## figure1-2

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [figure1-2](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/gfsr/2018/april/ch1/csv/figure1-2.csv)

## Other formats

- [Markdown version](/-/media/files/publications/gfsr/2018/april/ch1/csv/figure1-2.csv.md)
- [Structured JSON version](/-/media/files/publications/gfsr/2018/april/ch1/csv/figure1-2.csv.json)

---

### Dataset description and structure
- Worksheet name: "csv".
- Row count: 761.
- Column count: 20.
- Primary column headings (as present in the file):
  - "1. Percentiles of One-Year-Ahead Growth Forecast Densities"
  - "(Percent)"
  - "2. Growth Forecast Densities at 2018:Q1"
  - "(Probability)"
  - "3. Severely Adverse Growth Outcomes (5th Percentile) at Different Future Horizons"
  - "(Percent)"
- Sample column labels in the data block:
  - "date"
  - "5th percentile"
  - "Median"
  - "95th percentile"
  - additional repeated "5th percentile", "Median", "95th percentile" (appearing to represent different series or panels)
  - probability grid values: "-1", "0", "0.01"
  - forecast horizon labels: "One year ahead", "Three years ahead"
  - forecast path label: "Forecast path at 2018:Q1"
  - historical forecast timestamps: "At 2017:Q3", "At 2016:Q4"

### Key variables and sample values
- Percentiles for one-year-ahead growth forecast densities (column headings preserved):
  - "5th percentile"
  - "Median"
  - "95th percentile"
- Growth forecast densities at 2018:Q1 (probability values shown in sample):
  - "-1"
  - "0"
  - "0.01"
- Severely adverse growth outcomes (5th percentile) at different future horizons — sample forecast path at 2018:Q1:
  - "1 year ahead"
  - "3.06"
  - "3.47"
  - "2.58"
- Labels indicating horizon:
  - "One year ahead"
  - "Three years ahead"

### Observations from sample rows
- The file combines three linked panels:
  - Panel 1: Percentiles of one-year-ahead growth forecast densities (unit: Percent).
  - Panel 2: Growth forecast densities at 2018:Q1 (unit: Probability).
  - Panel 3: Severely adverse growth outcomes (5th percentile) at different future horizons (unit: Percent).
- The sample contains blank leading rows and a header block that spans multiple columns, consistent with a multi-panel figure exported to CSV.
- Numeric sample entries are provided exactly as in the file: "-1", "0", "0.01", "3.06", "3.47", "2.58".

*Source: figure1-2 CSV worksheet "csv" (rowCount 761, columnCount 20) from the provided dataset metadata.*

---


_Source: https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/gfsr/2018/april/ch1/csv/figure1-2.csv_