## JOANNES MONGARDINI ## Source details **Canonical URL:** [JOANNES MONGARDINI](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/cv/pdfs/joannes-mongardini.pdf) ## Other formats - [Markdown version](/-/media/files/cv/pdfs/joannes-mongardini.pdf.md) - [Structured JSON version](/-/media/files/cv/pdfs/joannes-mongardini.pdf.json) --- ### Professional background - Deputy Division Chief, Economic Modeling Division, Research Department, International Monetary Fund, July 2015 to present; assignments included: Led the Global Projection Model Team and CD mission chief for Armenia, Israel, Jordan, and Morocco. - Leave Without Pay in the Interest of the Fund as Chief Economist for Qatar National Bank, Doha, Qatar, June 2013 to June 2015. - Deputy Division Chief, African Department, International Monetary Fund, March 2006 to June 2013; assignments included: Mission Chief for Benin, Burundi, Namibia, the Republic of Congo, and Swaziland. - Senior Economist, Middle East and Central Asia Department, International Monetary Fund, January 2002 to March 2006; assignments included: Jordan and Lebanon. - Economist, European II Department, International Monetary Fund, September 2000 to December 2001; assignment: Estonia. - Economist, Policy Development and Review Department, International Monetary Fund, October 1997 to August 2000; assignments: Colombia, FYR Macedonia, and Kyrgyz Republic. - Economist, Middle Eastern Department, International Monetary Fund, October 1996 to September 1997; assignments: Egypt and United Arab Emirates. - Chief Economist, Qatar National Bank—Led the Economics Team to provide economic research on 27 countries where the Bank was present; ran macroeconomic stress tests for the allocation of the bank’s capital and capital adequacy risk assessments; supported the CEO’s decisions on the bank’s expansion strategy; represented the bank to investors and clients through public speeches and conference calls. - Research Associate, Center for Computable Economics, UCLA, July 1995 to July 1996. - Lecturer, Department of Economics, UCLA, Spring 1995. ### Areas of expertise - Multilateral and Bilateral Surveillance - Capacity Development - Macroeconomic Forecasting - Regional Integration - Fiscal and Monetary Policy - Inclusive Leadership in Innovation - Macroprudential Regulations - Motivating Diverse Teams to Excel ### Recent courses and seminars - iLab Sparks Series, SWIFT Nowcasting Project and COVID-19, April 2, 2020 and StayConnected Video, May 7, 2020. - New Economy Forum: Fintech Exchange Series—Spring Meetings 2019, Presentation on The Economics of Data, April 12, 2019. - Seminars on the Global Projection Model and Global Forecasting, ICD MPAF Courses, 2016-19. ### Academic publications (selected) - "Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding SWIFT Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade", with Narek Ghazaryan, Alexei Goumilevski, and Aneta Radzikowski, IMF Working Paper No. 21/293, December 2021. - "Improving the Short-term Forecast of World Trade During the Covid-19 Pandemic Using SWIFT Data on Letters of Credit", with Benjamin Carton, Nan Hu, and Aneta Radzikowski, IMF Working Paper No. 20/247, November 2020. - "Global Smartphone Sales May Have Peaked: What Next?", with Aneta Radzikowski, IMF Working Paper No. 20/70, May 2020. - "Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea", with Niels-Jakob Harbo Hansen and Fan Zhang, IMF Working Paper No. 19/167, August 2019. - "Smartphones and Global Trade", with Benjamin Carton and Yiqun Li, World Economic Outlook, Chapter 1, Box 1.1, April 2018. - "A New Smartphone for Every Fifth Person on Earth: Quantifying the New Tech Cycle", with Benjamin Carton and Yiqun Li, IMF Working Paper No. 18/22, featured also in the IMF Blog, Smartphones Drive New Global Tech Cycle, but Is Demand Peaking?, February 8, 2018. - "Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles: Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits", in P. Pauly (editor), Global Economic Modeling, World Scientific Publishing, 2018. - "Macroeconomic Policy When Policy Space is Constrained: A Comprehensive, Consistent, and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy", with Vitor Gaspar, Maurice Obstfeld, Ratna Sahay and others, IMF Staff Discussion Note 16/09. - "Reflating Japan: Time to Get Unconventional?", with Elif Arbatli and others, IMF Working Paper No. 16/157. - "Upgrading Brazil’s Inflation-Targeting Framework", with Sílvia Domit and Douglas Laxton, IMF Selected Issues Paper 16/349, pp. 115-40. - "Mitigating the Deadly Embrace in Financial Cycles: Countercyclical Buffers and Loan-to-Value Limits", with Jaromir Benes and Douglas Laxton, IMF Working Paper No. 16/87. - "Building a Common Future in Southern Africa", IMF Book, 2012 (with others). - "The Design of Fiscal Adjustment Strategies in Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland", IMF Working Paper No. 11/266 (with