## 1. Data and Terminology

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### A. Background and labor market context
- More than 50 percent of employment in The Bahamas is directly or indirectly linked to tourism.
- Self-employment accounts for nearly one-fifth of private-sector employment (16 percent of total employment; 22 percent of private-sector employment).
- Around 60 percent of workers are dependent private employees.
- Public employment accounts for nearly 20 percent of the workforce.
- Industry distribution of employment: 75 percent in services, 12 percent in wholesale and retail trade, 8 percent in construction, and 6 percent in manufacturing and primary industries.
- Within services: hotels and restaurants employ nearly 17 percent of workers; financial services account for about 12 percent.
- Labor productivity in The Bahamas has generally underperformed regional peers over the past two decades and recovered slowly after the pandemic.
- Human capital constraints: 76 percent of firms in The Bahamas perceive the qualification of employees as a main barrier to innovation (Innovation, Firm Performance and Gender Survey, 2020).
- By 2024, more than half of workers in hotels and restaurants and nearly 70 percent of workers in wholesale and retail were not trained for the area; in construction the share was close to 56 percent.

### B. Key labor market indicators and vulnerabilities
- Education of employed population (by 2023): around 54 percent had completed secondary education; 38 percent had tertiary education.
- Employed women are relatively more educated than men: 42 percent vs. 31 percent with tertiary education.
- Youth unemployment (age 15–24): average 23.2 percent between 2015–2023; overall unemployment rate 10.4 percent.
- Part-time work in 2019: nearly 16 percent of private workers had a part-time job (defined as employed individuals that worked less than 35 hours per week).
- Part-time work by industry in 2019: agriculture 30 percent, community and social services 15 percent, wholesale and retail 11 percent.
- Part-time work by gender in 2019 among private workers: women 12 percent; men 9 percent (difference statistically significant).

### C. Non-standard work and productivity
- Firms relying heavily on non-standard work tend to underinvest in employee training, innovation, and productivity-enhancing technologies (literature cited).
- Firms using higher proportions of flexible labor experience lower productivity growth (Kleinknecht et al. (2006) and other references).

### D. Financial inclusion and informality
- Credit denials reported by Central Bank lending surveys linked to insufficient income, inability to verify income, underemployment conditions, and insufficient time on a job (Appendix I).
- Cross-country evidence: household access to financial services tends to be lower in countries with higher informality (Ohnsorge and Yu (2022)).

### E. Key findings highlighted in this document
- Self-employment is widespread in services and construction and is associated with higher exposure to vulnerability and informality.
- Informal work arrangements affect many dependent private workers: about one-third of dependent private employees work under verbal agreements only (2019).
- Decomposition exercise: the negative earnings gap of self-employed relative to private dependent employees is not fully explained by observable characteristics, suggesting roles for differential returns to skills and other structural barriers.

### F. Data sources and terminology (Box 1)
- Primary data: Bahamas National Statistical Institute Labor Force Surveys (LFS) microdata for May 2019 and May 2023 (confidential waves facilitated by BNSI).
  - 2019 LFS: richer set of questions on working conditions and formality of employment relations (e.g., business license, written or verbal contracts).
  - 2023 LFS: more limited scope (does not allow identification of formal status) but has a significantly higher response rate for annual earnings; chosen as preferred dataset for empirical analysis on labor income gaps. Wages and hours of work are not available in the 2023 survey.
  - Unless otherwise stated, analysis focuses on each person’s main job reported in the surveys.
- Definitions (following the International Labor Organization):
  - Non-Standard Work: temporary employment; part-time and on-call work; temporary agency work and other multiparty employment relationships; disguised employment and dependent self-employment.
  - Self-Employment: employers, own-account workers, contributing family workers and members of producers’ cooperatives.
  - Own-Account Workers: self-employment jobs without continuous engagement of employees.
  - Contributing Family Workers: own-account workers in a market-oriented establishment operated by a related person living in the same household.
  - Vulnerable Employment: comprises own-account and contributing family workers.
  - Informal Employment: persons in main or secondary jobs who are own-account workers, employers and members of producers’ cooperatives employed in their own informal sector enterprises; own-account workers producing goods exclusively for own final use by household; contributing family workers irrespective of enterprise formality; employees holding informal jobs (not subject to national labor legislation, income taxation, social protection, or entitlement to employment benefits).

