## _cr05278 - Appendix Tables ## Source details **Canonical URL:** [_cr05278 - Appendix Tables](https://www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported-full-text-pdf/external/pubs/ft/scr/2005/_cr05278.pdf) ## Other formats - [Markdown version](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-full-text-pdf/external/pubs/ft/scr/2005/_cr05278.pdf.md) - [Structured JSON version](/-/media/websites/imf/imported-full-text-pdf/external/pubs/ft/scr/2005/_cr05278.pdf.json) --- ### I. Background - Mission from the IMF Statistics Department visited Maputo during May 11- 17, 2005 to update the Data module of the ROSC prepared by a mission that visited Maputo in June 2002. - Main objectives: - Review and document actions taken by the authorities to address issues raised by the 2002 Data ROSC mission for national accounts, consumer price index, government finance, monetary, and balance of payments statistics. - Discuss authorities’ plans for further improving the quality of the statistics. - Review Mozambique’s current data dissemination practices against the recommendations of the General Data Dissemination System (GDDS). - Meetings held with the Acting Minister of Finance, the General Manager of the Bank of Mozambique (BOM), and the President of the National Institute of Statistics (NIS); mission worked closely with staff responsible for relevant datasets. ### II. Main findings of the mission - Institutional and resource improvements have addressed important weaknesses in prerequisites for data quality. - Methodological soundness, accuracy, and reliability of macroeconomic statistics are beginning to show improvements, but overall quality still hinders policy formulation and monitoring of economic development. - Continued high reliance on external funding raises concerns about the sustainability of the NIS’ statistical programs. - Historical context: extremely weak statistical infrastructure at independence in 1975 and deterioration during the civil war; formal participation in the GDDS in November 2003. - Progress more evident since launching IMF-sponsored regional project for strengthening statistical capacity in Portuguese-speaking African countries. - Source data and data collection programs strengthened for national accounts and CPI through surveys on business, household income and expenditure, and agriculture; business register updated. - Trade data more comprehensive and timely based on improved classification systems. - New surveys on the informal sector, non-profit organizations, and labor force. - Benchmark year for national accounts and CPI weights being updated. - Creation of a statistical unit in MOF and launching of SISTAFE expected to improve analytical usefulness of government finance statistics. - Monetary statistics analytical framework aligned with internationally accepted practices; data derived exclusively from accounting records. - Additional resources allocated to BOP statistics, including establishment of a specialized unit within the Research Department of the BOM and an interagency Working Group on External Trade Statistics. - Metadata dissemination: metadata for all macroeconomic statistics with different levels of detail are disseminated in publications and on websites; advanced release calendars posted for national accounts and price statistics; efforts underway to disseminate advance release calendars and revisions policy for all datasets. - GDDS-related gaps remaining: - Absence of a manufacturing or industrial production index and labor market indicators. - Data on public and publicly guaranteed external debt not disseminated with recommended breakdown. - Periodicity of external trade data and timeliness of comprehensive central government operations and debt not meeting recommendations. - Exceptions to recommended extensions: lack of quarterly GDP data, monthly producer price index, data on private external debt not publicly guaranteed, a share price index, and disaggregation of labor data by age, sex, employment status, occupation, and industry. - Appendices I-V provide details on actions since 2002 ROSC and plans with target dates. ### A. National Accounts — progress, actions, and plans - Progress since 2002 supported by long-term technical assistance from IMF Statistics Department and Scandinavian and Italian Programs. - Constraints: continued reliance on external funding; implementing plans requires continued commitment, additional budget resources, and ongoing external support. Main actions taken since 2002: - Staff resources for national accounts compilation were increased by one third; computers and working conditions updated; training programs strengthened. - Data quality management team established in 2004; annual users’ surveys conducted since 2002. - Improvements in scope of national accounts; more substantial changes expected when data based on new benchmark year (2003) are compiled and disseminated. - Source data and data collection programs improvements include: - Compilation of data on local governments. - Use of results of surveys on business, household income and expenditure (2002/2003), and agriculture. - Compilation of more comprehensive and timely foreign trade data based on improved classification systems. - New surveys on the informal sector, non-profit organizations, and labor force. - Business register established in 2004 improved sample frames. - Ongoing efforts to estimate hidden and illegal activities, including shuttle trade. - Strengthened collaboration between NIS, BOM, and Customs. - Advanced release calendar posted on the NIS website. - Detailed metadata posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. Planned improvements and timing: - Assessment of the quality of NIS’ main statistical products by the Data Quality Management Group by end-2005. - Revised national accounts time series based on the new benchmark year (including preliminary annual estimates for 2005 and quarterly estimates for 2006) expected to be disseminated by September 2006. - Additional resources to improve timeliness and accuracy of source data, including response rates to surveys and merchandise trade statistics. (Starting in June 2005). - More comprehensive studies and documentation of revisions to inform compilation process. (December 2005). - Adoption of a unified sectorization matrix of all institutional units by all data producing agencies within the NSS. (Approved in May 