## Dataset overview

## Source details

**Canonical URL:** [Dataset overview](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/staff-climate-notes/2021/english/clnea2021005-s001.xlsx)

## Other formats

- [Markdown version](/-/media/files/publications/staff-climate-notes/2021/english/clnea2021005-s001.xlsx.md)
- [Structured JSON version](/-/media/files/publications/staff-climate-notes/2021/english/clnea2021005-s001.xlsx.json)

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### Summary description
- This file is the Online Appendix dataset for the Staff Climate Note "Not Yet on Track to Net-Zero: The Urgent Need for Greater Ambition and Policy Action to Achieve Paris Temperature Goals".
- The dataset provides detailed country results grouped into three country groups: Advanced Economies (AEs), higher-income Emerging and Developing Economies (EMDE-H), and lower-income Emerging and Developing Economies (EMDE-L).
- Worksheets include: Cover, Table of Contents, Table 1A/B/C (Drivers of BAU CO2 Emissions, 2021-2030), Table 2A/B/C (Pledged GHG Changes in 2030), Table 3A/B/C (CO2 Emissions Reductions from Carbon Pricing, 2030), Table 4A/B/C (Revenues from Carbon Prices to Baseline, 2030), Table 5A/B/C (Impact of carbon prices on energy prices, 2030), and Table 6A/B/C (Emissions Abatement Costs and Domestic Environmental Co-Benefits from Carbon Pricing, 2030).

### Major data themes and metrics (by table)
- Table 1A/1B/1C — Drivers of BAU CO2 Emissions, 2021-2030
  - Columns include: Country; GDP growth, %; CO2 intensity of energy, %; Energy intensity of GDP, %; CO2 emissions growth, %.
  - Sample country entries:
    - Australia: GDP growth, 23.783214978171905; CO2 intensity of energy, -2.547637984318718; Energy intensity of GDP, -14.069904449566605; CO2 emissions growth, 3.657187922079097
    - Canada: GDP growth, 18.032684684251855; CO2 intensity of energy, 1.791617221956887; Energy intensity of GDP, -7.9617924591324; CO2 emissions growth, 10.581493662121865
    - Afghanistan: GDP growth, 43.849255737541704; CO2 intensity of energy, 0.8141097873915148; Energy intensity of GDP, -19.133659528892977; CO2 emissions growth, 17.272647240073958

- Table 2A/2B/2C — Pledged GHG Changes in 2030 (Absolute and Compared with Business-As-Usual)
  - Columns include: Country; Latest NDC, relative to 2030 BAU, %; Latest NDC, relative to 2021, %; First round NDC, relative to 2030 BAU, %; First round NDC, relative to 2021, %.
  - Sample country entries:
    - Australia: Latest NDC, relative to 2030 BAU, % = -17.751955469665614; Latest NDC, relative to 2021, % = -15.455908287291908
    - Argentina: Latest NDC, relative to 2030 BAU, % = -15.555440307022096; Latest NDC, relative to 2021, % = -8.338331163945323
    - Afghanistan: Latest NDC, relative to 2030 BAU, % = 7.986393176279427; Latest NDC, relative to 2021, % = 14.889939230249816

- Table 3A/3B/3C — CO2 Emissions Reductions from Carbon Pricing, 2030
  - Columns include: Country; Reduction from $25 carbon price, % to baseline; Extra reduction from $50 carbon price, % to baseline; Extra reduction from $75 carbon price, % to baseline.
  - Sample country entries:
    - Australia: Reduction from $25 carbon price, % to baseline = -14.077055582351905; Extra reduction from $50 carbon price, % to baseline = -7.913419238313223; Extra reduction from $75 carbon price, % to baseline = -5.614660465521272
    - Argentina: Reduction from $25 carbon price, % to baseline = -11.798622123753388; Extra reduction from $50 carbon price, % to baseline = -4.871432356061268