others). - "In the Wake of the Global Economic Crisis: Adjusting to Lower SACU Revenue in Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland", 2011 African Departmental Paper (with others). - "The Macroeconomics of Scaling Up Aid: The Gleneagles Initiative for Benin", 2009 IMF Working Paper WP/09/115 (with Issouf Samake). - "Grants, Remittances, and the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Sub-Saharan African Countries", 2009 IMF Working Paper WP/09/75 (with Brett Rayner). - "The Macroeconomics of Scaling-up Aid: The Cases of Benin, Niger, and Togo", 2008 IMF Policy paper (with others), September 2008. - "In Search of Equilibrium: Estimating Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Sub-Saharan African Countries", 2007, IMF Working Paper No. 07/90 (with Alexander Chudik). - "Stabilization and Structural Transformation of the Jordanian Economy", 2004 Proceedings of the Conference “The Jordanian Economy in a Changing Environment”, Center for Strategic Studies, University of Amman (with Ahsan H. Mansur). - "Estimating Indexes of Coincident and Leading Indicators: An Application to Jordan", 2003, IMF Working Paper No. 03/170 (with Tahsin Saadi-Seedik). - "The Baltic Countries: Medium-Term Fiscal Issues Related to EU and NATO Accession", 2002, IMF Occasional Paper No. 213 (with others). - "Successful Transition: Estonia Establishes Itself as a Market Economy", 2001, IMF Staff Survey Article, September 17, 2001. - "Ratchet Effects in Currency Substitution", 2000, IMF Staff Papers, Fall 2000 (with Johannes Mueller), earlier published as IMF Working Paper No. 99/102 (with Johannes Mueller). - "Estimating Egypt’s Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate", 1998, IMF Working Paper No. 98/5. - "Egypt: Beyond Stabilization, Toward a Dynamic Market Economy", 1998, IMF Occasional Paper No. 163 (with others). - "Forward Exchange Markets and High Inflation", 1996, UCLA Dissertation, Chair: Axel Leijonhufvud. - "Theorists of Economic Growth from David Hume to the Present", Book Review, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 19 (1995), pp. 869-872. ### IMF staff reports (selected) - Swaziland: Staff Report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation, for the 2011 Staff-Monitored Program, and for 2010 Article IV Consultation. - Benin: Staff reports for the Fifth Review and the Sixth Review under the PRGF Arrangement and the New ECF Arrangement. - Republic of Congo: Staff reports for the Second Review of PRGF Arrangement, the 2007 Article IV Consultation, the 2007 Staff Monitored Program, and the Joint WB/IMF Report on Progress toward meeting the Completion Point Triggers under the Enhanced HIPC Initiative. - Lebanon: Staff reports for the 2006 Article IV Consultation, and for the Interim Staff Visits. - Jordan: Staff reports for the 2002 and 2004 Article IV consultations, the 2002 request of a Stand-by Arrangement and the first SBA review. ### Capacity development - Led CD missions on macro-fiscal modeling to Israel (2019), and on inflation forecast targeting and macroprudential modeling to Armenia (2016), Brazil (2016), Jordan (2016-17), and Morocco (2015-16). - RES CD Department Lead, 2020 to present. - Administered the CD budget for the RES Economic Modeling division in 2015-16. - Liaised with ICD and MCM on ways to increase the RESEM CD budget through donor resources. ### IMF committees and internal roles - Chair, Organizing Committee for the 2021 Jacques Polak Annual Research Conference (ARC). - RES Representative, Enterprise Risk Committee, 2021 to present. - RES Alternate Senior Security Manager, 2020 to present. - RES Change Champion, CDMAP Project, and Department CD Lead, 2019 to present. - Co-Chair, Interdepartmental Working Group on the Fund’s Research Agenda on Digital Technologies, 2018. - Member, Diversity Reference Group, Research Department, 2016-20. - Member, Enterprise Information Steering Committee, 2007-12. - Member, Economic Data Advisory Group Committee, 2007-12. ### Degrees and fellowship - Doctor of Philosophy in Economics, UCLA, December 1996. - Master of Arts in Economics, UCLA, December 1992. - Bachelor of Arts Hounors (First Class) in Economics and Politics, University of York, UK, 1991. - Fellowship, Fondazione Luigi Einaudi, Italy, 1991-93. ### Honors - IMF Managing Director’s Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Challenge, Finalist 2018. - IMF Managing Director’s Big Data Challenge Award, 2016. - IMF Good People Manager Award, African Department, 2012. - IMF Special CIO Award, 2011. - IMF African Departmental Award, June 2010. - IMF African Department Certificate of Appreciation for Best Analytical Contribution, December 2007. ### Languages - English: Superior. - French: Superior. - German: Native. - Italian: Native. - Portuguese: Novice. - Spanish: Superior. --- _Source: https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/cv/pdfs/joannes-mongardini.pdf_