2005). - Strengthening procedures to routinely assess accuracy of source data for national accounts, including GFS, BOP, and price statistics, in coordination with BOM and MOF. (Starting in June 2005). - NIS expects to disseminate to the public the policy for revising national accounts by end-2005. - Improvements in dissemination formats by September 2005; further improvements when time series based on new benchmark year are disseminated. - Metadata on NIS website and DSBB to be updated more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) ### B. Consumer Price Index — progress, actions, and plans - CPI quality improved significantly since 2002: coverage expanded, COICOP classifications adopted, and source data substantially improved. - Rebased CPI (base: December 2004) to be disseminated in July 2005. - Resource constraints: additional resources and training needed to ensure sustainability. Main actions taken since 2002: - Computers and working conditions upgraded; software remains outdated. - Data quality management team established in 2004; annual users’ surveys since 2002. - CPI coverage expanded to the three largest cities (Maputo, Beira, and Nampula); indices disseminated for each city and aggregate index. - Prices being collected for seven additional cities to further expand coverage. - CPI weights updated using household consumption expenditure from the 2002-2003 HIES; COICOP classifications fully introduced. - Strengthened coordination between CPI and NA compilers on classifications and weighting. - Advanced release calendar posted on the NIS website. - Detailed metadata posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. Planned improvements and timing: - Strengthening training programs, particularly in the provinces. (Ongoing) - Assessment of the quality of NIS’ main statistical products by the Data Quality Management Group by end-2005. - Adoption of a random sampling technique to select outlets for price collection by July 2006. - Acquisition of more modern software to permit improvements in statistical techniques. (December 2006) - Gradual increase of aggregate CPI coverage up to 10 cities, depending on analysis of information being collected. (By end-2006) - Dissemination of a CPI with a new base period (December 2004) and using COICOP classifications in July 2005. - Metadata on NIS website and DSBB to be updated more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) - A specific user survey for the CPI will be conducted in May 2005. Key CPI scope and methodology notes: - Official CPI previously covered only Maputo; now an urban index covering Maputo, Beira, and Nampula. - Source-data improvements: HIES 2002/2003, census of establishments 2003, business register 2004. - Remaining limitations: lack of adjustments for quality changes, treatment of seasonal products, basket updates, and relatively low coverage of household final consumption expenditure for urban areas. - Current software does not permit substantial improvements in statistical techniques; NIS exploring acquisition of modern software. (December 2006) - Sampling errors not available due to judgmental selection of outlets; random sampling adoption planned by July 2006. ### C. Government Finance Statistics — progress, actions, and plans - Progress since 2002: creation of a statistical unit in MOF and launch of SISTAFE in late 2004 expected to significantly enhance analytical quality of GFS. Main actions taken since 2002: - Department of Economic Studies and Government Finance Statistics (DESGFS) established within the Treasury in 2003; currently DESGFS has four professionals and two support staff. - Donor reporting system established in 2002 improved statistical reporting on foreign aid, though substantial foreign aid data still not included in budget execution data. - Launching of SISTAFE led to progress in concepts and definitions, scope, classification, and sectorization used for compiling GFS in line with GFSM 2001. - Dissemination formats for GFS improved and more disaggregated data are disseminated. - Detailed metadata posted on the NIS website and on the DSBB. Planned improvements and timing: - MOF will seek formal delegation of authority from NIS to compile and disseminate GFS; DESGFS to be recognized as a data producing agency within the NSS. (December 2005) - MOF will work with IMF technical assistance missions to compile GFS and develop a migration path to the GFSM 2001, including training. (First mission scheduled for July 2005) - Coverage of GFS source data to be expanded to include all autonomous agencies and local governments (autarquias locais). (December 2006) - In coordination with BOM, MOF will reconcile external debt data with creditors more frequently. (September 2005) - Adoption of SISTAFE expected to permit derivation of comprehensive GFS automatically and reduce lags in disseminating annual GFS. (June 2006) - NSS unified sectorization matrix of institutional units to be adopted in compilation of GFS. (June 2006) - Metadata on NIS website and DSBB to be updated more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) - MOF plans to establish a website, disseminate a statement on the revision policy and an advance release calendar, and provide a hyperlink to the GFS metadata posted on the NIS website. (December 2005) ### D. Monetary statistics — progress, practices, and planned actions Monetary statistics — progress and current practices: - Monetary statistics are derived exclusively from accounting records. - All monetary statistics are being derived electronically in the process of adopting the new standardized forms for reporting monetary statistics to the IMF; system being tested and new time series based on the BOM mainframe expected to be released by end-2005. - Detailed metadata are posted on the NIS website and the DSBB; BOM website has a hyperlink to the DSBB. - BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes some methodological notes, including information on breaks in series. - No formal feedback is sought from users, but BOM has an active outreach program, including seminars to the media and interested users. - Support services available to users; contact information and a list of publications provided on BOM website and Quarterly Bulletin. Planned actions and timelines: - Include a user survey in the Quarterly Bulletin and on the website. (September 2005) - Establish an internal committee to work