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1. |
Title:
Understanding DSGE Filters in Forecasting and Policy Analysis
Author/Editor: Andrle, Michal
Series: Working Paper No. 13/98
Published: May 8, 2013
Subject(s): Business cycles | Monetary policy | Economic models | Economic forecasting
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2. |
Title:
Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries: Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya
Author/Editor: Andrle, Michal ; Berg, Andrew ; Morales, R. ; Portillo, Rafael ; Vlcek, Jan
Series: Working Paper No. 13/61
Published: March 7, 2013
Subject(s): Economic forecasting | Kenya | Food imports | Inflation | Monetary policy | Low-income developing countries | Forecasting models
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3. |
Title:
Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel
Author/Editor: Dovern, Jonas ; Fritsche, Ulrich ; Loungani, Prakash ; Tamirisa, Natalia
Series: Working Paper No. 13/56
Published: February 27, 2013
Subject(s): Economic growth | Developed countries | Emerging markets | Economic forecasting
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4. |
Title:
Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers
Author/Editor: Blanchard, Olivier ; Leigh, Daniel
Series: Working Paper No. 13/1
Published: January 3, 2013
Subject(s): Economic growth | Fiscal policy | Government expenditures | Economic forecasting | Economic models
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5. |
Title:
Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts
Author/Editor: Coibion, Olivier ; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
Series: Working Paper No. 12/296
Published: December 20, 2012
Subject(s): Economic forecasting | Economic models
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6. |
Title:
Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows
Author/Editor: Leeper, Eric M. ; Walker, Todd B. ; Yang, Shu-Chun S.
Series: Working Paper No. 12/153
Published: June 1, 2012
Subject(s): Asset prices | Economic forecasting | Fiscal policy | Forecasting models | Tax policy
Author's keyword(s):
News
| anticipated taxes
| non-fundamental representation
| identified VARs
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7. |
Title:
Regional Economic Outlook, April 2012: Asia and Pacific - Managing Spillovers and Advancing Economic Rebalancing
Author/Editor: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Published: April 27, 2012
Subject(s): Asia and Pacific | Banks | Capital markets | China | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | Europe | External shocks | Spillovers
Author's keyword(s):
economic
| stabilization
| turnaround
| outlook
| risks
| policy challenges
| sustainable growth
| Asia
| Pacific
| financial linkages
| financial markets
| systemic economies
| market movements
| macroeconomics
| macroeconomic policies
| deleveraging
| European banks
| euro area
| Lehman crisis
| shock
| rebalancing
| low-income countries
| Pacific Island countries
| integration
| investment
| economic links
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8. |
Title:
Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?
Author/Editor: Reichsfeld, David A ; Roache, Shaun K.
Series: Working Paper No. 11/254
Published: November 1, 2011
Subject(s): Commodity markets | Commodity prices | Economic forecasting | Forecasting models
Author's keyword(s):
Asset Pricing
| Futures Pricing
| Financial Forecasting
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9. |
Title:
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011: Middle East and Central Asia
Author/Editor: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Published: October 26, 2011
Subject(s): Regional Economic Outlook | Afghanistan, Rep. of | Pakistan | Middle East and Central Asia | North Africa | Oil exporting countries | Economic recovery | Imports | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Cross country analysis
Author's keyword(s):
World Economic and Financial Survey; oil exporters; oil importers; natural gas; oil; commodity prices; monetary policy; Sudan; South Sudan; energy prices; remittances; tax revenues; unemployment; fiscal deficits; fiscal balances; sovereign risk; spillovers; credit growth; inflationary pressures; inflation; GDP growth; loan concentration; foreign direct investment;
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10. |
Title:
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011: Sub-Saharan Africa - Sustaining the Expansion
Author/Editor: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Published: October 26, 2011
Subject(s): Regional Economic Outlook | Sub-Saharan Africa | Economic growth | Export growth | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Cross country analysis
Author's keyword(s):
World Economic and Financial Surveys
| Sustaining the Expansion
| growth
| risk
| growth-poverty disconnect
| real income
| emerging partners
| new markets
| policy issues
