## JOINT IMF FISCAL AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT, IMF INSTITUTE FOR CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT AND JOINT VIENNA INSTITUTE ONLINE WORKSHOP — UNDERSTANDING, ASSESSING AND MANAGING FISCAL RISKS — APRIL 26 – 30, 2021

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**Canonical URL:** [JOINT IMF FISCAL AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT, IMF INSTITUTE FOR CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT AND JOINT VIENNA INSTITUTE ONLINE WORKSHOP — UNDERSTANDING, ASSESSING AND MANAGING FISCAL RISKS — APRIL 26 – 30, 2021](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/topics/fiscal/fiscal-risks/seminarsdocs/jvifiscalrisksprogram-april2021.pdf)

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### Administrative items and delivery mode
- Zoom Introductory Call: April 15, 2021, 1:30 p.m. Central European Time (CET) — testing the functionality of the Zoom platform on participants’ devices.  
- Pre-course quiz (20 min.): Accessible on the Moodle course page from 10:00 a.m., April 21st.  
- All times in the agenda are Vienna Local Time (CET).

### Workshop objectives and overarching themes
- Introduce key concepts in fiscal risk identification, assessment, disclosure, and management.
- Present international standards and good practices for fiscal risk transparency and disclosure.
- Demonstrate analytic tools for assessing macro-fiscal risks, SOE risks, government guarantees, PPPs, and contingent liabilities.
- Explore integration of fiscal risks into fiscal policy making, fiscal rules, and debt sustainability analysis.

### Monday, April 26 — Foundations and tools
- 12:00 p.m. – 12:15 p.m. Introductions.
- 12:15 p.m. – 12:45 p.m. L-1 Overview of Fiscal Risks — Mr. Jyoti Rahman
  - Introduction to key concepts.
  - Overview of sources and nature of fiscal risks.
  - Importance of understanding and managing risks.
  - Fiscal risk management cycle.
  - Role of sound institutions for managing fiscal risks.
- 12:45 p.m. – 1:15 p.m. L-2 International Standards for Disclosing Fiscal Risks — Ms. Amanda Sayegh
  - IMF’s Fiscal Transparency Code.
  - Good practices in fiscal risk disclosure.
  - Preparing Fiscal Risk Statements.
  - Introduction to participants workshop W-2.
- 1:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. L-3 Introduction to Fiscal Risk Assessment Tool — Mr. Fritz Bachmair
  - Introduction of the fiscal risk assessment tool.
  - Illustration of how the tool can be used in fiscal risk identification, analysis and management.

### Tuesday, April 27 — Macroeconomic and pandemic-related risks
- 12:30 p.m. – 1:15 p.m. L-4 Approaches to Assessing Macroeconomic Risks — Mr. Jyoti Rahman
  - Main macroeconomic risks and channels through which they impact public finances.
  - Approaches to assessing macro-fiscal risks.
  - Illustrations of country practices in disclosing macro-fiscal risks.
- 1:30 p.m. – 2:15 p.m. L-5 Assessing the Macro-Fiscal Risks of the COVID-19 Pandemic — Mr. Jyoti Rahman
  - Introduction to COVID-19 Fiscal Stress Test tool.
  - Use of the tool to support budget preparation.
- 2:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. W-1 Discussion on Macro-Fiscal Risks — Led by Mr. Jyoti Rahman
  - Discussion of the main sources of macro-fiscal risks in participants’ countries.
  - Discussion of how risks are analyzed and disclosed in budget documentation.
  - Discussion of key challenges in assessing macro-fiscal risks encountered by participants.

### Wednesday, April 28 — State-owned enterprises, guarantees, and monitoring tools
- 12:30 p.m. – 1:15 p.m. L-6 Assessing Fiscal Risks of State-Owned Enterprise (Part 1) – Overview — Ms. Avril Halstead
  - Understand fiscal risks arising from SOEs.
  - Approaches to assessing SOE fiscal risks.
  - Illustrations of country practices in disclosing risks.
  - Good practices for managing fiscal risks from SOEs.
- 1:15 p.m. – 1:45 p.m. L-7 Assessing Fiscal Risks of SOEs (Part 2) — SOE Health Check Tool — Mr. Patrick Ryan
  - Presentation of the SOE Health Check Tool.
  - Information requirements for the tool.
  - How outputs can be used to monitor and disclose fiscal risks.
- 2:00 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. L-8 Assessing and Managing Fiscal Risks of Government Guarantees — Ms. Amanda Sayegh and Mr. Patrick Ryan
  - Common approaches to identifying and assessing risks from government guarantees.
  - Approaches to managing and disclosing risks related to guarantees.
  - Introduction to key features of the IMF’s Guarantee and Loan Assessment Tool.

### Thursday, April 29 — Debt sustainability, PPPs, and disclosure practice
- 12:30 p.m. – 1:15 p.m. L-9 Fiscal Risks and Debt Sustainability — Mr. Jyoti Rahman
  - Overview of the IMF’s DSA Framework.
  - Incorporating contingent liabilities shocks into debt sustainability analysis.
- 1:30 p.m. – 2:15 p.m. L-10 Fiscal Risks and PPPs — Ms. Amanda Sayegh
  - Risks of PPPs and good practices for monitoring and managing them.
  - Introduction to key features of the IMF’s PPP Fiscal Risk Assessment Model (PFRAM).
- 2:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. W-2 Country Practices in Fiscal Risk Disclosure — Facilitated by Ms. Amanda Sayegh
  - Participant presentation and discussion of country risk assessment and disclosure practices.
  - Discussion of key challenges encountered in assessing and reporting on fiscal risks.

### Friday, April 30 — Incorporating fiscal risks into fiscal policy and evaluation
- 12:30 p.m. – 1:00 p.m. L-11 Incorporating Fiscal Risks into Fiscal Policy Making (Part 1) – Introduction to Fiscal Rules — Mr. Hamid Davoodi
  - Discussion of key concepts in fiscal rules.
  - Key elements of a fiscal rules framework.
- 1:15 p.m. – 2:00 p.m. L-12 Incorporating Fiscal Risks into Fiscal Policy Making (Part 2) — Mr. Hamid Davoodi
  - Accounting for fiscal risks in setting debt limits.
  - Designing and implementing escape clauses.
- 2:00 p.m. – 2:30 p.m. W-3 Discussion on Fiscal Rules and Incorporating Fiscal Risks into Policy Making.
- 2:30 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. Final Quiz and Evaluation of the Course.

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_Source: https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/topics/fiscal/fiscal-risks/seminarsdocs/jvifiscalrisksprogram-april2021.pdf_