on data quality issues. (December 2005) - Adopt the NSS unified sectorization matrix of all institutional units by the BOM and other depository corporations. (September 2005) - Disseminate an advanced release calendar. (September 2005) - Update metadata on the NIS website and the DSBB more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) - Fully adapt dissemination formats to those recommended in the MFSM. (September 2005) Monetary statistics — serviceability notes: - No established process of consulting users’ needs; feedback not sought systematically. BOM plans to include user surveys in the Quarterly Bulletin and on its website. - Different institutional coverage in monetary and government finance statistics hinders data reconciliation. Adoption of the NSS unified sectorization matrix expected to improve intersectoral consistency. - Users are not informed that BOM does not conduct routine data revisions; BOM plans to post revision policy on the website. ### Balance of payments statistics — institutional improvements, actions, and plans Institutional changes and improvements: - Balance of payments (BOP) unit created within the Research and Statistics Department of BOM with substantial additional resources has improved overall quality of BOP statistics. - Data sources significantly expanded and improved. - Interagency Working Group on External Trade Statistics contributed to improved coverage and classification of trade data. - Supported by IMF Statistics Department technical assistance. Specific actions since 2002: - Interagency Working Group on External Trade Statistics created in 2003. - In 2002, NIS delegated to BOM responsibility for compiling and disseminating BOP; BOM given authority to request information from any public or private entity; BOP surveys state penalties can be applied for nonreporting or inaccurate reporting. - Balance of Payments Unit established in September 2004; four new staff allocated to BOP compilation, representing an increase of more than fifty percent over 2002 staff level. - BOM expanding enterprise surveys to major direct investment enterprises and major transportation, communications, and tourism enterprises to improve services and financial account coverage. - Improved register of foreign investment and private debt will facilitate expanded coverage. - Gradual improvement of source data (trade data, monthly bank surveys on foreign exchange transactions, and enterprise surveys) reducing classification problems in services and other investments. - Breakdown and coverage of Customs data improving through quality control procedures; more staff resources allow analysis and adjustment to source data and reduction in lags. - BOP staff maintains regular dialogue with major data providers to query misclassified amounts and ensure correct reporting; some estimates are made for missing observations; estimates made on smuggling and travel based on exchange rate transactions through exchange houses. - BOM released a BOP time series for 1980-2003, reclassified according to the BPM5. Starting in 2004, data compiled and disseminated according to the BPM5. - Detailed metadata posted on the NIS website and the DSBB; BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes methodological notes and breaks in series when data are released. Planned improvements and timelines: - Revised Exchange Law formally adopting the BPM5 residency criterion expected to be approved by Parliament in late 2005; BOM already applies BPM5 residency criterion in practice. - Coverage of current and capital transfers to the private sector to improve with results of NIS census for NGOs conducted in 2004/2205 covering data for 2003/2004. - In coordination with MOF, BOM will reconcile external debt data with creditors more frequently. (September 2005) - BOM plans to establish a revisions policy. (December 2005) - BOM plans to undertake studies of BOP revisions and disseminate them. (May 2006) - BOM will conduct surveys among users of BOP statistics and seek users' feedback on its website and the Quarterly Bulletin. (December 2005) - Strengthen procedures to routinely assess accuracy of source data for BOP in coordination with NIS, including the National Accounts Department. (Starting in June 2005) - Adopt NSS unified sectorization matrix in compilation of BOP statistics. (September 2005) - Disseminate an advanced release calendar for BOP. (September 2005) - Establish an internal committee to work on data quality issues and conduct user surveys. (December 2005) BOP — pre-requisites, methodology, and quality notes: - Legal/institutional: NIS responsible for external trade statistics; in September 2002 NIS delegated BOP compilation to BOM; BOM can demand information and apply penalties for non-reporting. - Resources: staff, financial, and computing resources inadequate; Balance of Payments Service created by BOM communication No. 15/2004 of July 27. - Quality awareness: no formal processes for data quality; BOM plans internal committee and user surveys. (December 2005) - Concepts and definitions: residency criteria not totally consistent with BPM5 in law; revised Exchange Law expected in late 2005. - Scope limitations: incomplete coverage of services, transfers, direct investment enterprise information, private external debt and/or arrears. - Accuracy: primary data sources insufficient; lags in information; source data strengthening and customs data improvements underway. - Statistical techniques: some estimates made for missing observations; continued work to reduce classification problems. - Assessment and validation: verification improving; MOF will reconcile external debt data with creditors more frequently. (September 2005) - Revision studies: not currently carried out routinely; BOM plans revision studies. (May 2006) Serviceability and accessibility: - No established consultation with users; BOM plans user surveys. (December 2005) - Consistency: large errors and omissions not routinely investigated; adoption of NSS unified sectorization matrix expected to enhance intersectoral consistency. (September 2005) - Revision policy: no formal policy; BOM plans to disseminate revisions policy. (December 2005) - Data accessibility: improvements needed in including time series on website and in hardcopy; BOM disseminates BOP data back to 1980 on website; plans to disseminate advance release calendar. (September 2005) - Metadata accessibility: