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May 23, 2013

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Subject/Keyword: forecasting

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1. Title: Understanding DSGE Filters in Forecasting and Policy Analysis   Author/Editor: Andrle, Michal   Series: Working Paper No. 13/98   Published: May 08, 2013   Subject(s): Business cycles | Monetary policy | Economic models | Economic forecasting     2. Title: GPM6 - The Global Projection Model with 6 Regions   Author/Editor: Carabenciov, Ioan ; Freedman, Charles ; Garcia-Saltos, Roberto ; Laxton, Douglas ; Kamenik, Ondra ; Manchev, Petar   Series: Working Paper No. 13/87   Published: April 10, 2013   Subject(s): Forecasting models | Real effective exchange rates | Interest rates | External shocks | Unemployment | Demand | Spillovers | World Economic Outlook     3. Title: Rating Through-the-Cycle: What does the Concept Imply for Rating Stability and Accuracy?   Author/Editor: Kiff, John ; Kisser, Michael ; Schumacher, Liliana   Series: Working Paper No. 13/64   Published: March 08, 2013   Subject(s): Credit risk | Business cycles | Forecasting models     4. Title: Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries: Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya   Author/Editor: Andrle, Michal ; Berg, Andrew ; Morales, R. ; Portillo, Rafael ; Vlcek, Jan   Series: Working Paper No. 13/61   Published: March 07, 2013   Subject(s): Economic forecasting | Kenya | Food imports | Inflation | Monetary policy | Low-income developing countries | Forecasting models     5. Title: Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel   Author/Editor: Dovern, Jonas ; Fritsche, Ulrich ; Loungani, Prakash ; Tamirisa, Natalia   Series: Working Paper No. 13/56   Published: February 27, 2013   Subject(s): Economic growth | Developed countries | Emerging markets | Economic forecasting     6. Title: Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers   Author/Editor: Blanchard, Olivier ; Leigh, Daniel   Series: Working Paper No. 13/1   Published: January 03, 2013   Subject(s): Economic growth | Fiscal policy | Government expenditures | Economic forecasting | Economic models     7. Title: Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts   Author/Editor: Coibion, Olivier ; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy   Series: Working Paper No. 12/296   Published: December 20, 2012   Subject(s): Economic forecasting | Economic models     8. Title: A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks: Application to Stress Testing   Author/Editor: Taleb, Nassim N. ; Canetti, Elie ; Kinda, Tidiane ; Loukoianova, Elena ; Schmieder, Christian   Series: Working Paper No. 12/216   Published: August 01, 2012   Subject(s): Banks | Economic models | Public debt | Stress testing   Author's Keyword(s): Stress Testing | Forecasting | Stability   9. Title: Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows   Author/Editor: Leeper, Eric M. ; Walker, Todd B. ; Yang, Shu-Chun S.   Series: Working Paper No. 12/153   Published: June 01, 2012   Subject(s): Asset prices | Economic forecasting | Fiscal policy | Forecasting models | Tax policy   Author's Keyword(s): News | anticipated taxes | non-fundamental representation | identified VARs   10. Title: Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach   Author/Editor: Vitek, Francis   Series: Working Paper No. 12/149   Published: June 01, 2012   Subject(s): Cross country analysis | Fiscal policy | Monetary policy | Monetary transmission mechanism | Spillovers | Forecasting models   Author's Keyword(s): Monetary policy analysis | Fiscal policy analysis | Spillover analysis | Forecasting | World economy | Panel unobserved components model | Bayesian econometrics   11. Title: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012: Asia and Pacific - Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing   Author/Editor: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept   Published: April 27, 2012   Subject(s): Asia and Pacific | Banks | Capital markets | China | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | Europe | External shocks | Spillovers   Author's Keyword(s): economic | stabilization | turnaround | outlook | risks | policy challenges | sustainable growth | Asia | Pacific | financial linkages | financial markets | systemic economies | market movements | macroeconomics | macroeconomic policies | deleveraging | European banks | euro area | Lehman crisis | shock | rebalancing | low-income countries | Pacific Island countries | integration | investment | economic links   12. Title: Systemic Real and Financial Risks: Measurement, Forecasting, and Stress Testing   Author/Editor: De Nicoló, Gianni ; Lucchetta, Marcella   Series: Working Paper No. 12/58   Published: February 01, 2012   Subject(s): Economic indicators | Financial risk | Forecasting models | Group of seven | Time series   Author's Keyword(s): Systemic Risks | Dynamic Factor Model | Quantile Auto-regressions | Density Forecasts   13. Title: Inflation Dynamics in FYR Macedonia   Author/Editor: Shamloo, Maral   Series: Working Paper No. 11/287   Published: December 01, 2011   Subject(s): Forecasting models | Inflation | Interest rates | Macedonia, former Yugoslav Republic of | Monetary policy   Author's Keyword(s): Inflation forecasting | VECM | DFM | Phillips Curve   14. Title: Precautionary Savings in a Small Open Economy Revisited   Author/Editor: Roitman, Agustin   Series: Working Paper No. 11/253   Published: November 01, 2011   Subject(s): Borrowing | Forecasting models | Interest rates | Savings   Author's Keyword(s): Saving | precautionary savings | risk aversion | prudence | preferences   15. Title: Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?   Author/Editor: Reichsfeld, David A ; Roache, Shaun K.   Series: Working Paper No. 11/254   Published: November 01, 2011   Subject(s): Commodity markets | Commodity prices | Economic forecasting | Forecasting models   Author's Keyword(s): Asset Pricing | Futures Pricing | Financial Forecasting   16. Title: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011: Sub-Saharan Africa - Sustaining the Expansion   Author/Editor: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.   Published: October 26, 2011   Subject(s): Regional Economic Outlook | Sub-Saharan Africa | Economic growth | Export growth | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Cross country analysis   Author's Keyword(s): World Economic and Financial Surveys | Sustaining the Expansion | growth | risk | growth-poverty disconnect | real income | emerging partners | new markets | policy issues | foreign direct investment | special economic zones | exports | commodity prices | Engel curves | trade policy | tariffs   17. Title: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011: Middle East and Central Asia   Author/Editor: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.   Published: October 26, 2011   Subject(s): Regional Economic Outlook | Afghanistan, Rep. of | Pakistan | Middle East and Central Asia | North Africa | Oil exporting countries | Economic recovery | Imports | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Cross country analysis   Author's Keyword(s): World Economic and Financial Survey | oil exporters | oil importers | natural gas | oil | commodity prices | monetary policy | Sudan | South Sudan | energy prices | remittances | tax revenues | unemployment | fiscal deficits | fiscal balances | sovereign risk | spillovers | credit growth | inflationary pressures | inflation | GDP growth | loan concentration | foreign direct investment |   18. Title: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011: Asia and Pacific - Navigating an Uncertain Global Environment While Building Inclusive Growth   Author/Editor: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept   Published: October 07, 2011   Subject(s): Asia and Pacific | Credit expansion | Demand | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | Economic indicators | Inflation | Economic integration   Author's Keyword(s): World Economic and Financial Surveys | growth | domestic demand | inflation pressure | uncertain global environment | downside risks | spillovers | euro area stress | banks | vulnerabilities | policy challenges | rapid credit growth | monetary policy | poverty | growth | inequality | financial integration | risk sharing | contagion | resilience   19. Title: Predicting Recessions: A New Approach For Identifying Leading Indicators and Forecast Combinations   Author/Editor: Baba, Chikako ; Kisinbay, Turgut   Series: Working Paper No. 11/235   Published: October 01, 2011   Subject(s): Business cycles | Economic forecasting | Economic indicators | Economic recession | Forecasting models | United States   Author's Keyword(s): business cycles | leading indicators | forecast encompassing | forecast combination   20. Title: Portugal: First Review Under the Extended Arrangement   Series: Country Report No. 11/279   Published: September 13, 2011   Subject(s): Extended arrangement reviews | Extended Fund Facility | Financial sector | Fiscal policy | Fiscal reforms | Economic indicators | Letters of Intent | Financial stability | Economic forecasting | Portugal

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