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A Rule-Based Medium-Term Fiscal Policy Framework for Tanzania

Author/Editor: Kim, Daehaeng | Saito, Mika
Authorized for Distribution: November 1, 2009
Electronic Access: Free Full Text (PDF file size is 1,013KB)
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate.

Summary: A zero net domestic financing (NDF) target has served Tanzania well in recent years, contributing to prudent expenditure policy, improved fiscal sustainability, and macroeconomic stability. Moving to a more flexible fiscal policy, however, may serve Tanzania better. The "diamond rule" proposed in this paper incorporates a permanent hard ceiling on debt and annual benchmark limits on NDF, expenditure growth, and nonconcessional external financing. This rule would provide flexibility for countercyclical policy and help define the fiscal space for infrastructure spending that is consistent with longrun fiscal sustainability. An illustrative simulation shows that Tanzania has considerable fiscal space for development spending.
 
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Series: Working Paper No. 09/244
Subject(s): Budgetary policy | Budgeting | Cross country analysis | Debt sustainability | External borrowing | External debt | Fiscal policy | Fiscal sustainability | Government expenditures | Public investment | Revenues | Tanzania
Author's keyword(s): Fiscal sustainability | fiscal rules | medium-term fiscal framework
 
English  
    Published:   November 1, 2009        
            Format:   Paper
    Stock No:   WPIEA2009244   Pages:   29
    Price:   US$18.00 (Academic Rate: US$18.00 )
       
     
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