detailed metadata posted on NIS website and DSBB; BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes some methodological notes. - Assistance: contact information and list of publications provided on BOM website and Quarterly Bulletin, though no single contact person is identified. ### General Data Dissemination System (GDDS) — participation and assessment - Mozambique began participating in the GDDS in November 2003. - Mission reviewed Mozambique’s data dissemination practices against GDDS recommendations for macroeconomic statistics. - Data dimension findings: - Limitations in coverage of core frameworks and indicators, including absence of manufacturing/industrial production index and labor market indicators. - Data on public and publicly guaranteed external debt not disseminated with recommended breakdown. - Most GDDS periodicity and timeliness recommendations met, except periodicity of external trade data and timeliness of comprehensive central government operations and debt. - Exceptions to GDDS extensions: lack of quarterly GDP data, monthly producer price index, data on private external debt not publicly guaranteed, a share price index, and disaggregation of labor data by age, sex, employment status, occupation, and industry. - Quality, integrity, and access dimensions: - Quality: documentation on methodology and data sources for macroeconomic statistics posted on NIS website and DSBB; reconciliation across sectors not fully achieved. - Integrity: legal framework supports integrity; no internal governmental access prior to public release. - Access: statistics released simultaneously to all parties; advance release calendars disseminated only for NIS-compiled statistics. ### Metadata, serviceability, and user assistance highlights - Detailed metadata for macroeconomic statistics are posted on the NIS website and the DSBB; efforts to update metadata more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) - Advanced release calendars posted for national accounts and price statistics; BOM and MOF plan to disseminate advance release calendars according to timelines above. - Data quality management teams established (NIS in 2004); data quality assessments expected by end-2005. - Annual users’ surveys conducted by NIS since 2002; BOM and MOF plan to introduce systematic user surveys (dates noted above). - Persistent constraints across statistical domains include outdated software, inadequate long-term domestic funding, and need for additional training, particularly in provinces. *Source: _cr05278 - Appendix Tables_* ### Appendix Tables ### _cr05278 - Appendix Tables ### I. BACKGROUND - A mission from the IMF Statistics Department visited Maputo during May 11- 17, 2005 to update the Data module of the ROSC prepared by a mission that visited Maputo in June 2002. - Main objectives of the mission: - Review and document actions taken by the authorities to address issues raised by the 2002 Data ROSC mission for national accounts, consumer price index, government finance, monetary, and balance of payments statistics. - Discuss authorities’ plans for further improving the quality of the statistics. - Review Mozambique’s current data dissemination practices against the recommendations of the General Data Dissemination System (GDDS). - During the mission, meetings were held with the Acting Minister of Finance, the General Manager of the Bank of Mozambique, and the President of the National Institute of Statistics (NIS), and the mission worked closely with staff responsible for the relevant datasets. ### II. MAIN FINDINGS OF THE MISSION - Significant efforts have been made to address shortcomings identified by the 2002 ROSC mission; improvements in institutional environment and increased allocation of resources for national accounts, balance of payments, and government finance statistics have addressed important weaknesses in prerequisites for data quality. - Methodological soundness, accuracy, and reliability of macroeconomic statistics are beginning to show improvements, but overall quality still hinders policy formulation and monitoring of economic development. - Continued high reliance on external funding raises concerns about the sustainability of the NIS’ statistical programs. - Historical context: extremely weak statistical infrastructure at independence in 1975 and deterioration during the civil war; strong recent commitment to international standards including formal participation in the GDDS in November 2003. - Progress more evident since launching of IMF-sponsored regional project for strengthening statistical capacity in Portuguese-speaking African countries. - Source data and data collection programs strengthened for national accounts and CPI through surveys on business, household income and expenditure, and agriculture, and by updating the business register. - More comprehensive and timely foreign trade data based on improved classification systems are being compiled. - New surveys undertaken on the informal sector, non-profit organizations, and labor force. - Benchmark year for national accounts and CPI weights are being updated. - Creation of a statistical unit in MOF and launching of SISTAFE expected to improve analytical usefulness of government finance statistics. - Monetary statistics analytical framework aligned with internationally accepted practices; data derived exclusively from accounting records. - Additional resources allocated to balance of payments statistics, including establishment of a specialized unit within the Research Department of the BOM and an interagency Working Group on External Trade Statistics, improving trade data and source data for BOP. - Metadata dissemination: metadata for all macroeconomic statistics with different levels of detail are disseminated in publications and on websites; advanced release calendars for national accounts and price statistics posted; efforts underway to disseminate advance release calendars and information on revisions policy for all datasets. - GDDS-related gaps remaining: - Absence of a manufacturing or industrial production index and labor market indicators. - Data on public and publicly guaranteed external debt not disseminated with recommended breakdown. - Periodicity of external trade data and timeliness of comprehensive central government operations and debt not meeting recommendations. - Exceptions to recommended extensions: lack of quarterly