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1. |
Title:
The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area
Author/Editor: Espinoza, Raphael A. ; Fornari, Fabio ; Lombardi, Marco
Series: Working Paper No. 09/241
Published: November 1, 2009
Subject(s): Asset prices | Business cycles | Cross country analysis | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | Economic models | Euro Area | Financial crisis | Financial sector | Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009 | Stock markets
Author's keyword(s):
VAR | Financial Variables | International Linkages | Conditional Forecast
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2. |
Title:
Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach
Author/Editor: Vitek, Francis
Series: Working Paper No. 09/238
Published: October 1, 2009
Subject(s): Business cycles | Cross country analysis | Developed countries | Economic forecasting | Economic models | Emerging markets | Financial sector | Inflation | International financial system | Monetary policy | Monetary transmission mechanism | Real sector
Author's keyword(s):
Monetary policy analysis; forecasting; world economy; panel unobserved components model; Bayesian conditioning on judgment.
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3. |
Title:
Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis
Author/Editor: Chen, Huigang ; Clinton, Kevin ; Johnson, Marianne ; Kamenik, Ondra ; Laxton, Douglas
Series: Working Paper No. 09/214
Published: September 1, 2009
Subject(s): Bank credit | Credit restraint | Economic forecasting | Economic models | European Union | Inflation targeting | Interest rates | Japan | Monetary policy | Oil prices | United States
Author's keyword(s):
forecasting and simulation; forecast confidence bands
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4. |
Title:
Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart
Author/Editor: Elekdag, Selim ; Kannan, Prakash
Series: Working Paper No. 09/178
Published: August 1, 2009
Subject(s): Data analysis | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | Economic models | Forecasting models | Markets | World Economic Outlook
Author's keyword(s):
Fan Chart | Balance of Risks | Option Prices | Consensus Forecasts
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5. |
Title:
Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific--Building a Sustained Recovery, October 2009
Published: April 27, 2009
Subject(s): Asia and Pacific | Cross country analysis | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Economic recovery | Financial crisis | Fiscal sustainability | Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009 | Regional Economic Outlook
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6. |
Title:
Global Relative Poverty
Author/Editor: Nielsen, Lynge
Series: Working Paper No. 09/93
Published: April 1, 2009
Subject(s): Poverty | Income distribution | Economic growth | Economic forecasting | Social indicators
Author's keyword(s):
Relative poverty | global income inequality
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7. |
Title:
A Small Quarterly Multi-Country Projection Model with Financial-Real Linkages and Oil Prices
Author/Editor: Carabenciov, Ioan ; Ermolaev, Igor ; Freedman, Charles ; Juillard, Michel ; Kamenik, Ondra ; Korshunov, Dmitry ; Laxton, Douglas ; Laxton, Jared
Series: Working Paper No. 08/280
Published: December 1, 2008
Subject(s): Economic forecasting | United States | Euro Area | Japan | Oil prices | Monetary policy | External shocks | Forecasting models
Author's keyword(s):
Macroeconomic Modeling; Forecasting; Bayesian Estimation; Monetary Policy
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8. |
Title:
A Small Quarterly Projection Model of the US Economy
Author/Editor: Carabenciov, Ioan ; Ermolaev, Igor ; Freedman, Charles ; Juillard, Michel ; Kamenik, Ondra ; Korshunov, Dmitry ; Laxton, Douglas
Series: Working Paper No. 08/278
Published: December 1, 2008
Subject(s): Economic forecasting | United States | Monetary policy | Forecasting models
Author's keyword(s):
Macroeconomic Modeling; Bayesian Estimation; Monetary Policy
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9. |
Title:
Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap in Slovakia
Author/Editor: Konuki, Tetsuya
Series: Working Paper No. 08/275
Published: December 1, 2008
Subject(s): Production | Slovak Republic | Economic growth | Economic indicators | Economic forecasting | Economic models
Author's keyword(s):
Slovakia; potential output; Kalman filter
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10. |
Title:
Analyzing Determinants of Inflation When There Are Data Limitation:The Case of Sierra Leone
Author/Editor: Gottschalk, Jan ; Kalonji, Kadima D. ; Miyajima, Ken
Series: Working Paper No. 08/271
Published: December 1, 2008
Subject(s): Inflation | Sierra Leone | Data analysis | Economic forecasting | Oil prices | Money supply | Exchange rate depreciation | Forecasting models
Author's keyword(s):
Historical decomposition | impulse response | inflation | variance decomposition | vector autoregression (VAR)
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11. |
Title:
Inflation Targeting and Communication: It Pays Off to Read Inflation Reports
Author/Editor: Bulir, Ales ; Smídková, Katerina ; Kotlán, Viktor ; Navrátil, David
Series: Working Paper No. 08/234
Published: October 1, 2008
Subject(s): Inflation targeting | Central banks | Economic forecasting | Monetary policy | Transparency | Emerging markets | Chile | Czech Republic | Hungary | Poland | Thailand | Sweden
Author's keyword(s):
Inflation targeting | forecasting | monetary policy | transparency | emerging markets
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12. |
Title:
Islamic Republic of Iran: Selected Issues
Series: Country Report No. 08/285
Published: August 14, 2008
Subject(s): Demand for money | Economic forecasting | Economic reforms | Inflation | Oil sector | Public finance | Stabilization funds | Subsidies | Iran, Islamic Republic of
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13. |
Title:
Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdown on Thai Growth
Author/Editor: Aiyar, Shekhar ; Tchakarov, Ivan
Series: Working Paper No. 08/140
Published: May 1, 2008
Subject(s): Thailand | Economic growth | Exports | Economic forecasting
Author's keyword(s):
Growth; U.S. Slowdown; Bayesian Estimation; Thailand
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14. |
Title:
The Use of Encompassing Tests for Forecast Combinations
Author/Editor: Kisinbay, Turgut
Series: Working Paper No. 07/264
Published: November 1, 2007
Subject(s): Forecasting models | Economic forecasting
Author's keyword(s):
Forecast combination | forecast encompassing | thick-modeling
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15. |
Title:
Wild or Tamed?: India's Potential Growth
Author/Editor: Oura, Hiroko
Series: Working Paper No. 07/224
Published: September 1, 2007
Subject(s): Economic growth | India | Economic forecasting | Gross domestic product | Economic reforms | Productivity
Author's keyword(s):
India | potential growth | economic growth
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16. |
Title:
Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa
Author/Editor: Arora, Vivek B.
Series: Working Paper No. 07/123
Published: May 1, 2007
Subject(s): Economic forecasting | South Africa | Transparency | Monetary policy | Capital markets
Author's keyword(s):
Monetary policy | transparency | financial markets | South Africa
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17. |
Title:
Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan African (April 2007)
Series: Regional Economic Outlook
Published: April 12, 2007
Subject(s): Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Sub-Saharan Africa
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18. |
Title:
Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific (April 2007)
Published: April 12, 2007
Subject(s): Economic forecasting | Economic conditions | Asia and Pacific
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19. |
Title:
Regional Economic Outlook: Western Hemisphere (April 2007)
Published: April 12, 2007
Subject(s): Western Hemisphere | Economic forecasting | Economic conditions
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20. |
Title:
Testing the Transparency Benefits of Inflation Targeting: Evidence from Private Sector Forecasts
Author/Editor: Crowe, Christopher W.
Series: Working Paper No. 06/289
Published: December 1, 2006
Subject(s): Inflation targeting | Inflation | Economic forecasting | Central banks | Transparency | Private sector | Forecasting models | Economic models
Author's keyword(s):
Inflation targeting | inflation forecasts | Central Bank transparency | propensity score matching
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