### G. Self-employment and informal work arrangements (empirical patterns)
- Concentration and composition:
  - About 70 percent of self-employed workers do not have employees (own-account workers).
  - Among non-public employees, more than 28 percent of male workers are self-employed compared to nearly 16 percent of female workers.
  - Sectoral concentration of self-employed workers: 71 percent of self-employed are in three industries — community and personal services (26 percent), wholesale and retail (23 percent), and construction (22 percent).
  - Within construction, more than 4 out of 10 workers were self-employed in 2023.
  - By occupation, most self-employed conduct craft and related occupations, and work in service and shop market sales.
- Informality exposure:
  - 35 percent of the self-employed work in a non-registered business (2019).
  - Only 2 percent of private employees work in a business without any form of registration.
  - Nearly 80 percent of jobs in non-registered businesses are accounted for by self-employed workers.
  - More than half of own-account workers lack social security registration.
- Gender and self-employment:
  - Share of self-employed by sex (2019 vs 2023): patterns show higher prevalence among men in certain categories and industries (figures shown in source).
  - Share of self-employed within industry (2019 vs 2023) shows higher prevalence in agriculture, construction, community/social/personal services, wholesale & retail, and hotels & restaurants.

### H. Empirical approach and document structure
- Uses new microdata to analyze vulnerable and informal employment, with emphasis on self-employment and its earnings implications.
- Section organization:
  - Section B: overview of The Bahamas’ labor market.
  - Section C: examines self-employment trends and sources of labor market informality.
  - Section D: provides empirical estimates of labor income gaps (including Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition of annual labor income).
  - Section E: concludes.
- Appendices include: I. Job Instability, Informality and Access to Credit; II. Supplementary Tables; References.

---

### 14. Other forms of informal work

### Informal arrangements among dependent private employees
- Many dependent private employees report working at a registered business, but almost one-third do not have a written contract and only have a verbal agreement.
- Industries where self-employment is more common are also more likely to hire dependent employees under verbal agreements.
- Sectoral composition of dependent private employees who work under a verbal agreement:
  - Community and personal service sector: 26 percent
  - Wholesale and retail: 21 percent
  - Hotels and restaurants: 19 percent
- Among private employees with a written agreement, 12 percent report that they are not recipients or entitled to employment insurance benefits.

### Self-employment exposure by age
- Among the self-employed:
  - 45 percent of workers aged 25-29 years work in a non-registered business.
  - 37 percent of workers aged 30-49 years work in a non-registered business.
- Among private dependent employees:
  - 23 percent of younger workers work under a verbal agreement.
  - 30 percent of workers aged 30-49 years work under a verbal agreement.

### Working time arrangements and underemployment
- Private dependent employees across all sectors are more likely to work under a regular full-time schedule of 35–40 hours per week.
- Self-employed workers display a more uneven working time distribution:
  - A standard full-time schedule is more common in the financing and insurance services sector for the self-employed.
  - In many other industries, self-employed workers exhibit many jobs exceeding 40 hours per week as well as many below 35 hours.
- Time-related underemployment among self-employed:
  - 39 percent of self-employed who work less than 35 hours report doing so involuntarily, citing the inability to find additional work.

### Cross-country perspective on vulnerable and informal employment (Box 2)
- Definition: According to the ILO, vulnerable employment comprises own-account workers and contributing family workers—assessed as most vulnerable to fall into poverty.
- Vulnerable employment in The Bahamas:
  - Comprises around 15 percent of total employment (WDI, 2023).
  - Is almost entirely explained by own-account workers.
- Informal employment in The Bahamas:
  - Latest available ILO data (2019) shows informal employment around 18 percent.
  - This is lower than regional peers (41 percent) but elevated compared to other high-income countries.
- Correlation: Vulnerable employment and informality are highly correlated, reflecting high exposure to informality among own-account jobs.