GDP data, monthly producer price index, data on private external debt not publicly guaranteed, a share price index, and disaggregation of labor data by age, sex, employment status, occupation, and industry. - Appendices I-V provide details on actions since 2002 ROSC and plans with target dates. ### A. National Accounts - Progress over past three years to enhance national accounts quality as part of NIS action plan; supported by long-term technical assistance from IMF Statistics Department and Scandinavian and Italian Programs. - Concerns: continued reliance on external funding; implementing plans requires continued commitment, additional budget resources, and ongoing external support. Main actions taken since 2002: - Staff resources for national accounts compilation were increased by one third; computers and working conditions updated; training programs strengthened. - A data quality management team was established in 2004 to guide NIS on data quality and assess quality of statistical products; annual users’ surveys conducted since 2002. - Improvements in scope of national accounts; more substantial changes expected when data based on new benchmark year (2003) are compiled and disseminated. - Source data and data collection programs improvements include: - Compilation of data on local governments. - Use of results of surveys on business, household income and expenditure (2002/2003), and agriculture. - Compilation of more comprehensive and timely foreign trade data based on improved classification systems. - New surveys on the informal sector, non-profit organizations, and labor force. - Business register established in 2004 improved sample frames. - Updating of benchmark year (2003) incorporates improved compilation processes and statistical techniques. - Ongoing efforts to estimate hidden and illegal activities, including shuttle trade. - Strengthened collaboration between NIS, BOM, and Customs. - NIS increased contacts with users; annual users’ surveys since 2002. - An advanced release calendar is posted on the NIS website. - Detailed metadata posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. Planned improvements (with target timing where provided): - Assessment of the quality of NIS’ main statistical products by the Data Quality Management Group by end-2005. - Revised national accounts time series based on the new benchmark year (including preliminary annual estimates for 2005 and quarterly estimates for 2006) expected to be disseminated by September 2006. - Additional resources to improve timeliness and accuracy of source data, including response rates to surveys and merchandise trade statistics. (Starting in June 2005). - More comprehensive studies and documentation of revisions to inform compilation process. (December 2005). - Adoption of a unified sectorization matrix of all institutional units by all data producing agencies within the NSS. (Approved in May 2005). - Strengthening procedures to routinely assess accuracy of source data for national accounts, including GFS, BOP, and price statistics, in coordination with BOM and MOF. (Starting in June 2005). - NIS expects to disseminate to the public the policy for revising national accounts by end-2005. - Improvements in dissemination formats by September 2005; further improvements when time series based on new benchmark year are disseminated. - Metadata on the NIS website and DSBB to be updated more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) ### B. Consumer Price Index - Overall CPI quality improved significantly since 2002: coverage expanded, COICOP classifications adopted, and source data substantially improved. - Improvements to be fully reflected in rebased CPI (base: December 2004) to be disseminated in July 2005. - Resource constraints: additional resources and training needed to ensure sustainability. Main actions taken since 2002: - Computers and working conditions upgraded; software remains outdated. - Data quality management team established in 2004; annual users’ surveys since 2002. - CPI coverage expanded to cover the three largest cities (Maputo, Beira, and Nampula); indices disseminated for each city and aggregate index. - Prices being collected for seven additional cities to further expand coverage. - Source data improvements: HIES conducted in 2002/2003; census of establishments in 2003; business register established in 2004. - CPI weights updated using household consumption expenditure from the 2002-2003 HIES; COICOP classifications fully introduced. - Strengthened coordination between CPI and NA compilers on classifications and weighting. - Advanced release calendar posted on the NIS website. - Detailed metadata posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. - Support services available to users; contact information and list of publications provided. Planned improvements (with timing where provided): - Strengthening training programs, particularly in the provinces. (Ongoing) - Assessment of the quality of NIS’ main statistical products by the Data Quality Management Group by end-2005. - Adoption of a random sampling technique to select outlets for price collection by July 2006. - Acquisition of more modern software to permit improvements in statistical techniques. (December 2006) - Gradual increase of aggregate CPI coverage up to 10 cities, depending on analysis of information being collected. (By end-2006) - Dissemination of a CPI with a new base period (December 2004) and using COICOP classifications in July 2005. - Metadata on NIS website and DSBB to be updated more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) ### C. Government Finance Statistics - Some progress made since 2002 ROSC as awareness increased and resources allocated at MOF; creation of a statistical unit in MOF and launch of SISTAFE in late 2004 expected to significantly enhance analytical quality of GFS. Main actions taken since 2002: - Department of Economic Studies and Government Finance Statistics (DESGFS) established within the Treasury in 2003; currently DESGFS has four professionals and two support staff. - Establishment of a donor reporting system in 2002 improved statistical reporting on foreign aid, though substantial foreign aid data still not included in budget execution data. - Launching of SISTAFE has led to progress in concepts and definitions, scope, classification, and sectorization used for compiling GFS in line with GFSM 2001. - Dissemination