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The Price of Oil and the Price of Carbon

By: By Rabah Arezki and Maurice Obstfeld
Policymakers should not allow low energy prices to derail the clean energy transition. Action to restore appropriate price incentives, notably through corrective carbon pricing, is urgently needed to lower the risk of irreversible and potentially devastating effects of climate change. That approach also offers fiscal benefits. Read more...

IMF WORKING PAPER

News Shocks in Open Economies: Evidence from Giant Oil Discoveries

Author/Editor: Rabah Arezki, Valerie A Ramey, and Liugang Sheng.
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output. After an oil discovery, the current account and saving rate decline for the first 5 years and then rise sharply during the ensuing years. Investment rises robustly soon after the news arrives, while GDP does not increase until after 5 years. Employment rates fall slightly for a sustained period of time. Read more...

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NEW: Update, July 2016: Uncertainty in the Aftermath of the U.K. Referendum

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Sampawende J-A. Tapsoba, Fiscal Affairs Department
IMF Researcher

Sampawende J-A. Tapsoba works in the Fiscal Affairs Department and has experience on a variety of advanced, emerging, and low-income countries. He holds a PhD in International Economics from Clermont School of Economics (France). His research interests cover international and development economics including inclusive growth, fiscal and monetary policies, regional integration, and foreign aid. He published in academic and policy journals including African Development Review, Economic Modelling, Economics Bulletin, Journal of African Economies, Review of Development Economics, and The World Economy. Read more

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