### Labor income gaps: methods and key estimates
- Empirical approach:
  - Mincer earnings regression on a restricted sample of self-employed and private employees to estimate differences in log annual earnings controlling for observable characteristics.
  - Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition to split earnings gap into explained and unexplained components.
- Mincer regression result:
  - Self-employed earn on average 19 percent less per year than private employees with the same observable characteristics (note: results are descriptive and not necessarily causal).
- Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition (annual labor income, workers aged 15-64; SE clustered at the island level):
  - Table 1 coefficients:
    - Private Employee mean: 9.838 (SE 0.058; [95% conf. interval] 9.725, 9.952)
    - Self-Employed mean: 9.795 (SE 0.013; [95% conf. interval] 9.769, 9.821)
    - Difference: 0.04 (SE 0.065; p>z 0.501; [95% conf. interval] -0.083, 0.170)
    - Explained component: -0.12 (SE 0.057; z -2.08; P>z 0.037; [95% conf. interval] -0.228, -0.007)
    - Unexplained component: 0.16 (SE 0.037; z 4.31; P>z 0.000; [95% conf. interval] 0.088, 0.235)
    - N Private Employee: 1407
    - N Self-Employed: 410
  - Interpretation:
    - The decomposition suggests a statistically significant explained component of -12 percent and an unexplained component of 16 percent.
    - The negative explained component implies that observable characteristics of the self-employed would predict higher earnings if returns were the same as for private employees.
    - The positive unexplained component reveals a statistically significant penalty after accounting for worker characteristics—differences in returns to skills, job characteristics, and unobservable factors likely drive this penalty.

### Implications of income gaps
- Self-employment may partly reflect limited market access and disadvantages (formal sector wage premiums, job security, social protection) rather than a high-return entrepreneurial option.
- Structural barriers and the association between self-employment and informal work arrangements may prevent workers from translating skills into higher earnings.

### Policy recommendations and conclusions
- Main challenges:
  - Self-employment and informal work arrangements—particularly in services sectors and construction—are key labor market challenges in The Bahamas.
  - Self-employed represent about a fifth of private employment.
  - About a third of dependent private employees work under verbal agreements only.
- Suggested policy actions:
  - Ease supply-side constraints and barriers to business:
    - Simplify business registration requirements.
    - Enhance informational outreach to start-ups.
    - Communicate benefits of formal-sector participation to encourage regularization and creation of more formal jobs.
  - Invest in human capital:
    - Strengthen the education system.
    - Expand vocational training and apprenticeship programs tailored to current labor demand.
    - Improve job-matching services and enhance upskilling opportunities, including lifetime learning, to reduce vulnerable employment and labor informality.

### Appendix I — Job instability, informality and access to credit
- Credit denials linked to insufficient income and unstable employment conditions:
  - H2-2024: nearly 26 and 19 percent of consumer and mortgage denials, respectively, were directly linked to insufficient income (debt service above threshold).
  - Unmet security of employment and informality conditions (inability to verify income, underemployment, insufficient time on job) accounted for 14 and 26 percent of consumer and mortgage denials, respectively.
- Cross-country evidence:
  - Informality is associated with lower output and hinders firms’ and workers’ access to credit markets and financial systems.
  - Household access to financial services tends to be lower in countries with higher informality, reinforcing a cycle that can discourage formalization.

*Source: 1bhsea2026002-source-pdf - 14. Other forms of informal work (LFS 2019, LFS 2023, BNSI, WDI, ILO, IMF staff calculations).*

### 1. Data and Terminology _______________________________________________________________ 4

### 1. Data and Terminology

### A. Background and labor market context
- More than 50 percent of employment in The Bahamas is directly or indirectly linked to tourism.
- Self-employment accounts for nearly one-fifth of private-sector employment (16 percent of total employment; 22 percent of private-sector employment).
- Around 60 percent of workers are dependent private employees.
- Public employment accounts for nearly 20 percent of the workforce.
- Industry distribution of employment: 75 percent in services, 12 percent in wholesale and retail trade, 8 percent in construction, and 6 percent in manufacturing and primary industries.
- Within services: hotels and restaurants employ nearly 17 percent of workers; financial services account for about 12 percent.
- Labor productivity in The Bahamas has generally underperformed regional peers over the past two decades and recovered slowly after the pandemic.
- Human capital constraints: 76 percent of firms in The Bahamas perceive the qualification of employees as a main barrier to innovation (Innovation, Firm Performance and Gender Survey, 2020).
- By 2024, more than half of workers in hotels and restaurants and nearly 70 percent of workers in wholesale and retail were not trained for the area; in construction the share was close to 56 percent.

### B. Key labor market indicators and vulnerabilities
- Education of employed population (by 2023): around 54 percent had completed secondary education; 38 percent had tertiary education.
- Employed women are relatively more educated than men: 42 percent vs. 31 percent with tertiary education.
- Youth unemployment (age 15–24): average 23.2 percent between 2015–2023; overall unemployment rate 10.4 percent.
- Part-time work in 2019: nearly 16 percent of private workers had a part-time job (defined as employed individuals that worked less than 35 hours per week).
- Part-time work by industry in 2019: agriculture 30 percent, community and social services 15 percent, wholesale and retail 11 percent.
- Part-time work by gender in 2019 among private workers: women 12 percent; men 9 percent (difference statistically significant).

