## Selected Topics, 1992–98

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### I. Methodology—Aggregation, Modeling, and Forecasting
- World Economic Outlook
  - The Accuracy of World Economic OutlookProjections for the Major Industrial CountriesMay 1992, Annex VIII
  - Revised Weights for the World Economic OutlookMay 1993, Annex IV
  - Structural Budget Indicators for Major Industrial CountriesOctober 1993, Annex I
  - The New Balance of Payments ManualMay 1994, Box 13
  - The Difficult Art of ForecastingOctober 1996, Annex I
  - World Current Account DiscrepancyOctober 1996, Annex III
  - Alternative Exchange Rate Assumptions for JapanOctober 1997, Box 2
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - An Extended Scenario and Forecast Adjustment Model for Developing Countries — Manmohan S. Kumar, Hossein Samiei, and Sheila BassettDecember 1993
  - How Accurate Are the World Economic OutlookProjections? — Jose M. BarrionuevoDecember 1993
  - Purchasing Power Parity Based Weights for the World Economic Outlook — Anne Marie Gulde and Marianne Schulze-GhattasDecember 1993
  - How Accurate Are the IMF’s Short-Term Forecasts? Another Examination of the World Economic Outlook — Michael J. ArtisDecember 1997
  - IMF’s Estimates of Potential Output: Theory and Practice — Paula R. De MasiDecember 1997
  - Multilateral Unit-Labor-Cost-Based Competitiveness Indicators for Advanced, Developing, and Transition Countries — Anthony G. Turner and Stephen GolubDecember 1997

### II. Historical Surveys
- World Economic Outlook
  - The Postwar Economic AchievementOctober 1994, Chapter VI
  - Non-Oil Commodity PricesOctober 1994, Box 10
  - The Rise and Fall of Inflation—Lessons from Postwar ExperienceOctober 1996, Chapter VI

### III. Economic Growth—Sources and Patterns
- World Economic Outlook
  - Convergence and Divergence in Developing CountriesMay 1993, Chapter IV
  - Trade as an Engine of GrowthMay 1993, Chapter VI
  - New Theories of Growth and TradeMay 1993, Box 9
  - Why Are Some Developing Countries Failing to Catch Up?May 1994, Chapter IV
- World Economic Outlook and Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook, Selected Topics, 1992–98
  - The Postwar Economic AchievementOctober 1994, Chapter VI
  - Business Cycles and Potential OutputOctober 1994, Box 5
  - Economic ConvergenceOctober 1994, Box 11
  - Saving in a Growing World EconomyMay 1995, Chapter V
  - North-South R&D SpilloversMay 1995, Box 6
  - Long-Term Growth Potential in the Countries in Transition October 1996, Chapter V
  - Globalization and the Opportunities for Developing CountriesMay 1997, Chapter IV
  - Measuring Productivity Gains in East Asian EconomiesMay 1997, Box 9
  - The Business Cycle, International Linkages, and Exchange RatesMay 1998, Chapter III
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - How Large Was the Output Collapse in Russia? Alternative Estimates and Welfare Implications — Evgeny Gavrilenkov and Vincent KoenSeptember 1995
  - Deindustrialization: Causes and Implications — Robert Rowthorn and Ramana RamaswamyDecember 1997

### IV. Inflation and Deflation; Commodity Markets
- World Economic Outlook
  - Asset Price Deflation, Balance Sheet Adjustment, and Financial FragilityOctober 1992, Annex I
  - Monetary Policy, Financial Liberalization, and Asset Price InflationMay 1993, Annex I
  - Price StabilityMay 1993, Box 2
  - Oil Demand and Supply in the Medium TermMay 1993, Box 5
  - Hyperinflation and Chronic InflationOctober 1993, Box 8
  - The Impact of Lower Oil PricesMay 1994, Box 3
  - Non-Oil Commodity PricesOctober 1994, Box 10
  - Nonfuel Primary Commodity PricesOctober 1995, Box 2
  - The Rise and Fall of Inflation—Lessons from Postwar ExperienceOctober 1996, Chapter VI
  - World Oil Market: Recent Developments and OutlookOctober 1996, Annex II
  - Inflation TargetsOctober 1996, Box 8
  - Indexed Bonds and Expected InflationOctober 1996, Box 9
  - Effects of High Inflation on Income DistributionOctober 1996, Box 10
  - Central Bank Independence and InflationOctober 1996, Box 11
  - Rising Petroleum Prices in 1996May 1997, Box 3
  - Recent Developments in Primary Commodity MarketsMay 1998, Annex II
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - “Boom and Bust” in Asset Markets in the 1980s: Causes and Consequences — Garry J. Schinasi and Monica HargravesDecember 1993
  - Prices in the Transition: Ten Stylized Facts — Vincent Koen and Paula R. De MasiDecember 1997