- Table 4A/4B/4C — Revenues from Carbon Prices to Baseline, 2030
  - Columns include: Country; Revenues from $25 carbon price, % of GDP; Extra revenues from $50 carbon price, % of GDP; Extra revenues from $75 carbon price, % of GDP.
  - Sample country entries:
    - Australia: Revenues from $25 carbon price, % of GDP = 0.32699999999999985; Extra revenues from $50 carbon price, % of GDP = 0.2819999999999999; Extra revenues from $75 carbon price, % of GDP = 0.24800000000000033
    - Argentina: Revenues from $25 carbon price, % of GDP = 1.005; Extra revenues from $50 carbon price, % of GDP = 0.5309999999999999; Extra revenues from $75 carbon price, % of GDP = 0.48400000000000065
    - Afghanistan: Revenues from $25 carbon price, % of GDP = 0.881; Extra revenues from $50 carbon price, % of GDP = 0.694; Extra revenues from $75 carbon price, % of GDP = 0.5940000000000001

- Table 5A/5B/5C — Impact of carbon prices on energy prices, 2030 (by carbon price scenario)
  - Energy categories reported: Coal (Baseline price, $/GJ; Price increase, %), Natural gas (Baseline price, $/GJ; Price increase, %), Electricity (Baseline price, $/kWh; Price increase, %), Gasoline (Baseline price, $/liter; Price increase, %).
  - Sample country entries and exact values:
    - Australia (Table 5A, $75 scenario): Coal Baseline price, $/GJ = 2.931; Coal Price increase, % = 291.3340156943023; Natural gas Baseline price, $/GJ = 13.371; Natural gas Price increase, % = 48.79216214194899; Electricity Baseline price, $/kWh = 0.22; Electricity Price increase, % = 59.999999999999986; Gasoline Baseline price, $/liter = 1.281; Gasoline Price increase, % = 15.690866510538637
    - Argentina (Table 5B, $50 scenario): Coal Baseline price, $/GJ = 2.87; Coal Price increase, % = 257.49128919860624; Natural gas Baseline price, $/GJ = 7.633; Natural gas Price increase, % = 57.31691340233196; Electricity Baseline price, $/kWh = 0.077; Electricity Price increase, % = 25.974025974025984; Gasoline Baseline price, $/liter = 1.328; Gasoline Price increase, % = 10.918674698795172
    - Algeria (Table 5C, $25 scenario): Coal Baseline price, $/GJ = 8.688; Coal Price increase, % = 29.776703499079193; Natural gas Baseline price, $/GJ = 2.915; Natural gas Price increase, % = 159.38250428816465; Electricity Baseline price, $/kWh = 0.108; Electricity Price increase, % = 77.77777777777779; Gasoline Baseline price, $/liter = 0.459; Gasoline Price increase, % = 83.22440087145968

- Table 6A/6B/6C — Emissions Abatement Costs and Domestic Environmental Co-Benefits from Carbon Pricing (by carbon price scenario), 2030
  - Columns include: Country; Emissions abatement costs, % of GDP; Domestic environmental co-benefits, % of GDP; Net benefit, % of GDP.
  - Sample country entries:
    - Australia (Table 6A, $75 scenario): Emissions abatement costs, % of GDP = -0.462; Domestic environmental co-benefits, % of GDP = 0.313; Net benefit, % of GDP = -0.14900000000000002
    - Argentina (Table 6B, $50 scenario): Emissions abatement costs, % of GDP = -0.17600000000000002; Domestic environmental co-benefits, % of GDP = 0.08099999999999999; Net benefit, % of GDP = -0.09500000000000003
    - Afghanistan (Table 6C, $25 scenario): Emissions abatement costs, % of GDP = -0.058; Domestic environmental co-benefits, % of GDP = 0.398; Net benefit, % of GDP = 0.34

### Key dataset uses and interpretive notes
- The dataset supplies country-level quantified impacts of different carbon price scenarios ($25, $50, $75) on emissions reductions, fiscal revenues (% of GDP), energy price changes, and welfare outcomes (abatement costs and domestic co-benefits, % of GDP) for 2030.
- It reports both NDC (pledge) comparisons against 2030 BAU and relative to 2021, enabling assessment of ambition gaps.
- Energy price impacts are reported as baseline prices (units preserved) and percentage increases; large percentage values (including values greater than 100) appear in the energy price columns and are preserved as provided.

*Black, Simon, Ian Parry, James Roaf, and Karlygash Zhunussova, 2021. “Not Yet on Track to Net Zero: The Urgent Need for Greater Ambition and Policy Action to Achieve Paris Temperature Goals.” IMF Staff Climate Note 2021/005, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC*

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_Source: https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/staff-climate-notes/2021/english/clnea2021005-s001.xlsx_