### C. Non-standard work and productivity
- International literature cited: firms relying heavily on non-standard work tend to underinvest in employee training, innovation, and productivity-enhancing technologies.
- Firms using higher proportions of flexible labor experience lower productivity growth (Kleinknecht et al. (2006) and other references).

### D. Financial inclusion and informality
- Credit denials reported by Central Bank lending surveys linked to insufficient income, inability to verify income, underemployment conditions, and insufficient time on a job (Appendix I).
- Cross-country evidence: household access to financial services tends to be lower in countries with higher informality (Ohnsorge and Yu (2022)).

### E. Findings highlighted in this document
- Self-employment is widespread in services and construction and is associated with higher exposure to vulnerability and informality.
- Informal work arrangements also affect many dependent private workers: about one-third of dependent private employees work under verbal agreements only (2019).
- A decomposition exercise shows the negative earnings gap of self-employed relative to private dependent employees is not fully explained by observable characteristics, suggesting roles for differential returns to skills and other structural barriers.

### F. Data sources and terminology (Box 1)
- Primary data: Bahamas National Statistical Institute Labor Force Surveys (LFS) microdata for May 2019 and May 2023 (confidential waves facilitated by BNSI).
  - 2019 LFS: richer set of questions on working conditions and formality of employment relations (e.g., business license, written or verbal contracts).
  - 2023 LFS: more limited scope (does not allow identification of formal status) but has a significantly higher response rate for annual earnings; chosen as preferred dataset for empirical analysis on labor income gaps. Wages and hours of work are not available in the 2023 survey.
  - Unless otherwise stated, analysis focuses on each person’s main job reported in the surveys.
- Definitions (following the International Labor Organization):
  - Non-Standard Work: temporary employment; part-time and on-call work; temporary agency work and other multiparty employment relationships; disguised employment and dependent self-employment.
  - Self-Employment: employers, own-account workers, contributing family workers and members of producers’ cooperatives.
  - Own-Account Workers: self-employment jobs without continuous engagement of employees.
  - Contributing Family Workers: own-account workers in a market-oriented establishment operated by a related person living in the same household.
  - Vulnerable Employment: comprises own-account and contributing family workers.
  - Informal Employment: persons in main or secondary jobs who are own-account workers, employers and members of producers’ cooperatives employed in their own informal sector enterprises; own-account workers producing goods exclusively for own final use by household; contributing family workers irrespective of enterprise formality; employees holding informal jobs (not subject to national labor legislation, income taxation, social protection, or entitlement to employment benefits).

### G. Self-employment and informal work arrangements (empirical patterns)
- Concentration and composition:
  - About 70 percent of self-employed workers do not have employees (own-account workers).
  - Among non-public employees, more than 28 percent of male workers are self-employed compared to nearly 16 percent of female workers.
  - Sectoral concentration of self-employed workers: 71 percent of self-employed are in three industries — community and personal services (26 percent), wholesale and retail (23 percent), and construction (22 percent).
  - Within construction, more than 4 out of 10 workers were self-employed in 2023.
  - By occupation, most self-employed conduct craft and related occupations, and work in service and shop market sales.
- Informality exposure:
  - 35 percent of the self-employed work in a non-registered business (2019).
  - Only 2 percent of private employees work in a business without any form of registration.
  - Nearly 80 percent of jobs in non-registered businesses are accounted for by self-employed workers.
  - More than half of own-account workers lack social security registration.
- Gender and self-employment:
  - Share of self-employed by sex (2019 vs 2023): self-employed with employees and self-employed without employees share patterns by men and women (figures shown in source).
  - Share of self-employed within industry (2019 vs 2023) shows higher prevalence in agriculture, construction, community/social/personal services, wholesale & retail, and hotels & restaurants.

### H. Empirical approach and subsequent analysis (document structure)
- The document uses new microdata to analyze vulnerable and informal employment, with emphasis on self-employment and its earnings implications.
- Section organization:
  - Section B: overview of The Bahamas’ labor market.
  - Section C: examines self-employment trends and sources of labor market informality.
  - Section D: provides empirical estimates of labor income gaps (including Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition of annual labor income).
  - Section E: concludes.
- Appendices include: I. Job Instability, Informality and Access to Credit; II. Supplementary Tables; References.