formats for GFS were improved and more disaggregated data are disseminated. - Detailed metadata posted on the NIS website and on the DSBB. Planned improvements (with timing where provided): - MOF will seek formal delegation of authority from NIS to compile and disseminate GFS; DESGFS to be recognized as a data producing agency within the NSS. (December 2005) - MOF will work with IMF technical assistance missions to compile GFS and develop a migration path to the GFSM 2001, including training. (First mission scheduled for July 2005) - Coverage of GFS source data to be expanded to include all autonomous agencies and local governments (autarquias locais). (December 2006) - In coordination with BOM, MOF will reconcile external debt data with creditors more frequently. (September 2005) - Adoption of SISTAFE expected to permit derivation of comprehensive GFS automatically and reduce lags in disseminating annual GFS. (June 2006) - NSS unified sectorization matrix of institutional units to be adopted in compilation of GFS. (June 2006) - Metadata on NIS website and DSBB to be updated more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) - MOF plans to establish a website, disseminate a statement on the revision policy and an advance release calendar, and provide a hyperlink to the GFS metadata posted on the NIS website. (December 2005) ### D. Monetary Statistics - (Content for Monetary Statistics begins in the source; further details not included in this excerpt.) *IMF — _cr05278 - Appendix Tables_* ### 19. Since 2002, the BOM has made substantial progress towards compiling monetary ### _cr05278 - 19. Since 2002, the BOM has made substantial progress towards compiling monetary ### Monetary statistics — progress and current practices - Monetary statistics are derived exclusively from accounting records. - All monetary statistics are being derived electronically in the process of adopting the new standardized forms for reporting monetary statistics to the IMF. This system is being tested and it is expected that the new time series, based on the BOM mainframe, will be released by end-2005. - Detailed metadata are posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. Also, the BOM website has a hyperlink to the DSBB. - The BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes some methodological notes, including information on breaks in series. - No formal feedback is sought from users, but the BOM has an active outreach program, including seminars to the media and interested users. - Support services are available to users. Contact information and a list of publications are provided on the BOM website and Quarterly Bulletin. ### Monetary statistics — planned actions and timelines - The BOM plans to include a user survey in the Quarterly Bulletin and on its website. (September 2005) - Establish an internal committee to work on data quality issues. (December 2005) - The NSS unified sectorization matrix of all institutional units will be adopted by the BOM and other depository corporations. (September 2005) - An advanced release calendar will be disseminated. (September 2005) - Metadata posted on the NIS website and the DSBB will be updated more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) - Although data formats and dissemination means improved considerably since 2002, the BOM plans to fully adapt the dissemination formats to those recommended in the MFSM. (September 2005) ### Balance of payments (BOP) statistics — institutional changes and improvements - Creation of a balance of payments (BOP) unit within the Research and Statistics Department of the BOM with substantial additional resources has resulted in improvements in the overall quality of BOP statistics. - Data sources were significantly expanded and improved. - An interagency Working Group on External Trade Statistics contributed significantly to improvements in the coverage and classification of trade data. - These efforts are being supported by technical assistance from the IMF Statistics Department. ### BOP — specific actions since the 2002 ROSC mission - An interagency Working Group on External Trade Statistics was created in 2003 to promote the compilation and dissemination of more comprehensive and accurate external trade statistics. - In 2002, the NIS delegated to the BOM the responsibility for compiling and disseminating BOP and, thus, the authority to request relevant information from any public or private entity. The BOP surveys state that penalties can be applied for nonreporting or for reporting inaccurate data. - The BOM established the Balance of Payments Unit within the Research and Statistics Department in September 2004 and four new staff were allocated to the compilation of BOP statistics, which represents an increase of more than fifty percent over the staff level in 2002. - The source of BOP statistics is currently identified in all publications. The BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes explanatory notes on mayor changes in methodology, source data, and statistical techniques; however, these explanations are only done when data are released. - The BOM is expanding enterprise surveys to major direct investment enterprises, as well as major transportation, communications, and tourism, to improve the coverage of services and financial account. - Improved register of foreign investment and private debt will facilitate expanded coverage. - Gradual improvement of source data (trade data, monthly bank surveys on foreign exchange transactions, and enterprise surveys) are reducing classification problems in services and other investments. - Breakdown and coverage of Customs data are improving through quality control procedures; more staff resources allow analysis and adjustment to source data and reduction in lags in responses, including the lag in Customs data. - BOP staff maintains regular dialogue with major data providers (banks and enterprises) to query amounts that appear to be misclassified and ensure correct reporting. Some estimates are made for missing observations. Estimates are made on smuggling and travel, based on exchange rate transactions through exchange houses. - The BOM released a BOP time series for 1980-2003, reclassified according to the BPM5. Starting in 2004, data are compiled and disseminated according to the BPM5. - Detailed metadata are posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. The BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes some methodological notes, including information on breaks in series. - Support services are available to users. Contact information and a list of publications are provided on the website and the BOM Quarterly Bulletin. ### BOP — planned improvements and timelines - A revised Exchange Law, which formally adopts the BPM5 residency criterion, is expected to be approved by the Parliament in late 2005. However, in practice, the BOM already applies the BPM5 residency criterion for BOP compilation. - Coverage of current and capital transfers to the private sector will improve with the results of the NIS census for NGOs that was conducted in 2004/2205 covering data for 2003/2004. - In coordination with the MOF, BOM will reconcile external debt data with creditors on a more frequent basis. (September 2005) - BOM plans to establish a revisions policy. (December 2005) - BOM plans to undertake studies of BOP revisions to inform the statistical process. These studies will be disseminated to the public. (May 2006) - The BOM will conduct surveys among users of BOP statistics and will seek users' feedback on its website and the Quarterly Bulletin. (December 2005) - BOM plans to strengthen procedures to routinely assess the accuracy of source data for BOP in coordination with NIS, including the National Accounts Department. (Starting in June 2005) - The NSS unified sectorization matrix of all institutional units will be adopted in the compilation of the BOP statistics. (September 2005) - The BOM plans to disseminate an advanced release calendar for BOP. (September 2005) - BOM plans to establish an internal committee to work on data quality issues and to conduct surveys among users of BOP statistics. (December 2005) ### General Data Dissemination System (GDDS) participation and assessment - Mozambique began participating in the GDDS in November 2003. - The mission reviewed Mozambique’s current data dissemination practices against the recommendations of the GDDS for macroeconomic statistics. - Main findings with respect to coverage, periodicity, and timeliness of the data dimension are described; more detailed information is provided in Appendix VI. ### GDDS — data dimension findings - Limitations in coverage of most core comprehensive frameworks and indicators recommended in the GDDS still exist, including the absence of a manufacturing or industrial production index and labor market indicators. - Data on public and publicly guaranteed external debt are not disseminated with the recommended breakdown. - Most GDDS recommendations regarding periodicity and timeliness are met, except for (i) the periodicity of external trade data, and (ii) the timeliness of data on comprehensive central government operations and debt. - Concerning extensions encouraged by the GDDS, exceptions to the recommended practices in terms of data coverage are the lack of quarterly GDP data, a monthly producer price index, data on private external debt not publicly guaranteed, a share price index, and disaggregation of labor data by age, sex, employment status, occupation, and industry. ### GDDS — quality, integrity, and access dimensions - Quality dimension: documentation on methodology and data sources for macroeconomic statistics is posted on the NIS website and on the IMF’s Data Standards Bulletin Board (DSBB). Nonpublished (but nonconfidential) data are made available to the public upon request. Despite improvements in data coverage, sectorization, classification, and accounting procedures since 2002, data reconciliation across sectors cannot be fully achieved. - Integrity dimension: the terms and conditions under which most official statistics are compiled and disseminated in Mozambique provide a legal framework that supports the integrity of the statistical system. This information is contained in the metadata disseminated. There is no internal governmental access to statistics prior to their release to the public. - Access dimension: statistics are released simultaneously to all parties. Advance release calendars are disseminated only for statistics compiled and disseminated by the NIS. ### Appendix I — National Accounts (selected assessments and plans) - Pre-requisites of quality: Shortage of human and financial resources noted in 2002 (LNO). Current resources seem adequate for ongoing programs but not for developmental work. Staff resources for national accounts compilation were increased by one third; computers and working conditions were updated; training programs were strengthened. Additional resources required for improving source data, in particular external trade data and business surveys. (Starting in June 2005). Continued high reliance on external funding raises concerns about sustainability. - Quality awareness: A data quality management team was established in 2004. The data quality assessment is expected to take place by end-2005. NIS has conducted annual users’ surveys since 2002. - Methodological soundness: Some productive activities and intangible assets not covered (LO). Revised national accounts time series based on the new benchmark year (2003) including preliminary annual estimates for 2005 and quarterly estimates for 2006 are expected to be disseminated by November 2006. - Basis for recording: Government data are recorded on a cash basis, and not adjusted to accrual basis (LO). Data on government operations continue to be compiled on a cash basis. - Source data: No comprehensive data collection program by economic activities; unreliable sample frames; delays in survey data (LNO). Ongoing efforts include compilation of local government data; use of business, household income and expenditure, and agriculture surveys; compilation of more comprehensive and timely foreign trade data; new surveys on the informal sector, non profit organizations, and labor force; establishment of a business register improved sample frames. Additional efforts needed to improve timeliness and accuracy of source data, including increasing response rates. - Statistical techniques: Hidden and illegal activities are not incorporated (LO). Updating the benchmark year will incorporate improvements; ongoing efforts to estimate hidden and illegal activities, including shuttle trade. - Assessment and validation of source data: Routine assessment of the annual business survey was not carried out (LO). Surveys and censuses