### V. Fiscal Policy
- World Economic Outlook
  - Structural Budget Indicators for Major Industrial CountriesOctober 1993, Annex I
  - Economic Benefits of Reducing Military ExpenditureOctober 1993, Annex II
  - The TreuhandanstaltOctober 1993, Box 9
  - Structural Fiscal Balances in Smaller Industrial CountriesMay 1995, Annex III
  - Can Fiscal Contraction Be Expansionary in the Short Run?May 1995, Box 2
  - Pension Reform in Developing CountriesMay 1995, Box 11
  - Effects of Increased Government Debt: Illustrative CalculationsMay 1995, Box 13
  - Subsidies and Tax Arrears October 1995, Box 8
  - Focus on Fiscal PolicyMay 1996
  - The Spillover Effects of Government DebtMay 1996, Annex I
  - Uses and Limitations of Generational AccountingMay 1996, Box 5
  - The European Union’s Stability and Growth PactOctober 1997, Box 3
  - Progress with Fiscal Reform in Countries in TransitionMay 1998, Chapter V
  - Pension Reform in Countries in TransitionMay 1998, Box 10
  - Transparency in Government OperationsMay 1998, Annex I
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - An International Comparison of Tax Systems in Industrial Countries — Enrique G. Mendoza, Assaf Razin, and Linda L. TesarDecember 1993

### VI. Monetary Policy; Financial Markets; Flow of Funds
- World Economic Outlook
  - Monetary Policy, Financial Liberalization, and Asset Price InflationMay 1993, Annex I
  - Chronology of Events in the Recent Crisis in the European Monetary System October 1993, Box 3
  - Information Content of the Yield CurveMay 1994, Annex II
  - Saving in a Growing World EconomyMay 1995, Chapter V
  - Saving and Real Interest Rates in Developing CountriesMay 1995, Box 10
  - Financial Market Turmoil and Economic Policies in Industrial CountriesOctober 1995, Chapter III
  - Financial Liberalization in Africa and AsiaOctober 1995, Box 4
  - Policy Challenges Facing Industrial Countries in the Late 1990sOctober 1996, Chapter III
  - Using the Slope of the Yield Curve to Estimate Lags in Monetary Transmission MechanismOctober 1996, Box 2
  - Financial RepressionOctober 1996, Box 5
  - Bank-Restructuring Strategies in the Baltic States, Russia, and Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union: Main Issues and Challenges October 1996, Box 7
  - Monetary and Financial Sector Policies in Transition CountriesOctober 1997, Chapter V
  - DollarizationOctober 1997, Box 6
  - Interim Assessment (Focus on Crisis in Asia—Regional and Global Implications)December 1997
  - Financial Crises: Characteristics and Indicators of VulnerabilityMay 1998, Chapter IV
  - The Role of Hedge Funds in Financial MarketsMay 1998, Box 1
  - International Monetary System: Measures to Reduce the Risk of CrisesMay 1998, Box 3
  - Resolving Banking Sector ProblemsMay 1998, Box 6
  - Effective Banking Prudential Regulations and RequirementsMay 1998, Box 7
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - The Global Real Interest Rate — Thomas Helbling and Robert WescottSeptember 1995
  - A Monetary Impulse Measure for Medium-Term Policy Analysis — Bennett T. McCallum and Monica HargravesSeptember 1995
  - Saving Behavior in Industrial and Developing Countries — Paul R. Masson, Tamim Bayoumi, and Hossein SamieiSeptember 1995