*Prepared by Maria Alexandra Castellanos under the supervision and guidance of Jorge Salas and assistance of Pablo Tillan (all WHD).*

### 14.      Other forms of informal work

### 14.      Other forms of informal work

### Informal arrangements among dependent private employees
- Many dependent private employees report working at a registered business, but almost one-third do not have a written contract and only have a verbal agreement.
- Industries where self-employment is more common are also more likely to hire dependent employees under verbal agreements.
- Sectoral composition of dependent private employees who work under a verbal agreement:
  - Community and personal service sector: 26 percent
  - Wholesale and retail: 21 percent
  - Hotels and restaurants: 19 percent
- Among private employees with a written agreement, 12 percent report that they are not recipients or entitled to employment insurance benefits.

### Self-employment exposure by age
- Among the self-employed:
  - 45 percent of workers aged 25-29 years work in a non-registered business.
  - 37 percent of workers aged 30-49 years work in a non-registered business.
- Among private dependent employees:
  - 23 percent of younger workers (age unspecified in this line but contrasted to 30-49) work under a verbal agreement.
  - 30 percent of workers aged 30-49 years work under a verbal agreement.

### Working time arrangements and underemployment
- Private dependent employees across all sectors are more likely to work under a regular full-time schedule of 35–40 hours per week.
- Self-employed workers display a more uneven working time distribution:
  - A standard full-time schedule is more common in the financing and insurance services sector for the self-employed.
  - In many other industries, self-employed workers exhibit many jobs exceeding 40 hours per week as well as many below 35 hours.
- Time-related underemployment among self-employed:
  - 39 percent of self-employed who work less than 35 hours report doing so involuntarily, citing the inability to find additional work.

### Cross-country perspective on vulnerable and informal employment (Box 2)
- Definition: According to the ILO, vulnerable employment comprises own-account workers and contributing family workers—assessed as most vulnerable to fall into poverty.
- Vulnerable employment in The Bahamas:
  - Comprises around 15 percent of total employment (WDI, 2023).
  - Is almost entirely explained by own-account workers.
- Informal employment in The Bahamas:
  - Latest available ILO data (2019) shows informal employment around 18 percent.
  - This is lower than regional peers (41 percent) but elevated compared to other high-income countries.
- Correlation: Vulnerable employment and informality are highly correlated, reflecting high exposure to informality among own-account jobs.

### Labor income gaps: methods and key estimates
- Empirical approach:
  - Mincer earnings regression on a restricted sample of self-employed and private employees to estimate differences in log annual earnings controlling for observable characteristics.
  - Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition to split earnings gap into explained and unexplained components.
- Mincer regression result:
  - Self-employed earn on average 19 percent less per year than private employees with the same observable characteristics (note: results are descriptive and not necessarily causal).
- Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition (annual labor income, workers aged 15-64; SE clustered at the island level):
  - Table 1 coefficients:
    - Private Employee mean: 9.838 (SE 0.058; [95% conf. interval] 9.725, 9.952)
    - Self-Employed mean: 9.795 (SE 0.013; [95% conf. interval] 9.769, 9.821)
    - Difference: 0.04 (SE 0.065; p>z 0.501; [95% conf. interval] -0.083, 0.170)
    - Explained component: -0.12 (SE 0.057; z -2.08; P>z 0.037; [95% conf. interval] -0.228, -0.007)
    - Unexplained component: 0.16 (SE 0.037; z 4.31; P>z 0.000; [95% conf. interval] 0.088, 0.235)
    - N Private Employee: 1407
    - N Self-Employed: 410
  - Interpretation:
    - The decomposition suggests a statistically significant explained component of -12 percent and an unexplained component of 16 percent.
    - The negative explained component implies that observable characteristics of the self-employed would predict higher earnings if returns were the same as for private employees.
    - The positive unexplained component reveals a statistically significant penalty after accounting for worker characteristics—differences in returns to skills, job characteristics, and unobservable factors likely drive this penalty.

### Implications of income gaps
- Self-employment may partly reflect limited market access and disadvantages (formal sector wage premiums, job security, social protection) rather than a high-return entrepreneurial option.
- Structural barriers and the association between self-employment and informal work arrangements may prevent workers from translating skills into higher earnings.

