by comparing the simulated outcome of a program with its actual effect. The ex ante evaluation is carried out for a conditional cash transfer program, where poor households were given money if the children attended school. A model of occupational choice is used to simulate the expected impact of the program. The results suggest that the transfer would indeed increase school attendance and do more so among girls than boys. While the simulated effect tends to be larger than the actual effect, the latter lies within bootstrapped confidence intervals of the simulation.
|
|
|
|
Order a print copy
|
|
Series: |
Working Paper No. 09/187 |
|
Subject(s): |
Economic models | Education | Human capital | Income | Labor markets | Labor productivity | Labor supply | Mexico | Payment systems | Poverty reduction | Private sector | Social policy |
|
Author's keyword(s): |
Keywords:
microsimulation
| conditional transfers
| demand for schooling
| child labor
| PROGRESA
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Published: |
|
September 1, 2009 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
Format: |
|
Paper |
| |
Stock No: |
|
WPIEA2009187 |
|
Pages: |
|
35 |
| |
Price: |
|
US$18.00 (Academic Rate: US$18.00 )
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