### VII. Labor Market Issues
- World Economic Outlook
  - Fostering Job Creation, Growth, and Price Stability in Industrial CountriesMay 1994, Chapter III
  - Capital Formation and EmploymentMay 1995, Box 4
  - Implications of Structural Reforms Under EMUOctober 1997, Annex II
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - Unemployment and Wage Dynamics in MULTIMOD — Leonardo Bartolini and Steve SymanskyDecember 1993
  - Evaluating Unemployment Policies: What Do the Underlying Theories Tell Us? — Dennis J. SnowerSeptember 1995
  - Institutional Structure and Labor Market Outcomes: Western Lessons for European Countries in Transition — Robert J. FlanaganSeptember 1995
  - The Effect of Globalization on Wages in the Advanced Economies — Matthew J. Slaughter and Phillip SwagelDecember 1997
  - International Labor Standards and International Trade — Stephen GolubDecember 1997

### VIII. Exchange Rate Issues
- World Economic Outlook
  - Interim Assessment (Focus on Crisis in the European Monetary System)January 1993
  - Recent Changes in the European Exchange Rate MechanismOctober 1993, Chapter III
  - Chronology of Events in the Recent Crisis in the European Monetary System October 1993, Box 3
  - Striving for Stability: Realignment of the CFAFrancMay 1994, Box 8
  - Currency Arrangements in the Former Soviet Union and Baltic CountriesMay 1994, Box 10
  - Exchange-Rate-Based StabilizationMay 1994, Box 11
  - Exchange Market Reforms in AfricaOctober 1994, Box 3
  - Currency ConvertibilityOctober 1994, Box 7
  - Currency Substitution in Transition EconomiesOctober 1994, Box 8
  - Exchange Rate Effects of Fiscal ConsolidationOctober 1995, Annex
  - Exchange Rate Arrangements and Economic Performance in Developing CountriesOctober 1997, Chapter IV
  - Asymmetric Shocks: European Union and the United StatesOctober 1997, Box 4
  - Currency BoardsOctober 1997, Box 5
  - The Business Cycle, International Linkages, and Exchange RatesMay 1998, Chapter III
  - Evaluating Exchange RatesMay 1998, Box 5
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - Multilateral Unit-Labor-Cost-Based Competitiveness Indicators for Advanced, Developing, and Transition Countries — Anthony G. Turner and Stephen GolubDecember 1997

### IX. External Payments, Trade, Capital Movements, and Foreign Debt
- World Economic Outlook
  - Trade as an Engine of GrowthMay 1993, Chapter VI
  - New Theories of Growth and TradeMay 1993, Box 9
  - Is the Debt Crisis Over?October 1993, Box 5
  - The Uruguay Round: Results and ImplicationsMay 1994, Annex I
  - The New Balance of Payments ManualMay 1994, Box 13
  - The Recent Surge in Capital Flows to Developing CountriesOctober 1994, Chapter IV
  - Currency ConvertibilityOctober 1994, Box 7
  - Trade Among the Transition CountriesOctober 1995, Box 7
  - World Current Account DiscrepancyOctober 1996, Annex III
  - Capital Inflows to Developing and Transition Countries— Identifying Causes and Formulating Appropriate Policy ResponsesOctober 1996, Annex IV
  - Globalization—Opportunities and ChallengesMay 1997
  - Moral Hazard and IMF LendingMay 1998, Box 2
  - The Current Account and External SustainabilityMay 1998, Box 8
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - Foreign Direct Investment in the World Economy — Edward M. GrahamSeptember 1995

### X. Regional Issues
- World Economic Outlook
  - The Maastricht Agreement on Economic and Monetary UnionMay 1992, Annex II
  - Interim Assessment (Focus on Crisis in the European Monetary System)January 1993
  - Chronology of Events in the Recent Crisis in the European Monetary SystemOctober 1993, Box 3
  - Economic Performance and Financing Needs in AfricaOctober 1993, Box 6
  - Stabilization and Economic Reform in the Baltic CountriesOctober 1993, Box 7
  - Adjustment and Recovery in Latin America and the CaribbeanMay 1994, Annex III
  - European Economic IntegrationOctober 1994, Annex I
  - Adjustment in Sub-Saharan AfricaMay 1995, Annex II
  - Macroeconomic and Structural Adjustment in the Middle East and North AfricaMay 1996, Annex II
  - Stabilization and Reform of Formerly Centrally Planned Developing Economies in East AsiaMay 1997, Box 10
  - EMU and the World EconomyOctober 1997, Chapter III
  - Implications of Structural Reforms Under EMUOctober 1997, Annex II
  - The European Union’s Stability and Growth PactOctober 1997, Box 3
  - Asymmetric Shocks: European Union and the United StatesOctober 1997, Box 4
  - Interim Assessment (Focus on Crisis in Asia—Regional and Global Implications)December 1997
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - The Design of EMU — David BeggDecember 1997