| foreign direct investment
| special economic zones
| exports
| commodity prices
| Engel curves
| trade policy
| tariffs
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11. |
Title:
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011: Asia and Pacific - Navigating an Uncertain Global Environment While Building Inclusive Growth
Author/Editor: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Published: October 7, 2011
Subject(s): Asia and Pacific | Credit expansion | Demand | Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | Economic indicators | Inflation | Economic integration
Author's keyword(s):
World Economic and Financial Surveys
| growth
| domestic demand
| inflation pressure
| uncertain global environment
| downside risks
| spillovers
| euro area stress
| banks
| vulnerabilities
| policy challenges
| rapid credit growth
| monetary policy
| poverty
| growth
| inequality
| financial integration
| risk sharing
| contagion
| resilience
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12. |
Title:
Predicting Recessions: A New Approach For Identifying Leading Indicators and Forecast Combinations
Author/Editor: Baba, Chikako ; Kisinbay, Turgut
Series: Working Paper No. 11/235
Published: October 1, 2011
Subject(s): Business cycles | Economic forecasting | Economic indicators | Economic recession | Forecasting models | United States
Author's keyword(s):
business cycles
| leading indicators
| forecast encompassing
| forecast combination
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13. |
Title:
Portugal: First Review Under the Extended Arrangement
Series: Country Report No. 11/279
Published: September 13, 2011
Subject(s): Extended arrangement reviews | Extended Fund Facility | Financial sector | Fiscal policy | Fiscal reforms | Economic indicators | Letters of Intent | Financial stability | Economic forecasting | Portugal
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14. |
Title:
Republic of Poland: Selected Issues
Series: Country Report No. 11/167
Published: July 8, 2011
Subject(s): Pensions | Inflation | Economic forecasting | Selected issues | Poland
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15. |
Title:
Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence
Author/Editor: Loungani, Prakash ; Stekler, Herman ; Tamirisa, Natalia T.
Series: Working Paper No. 11/125
Published: June 1, 2011
Subject(s): Cross country analysis | Data analysis | Developed countries | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | Economic models | Economic recession | Emerging markets | Financial crisis
Author's keyword(s):
Information rigidity; forecasts; recessions; crises
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16. |
Title:
In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?
Author/Editor: Hauner, David ; Lee, Jaewoo ; Takizawa, H.
Series: Working Paper No. 11/116
Published: May 1, 2011
Subject(s): Economic forecasting | Exchange rates | Forecasting models | Interest rate differential | Purchasing power parity
Author's keyword(s):
Exchange rate models
| forecasting.
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17. |
Title:
Identifying Fiscal Policy Transmission in Stochastic Debt Forecasts
Author/Editor: Kawakami, Kei ; Romeu, Rafael
Series: Working Paper No. 11/107
Published: May 1, 2011
Subject(s): Brazil | Debt sustainability | Economic forecasting | Fiscal policy | Public debt
Author's keyword(s):
Debt sustainability
| forecasting
| Brazil
| IMF
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18. |
Title:
Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies
Author/Editor: Liu, Philip ; Matheson, Troy ; Romeu, Rafael
Series: Working Paper No. 11/98
Published: April 1, 2011
Subject(s): Cross country analysis | Data quality assessment framework | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | Forecasting models | Latin America
Author's keyword(s):
Nowcasting
| Short-term forecasting
| Real-time data
| and Latin America
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19. |
Title:
Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area
Author/Editor: Matheson, Troy
Series: Working Paper No. 11/93
Published: April 1, 2011
Subject(s): Economic conditions | Economic forecasting | Euro Area | Forecasting models | United States
Author's keyword(s):
Financial Conditions
| Short-term Forecasting
| Real-Time Data
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20. |
Title:
Fiscal Expectations Under the Stability and Growth Pact: Evidence from Survey Data
Author/Editor: Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos ; Rulke, Jan-Christoph
Series: Working Paper No. 11/48
Published: March 1, 2011
Subject(s): Budget deficits | Cross country analysis | Economic forecasting | Economic growth | European Economic and Monetary Union | Fiscal policy | Fiscal stability | France | Germany | Italy | United Kingdom
Author's keyword(s):
expectations
| credibility
| Stability and Growth Pact
| survey data.
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