### Policy recommendations and conclusions
- Main challenges:
  - Self-employment and informal work arrangements—particularly in services sectors and construction—are key labor market challenges in The Bahamas.
  - Self-employed represent about a fifth of private employment.
  - About a third of dependent private employees work under verbal agreements only.
- Suggested policy actions:
  - Ease supply-side constraints and barriers to business:
    - Simplify business registration requirements.
    - Enhance informational outreach to start-ups.
    - Communicate benefits of formal-sector participation to encourage regularization and creation of more formal jobs.
  - Invest in human capital:
    - Strengthen the education system.
    - Expand vocational training and apprenticeship programs tailored to current labor demand.
    - Improve job-matching services and enhance upskilling opportunities, including lifetime learning, to reduce vulnerable employment and labor informality.

### Appendix I — Job instability, informality and access to credit
- Credit denials linked to insufficient income and unstable employment conditions:
  - H2-2024: nearly 26 and 19 percent of consumer and mortgage denials, respectively, were directly linked to insufficient income (debt service above threshold).
  - Unmet security of employment and informality conditions (inability to verify income, underemployment, insufficient time on job) accounted for 14 and 26 percent of consumer and mortgage denials, respectively.
- Cross-country evidence:
  - Informality is associated with lower output and hinders firms’ and workers’ access to credit markets and financial systems.
  - Household access to financial services tends to be lower in countries with higher informality, reinforcing a cycle that can discourage formalization.

*Source: 1bhsea2026002-source-pdf - 14.      Other forms of informal work (LFS 2019, LFS 2023, BNSI, WDI, ILO, IMF staff calculations).*

### Appendix II. Supplementary Tables

### Appendix II. Supplementary Tables

### Appendix II. Table 1. The Bahamas: Mincer Regression: Estimated Coefficients — Notes
- Sample restricted to workers aged 15-64.
- Dependent variable is the natural logarithm of annual labor income from main job (own business in the case of self-employed).
- Base category of tenure is more than 12 months.
- Base category of education is primary level.
- Clustered standard errors at the island level in parentheses.
- *p<0.01, **p<0.05, ***p<0.01.
- Data source: LFS 2023.
- Note: Descriptive estimates need not be interpreted as causal (see Box 3).

### References
- Cabrales, A., Dolado, J. J., & Mora, R. (2017). Dual employment protection and (lack of) on-the-job training: PIAAC evidence for Spain and other European countries. SERIEs, 8(4), 345-371.
- Catão, L., & Rosales, M. R. (2009). Financial dependence, formal credit, and informal jobs: New evidence from Brazilian household data. IDB Working Paper Series; 118
- D'Erasmo, P. N. (2016). Access to credit and the size of the formal sector. Economía, 16(2), 143-199.
- D'Erasmo, P. N., & Boedo, H. J. M. (2012). Financial structure, informality and development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 59(3), 286-302.
- Fortin, N., Lemieux, T., & Firpo, S. (2011). Decomposition methods in economics. In Handbook of Labor Economics (Vol. 4, pp. 1-102). Elsevier.
- Hirsch, B., & Mueller, S. (2012). The productivity effect of temporary agency work: Evidence from German panel data. The Economic Journal, 122(562), F216-F235.
- International Labour Organization (2016). Non-standard employment around the world: Understanding challenges, shaping prospects.
- Kleinknecht, A., Oostendorp, R. M., Pradhan, M. P., & Naastepad, C. W. M. (2006). Flexible labour, firm performance and the Dutch job creation miracle. International Review of Applied Economics, 20(2), 171-187.
- Kouakou, D. C. (202 ). Can past informality impede registered firms’ access to credit? Journal of Comparative Economics.
- La Porta, R., & Shleifer, A. (2014). Informality and development. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(3), 109-126.
- Lopez-Martin, B. (2019). Informal sector misallocation. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 23(8), 3065-3098.
- Lucidi, F., & Kleinknecht, A. (2010). Little innovation, many jobs: An econometric analysis of the Italian labour productivity crisis. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 34(3), 525-546.
- Malkova, A., & Peter, K. (2025). The journey to formality: How credit market access shapes informal workers' choices. Journal of Comparative Economics.
- Nielen, S. (2016). Temporary agency work and firm competitiveness: Evidence from German manufacturing firms. In Trade Credit and Temporary Employment: How Companies Respond to Capital and Labor Market Frictions (pp. 41-67). Cham: Springer International Publishing.
- Ohnsorge, F., & Yu, S. (2022). The long shadow of informality: Challenges and policies. World Bank Publications.
- Ulyssea, G. (2020). Informality: Causes and consequences for development. Annual Review of Economics, 12(1), 525-546.

*Appendix II. Supplementary Tables — 1bhsea2026002-source-pdf*

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_Source: https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/cr/2026/english/1bhsea2026002-source-pdf.pdf_