### XI. Country-Specific Analyses
- World Economic Outlook
  - Voucher Privatization in the Czech and Slovak Federal RepublicOctober 1992, Box 2
  - Currency Reform in EstoniaOctober 1992, Box 3
  - Economic Reforms, Growth, and Trade in ChinaMay 1993, Box 4
  - Economic Arrangements for the Czech-Slovak BreakupMay 1993, Box 6
  - India’s Economic ReboundOctober 1993, Box 1
  - Japan’s Trade SurplusOctober 1993, Box 2
  - The TreuhandanstaltOctober 1993, Box 9
  - Adjustment and Recovery in Latin America and the CaribbeanMay 1994, Annex III
  - Poland’s Economic ReboundMay 1994, Box 9
  - Foreign Direct Investment in ChinaOctober 1994, Box 6
  - Factors Behind the Financial Crisis in MexicoMay 1995, Annex I
  - New Zealand’s Structural Reforms and Economic RevivalMay 1995, Box 3
  - Brazil and KoreaMay 1995, Box 5
  - The Output Collapse in RussiaMay 1995, Box 8
  - Foreign Direct Investment in EstoniaMay 1995, Box 9
  - September 1995 Economic Stimulus Packages in JapanOctober 1995, Box 1
  - Uganda: Successful Adjustment Under Difficult CircumstancesOctober 1995, Box 3
  - Changing Wage Structures in the Czech RepublicOctober 1995, Box 6
  - Resolving Financial System Problems in JapanMay 1996, Box 3
  - New Zealand’s Fiscal Responsibility ActMay 1996, Box 4
  - Deindustrialization and the Labor Market in SwedenMay 1997, Box 7
  - Ireland Catches UpMay 1997, Box 8
  - Foreign Direct Investment Strategies in Hungary and KazakhstanMay 1997, Box 12
  - China—Growth and Economic ReformsOctober 1997, Annex I
  - Alternative Exchange Rate Assumptions for JapanOctober 1997, Box 2
  - Hong Kong, China: Economic Linkages and Institutional ArrangementsOctober 1997, Box 9
  - Russia’s Fiscal ChallengesMay 1998, Box 9
- Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook
  - How Large Was the Output Collapse in Russia? Alternative Estimates and Welfare Implications — Evgeny Gavrilenkov and Vincent KoenSeptember 1995

### World Economic Outlook: publication and series information
- The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists’ analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an overview of the world economy; consider issues affecting industrial countries, developing countries, and economies in transition to the market; and address topics of pressing current interest.
- ISSN 0256-6877.
- $36.00 (academic rate: $25.00); paper.
- 1998 (May). ISBN 1-55775-740-2. Stock #WEO-198.
- 1997 (Dec.). ISBN 1-55775-714-3 (English only). Stock #WEO-1797.
- 1997 (Oct.). ISBN 1-55775-681-3. Stock #WEO-297.

### World Economic and Financial Surveys series information and ordering
- Series ISSN 0258-7440 contains biannual, annual, and periodic studies covering monetary and financial issues of importance to the global economy. Core elements: the World Economic Outlook report (usually May and October) and the annual report on International Capital Markets.
- Available by series subscription or single title (including back issues); academic rate available only to full-time university faculty and students.
- International Monetary Fund, Publication Services, 700 19th Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20431, U.S.A.
- Tel.: (202) 623-7430   Telefax: (202) 623-7201
- E-mail: publications@imf.org
- Internet: http://www.imf.org

*Content compiled from the provided document (_0598toppdf).*

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_Source: https://www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/weo/weo0598/pdf/_0598toppdf.pdf_
