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The Fifteenth Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference will be held at IMF headquarters in Washington D.C. on November 13–14, 2014. The theme of this year's conference is "Cross-Border Spillovers." The conference is intended to provide a forum for discussing innovative research and to facilitate the exchange of views among researchers and policymakers. Hélène Rey (London Business School) will deliver the Mundell-Fleming Lecture.


IMF Global Housing Watch

The International Monetary has launched the Global Housing Watch, a webpage that tracks developments in housing markets across the world on a quarterly basis. The Housing Watch provides current data on house prices as well as metrics used to assess valuation in housing markets, such as house price-to-rent and house-price-to-income ratios.


Two Sides of the Same Coin? Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China

Author/Editor: Il Houng Lee, Murtaza H. Syed, and Xin Wang
Is inequality an inevitable side-effect of China's capital-intensive and export-oriented growth model? A new IMF paper provides evidence that it is, so that rebalancing China's growth may be key not only to making it more sustainable -- but also more inclusive.


Enhancing China’s Medium-Term Growth Prospects

Author/Editor: Malhar Nabar and Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye
China is at a crossroads; the steps it will take in the next few years will determine whether it can successfully transition to a high-income economy. This paper presents the challenges China faces and provides insights on how it can successfully transition to a high-income economy.


This Time They Are Different: Heterogeneity and Nonlinearity in the Relationship Between Debt and Growth

Author/Editor: Markus Eberhardt and Andrea Presbitero
The notion of a common 'tipping point' in the relationship between public debt and growth is widely accepted. A new IMF working paper suggests that once this relationship is allowed to differ across countries there is limited evidence to support the presence of a common within-country debt threshold.


Exchange Rate Management and Crisis Susceptibility: A Reassessment

Author/Editor: Atish R. Ghosh, Jonathan David Ostry, and Mahvash Saeed Qureshi
A recent IMF paper questions the bipolar prescription that emerging markets should avoid intermediate exchange rate regimes. It finds that hard pegs are more prone to growth collapses, while managed exchange rate arrangements may be resilient to crisis, depending upon the direction and circumstances under which the central bank intervenes.

October 2014
Legacies, Clouds, Uncertainties


World Economic Outlook

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Global Financial Stability Report

April 2014

Moving from
Liquidity- to Growth-Driven Markets

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Fiscal Monitor

april 2014

Public Expenditure Reform: Making Difficult Choices


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Regional Economic Reports

April, 2014

Discuss recent economic developments and prospects for countries in various regions.

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G-20 Surveillance Notes
G-20 Surveillance Notes

Notes provided by the IMF staff ahead of a series of meetings held by the G-20 deputies and ministers.

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Macro Research for Development

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Having weathered the 2008-09 financial crises, most low-income countries (LICs) have reported steady growth since early 2010.

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Researchers at the IMF

Serkan Arslanalp, IMF Senior Economist
IMF Researcher

Serkan Arslanalp is a senior economist in the Monetary and Capital Markets Department. He holds an undergraduate degree in Economics from MIT and a Ph.D in Economics from Stanford University. His research interests are international finance, asset pricing, sovereign debt, and public finance. He contributes regularly to the IMF’s Global Financial Stability Report and has been working on Japan over the last three years. Serkan's research has been published in leading journals including the IMF Economic Review, Journal of Economic Perspectives, and the Journal of Finance. Read more

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Video: Rethinking Macro 2: Voices from the Conference

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