are now assessed regularly; NIS plans to strengthen procedures to routinely assess accuracy of source data for national accounts, including GFS, BOP, and price statistics, in coordination with BOM and MOF. (Starting in June 2005) - Revision studies: Studies and analyses of revisions are not undertaken on a routine basis (LO). Some analysis of direction and magnitude of revisions is done; NIS plans more comprehensive studies and documentation on a more regular basis. (Starting in December 2005) - Relevance and user engagement: No permanent initiative to evaluate whether programs meet user needs (LNO). NIS has intensified contacts and conducts annual users’ surveys since 2002. - Timeliness and periodicity: Final data are disseminated only with a two-year lag (O). Preliminary data meet GDDS recommendations (6-months) but are very aggregated and subject to substantial revisions. More detailed provisional data are disseminated with a 10-month lag. Final data continues to be disseminated only with a two-year lag. - Consistency: Limited consistency between national accounts and other datasets (LO). Coordination among statistical agencies has improved. A unified sectorization matrix to be adopted by all data producing agencies within the NSS will be approved in June 2005; adoption will enhance intersectoral consistency. NIS plans to strengthen procedures to verify intersectoral consistency. - Revision policy and practice: Public is not informed of revision policies; studies and analyses of revisions are not made public (LO). NIS expects to disseminate the revisions policy by end-2005. - Data accessibility: Dissemination media and formats are adequate only for the final version; statistics were not released on a pre-announced schedule (LO). An advanced release calendar is posted on the NIS website. Formats used for disseminating national accounts statistics will be improved by September 2005. Further improvements will be made when the time series based on the new benchmark year are disseminated. *Source: _cr05278 - 19. Since 2002, the BOM has made substantial progress towards compiling monetary* ### 5.2 Metadata ### 5.2 Metadata ### Metadata accessibility (Consumer Price Statistics — NIS) - Metadata are scarce and outdated. (LNO) - The metadata are not disseminated in a manner that facilitates their access (e.g., NIS website). (LNO) - Detailed metadata are posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. However, efforts will be made to update the metadata more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing) ### Assistance to users (Consumer Price Statistics — NIS) - Catalogues of publications, documents, and other services are not widely available. (LNO) - Support services are available to users. Contact information and a list of publications are provided on the website and publications. ### Related data-quality and production updates (Consumer Price Statistics — NIS) - Computers and software used for compiling and analyzing the data are outdated. (LO) - Computers and working conditions have been upgraded, but software continues to be outdated. - Current staff resources seem adequate for ongoing programs, but the excessive reliance on foreign financing raises concerns about the sustainability of these programs. Training programs need to be strengthened, in particular in the provinces. (Ongoing) - Special teams for monitoring quality indicators do not exist. (LO) - A data quality management team was established in 2004 to provide guidance to NIS on data quality issues and to assess the quality of NIS statistical products. - The data quality assessment is expected to take place by end-2005. - Since 2002 NIS has conducted annual users’ surveys to obtain feedback on the quality of statistics produced by NIS. - An advanced release calendar is already posted on the NIS website. ### CPI scope, classification, source-data, and methods (Consumer Price Statistics — NIS) - The official CPI covers only Maputo. The CPI is an urban price index. (LO) - The coverage of the CPI has been expanded to cover the three largest cities (Maputo, Beira, and Nampula). NIS disseminates the indices for each city and the aggregate index. - NIS plans to gradually increase the coverage of the aggregate CPI up to 10 cities, depending upon the analysis of the information being collected. (By end-2006) - The classification system used by the NIS is outdated and differs from the Classification of Individual Consumption by Purpose (COICOP). (LNO) - NIS plans to disseminate a CPI with a new base period (December 2004) and based on COICOP classifications in July 2005. - The NIS does not carry out a census of establishments. A comprehensive business register to provide the basis for sample surveys does not exist. (LNO) - Source data for the CPI has improved significantly: a household income and expenditure survey (HIES) was conducted in 2002/2003, a census of establishments was conducted in 2003, and the business register was established in 2004. - Lack of adjustments for changes in quality, treatment of seasonal products, basket update to include new products, and relatively low coverage in CPI of household final consumption expenditure for urban areas. (LO) - Despite some improvements, the current software does not permit substantial improvements in statistical techniques. NIS is exploring the possibility of acquiring more modern software. (December 2006) - For the price survey, sampling errors are not available due to the judgmental nature of the selection of outlets. (LO) - NIS plans to adopt a random sampling technique to select the outlets for price collection by July 2006. - A specific user survey for the CPI will be conducted in May 2005. ### Metadata accessibility (Government Finance Statistics — MOF) - Documentation only available in the budget reports and dispersed legislation. Differences from international standards not identified. (LNO) - Detailed metadata are posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. However, efforts will be made to update the metadata more regularly. (Ongoing) - MOF plans to include contact information and a list of publications in the website to be established and in the publications. (December 2005) *Source: _cr05278 - 5.2 Metadata* ### 4. Serviceability ### _cr05278 - 4. Serviceability ### Monetary statistics — Relevance - No established process of consulting users’ needs is in place. (LO) - Feedback from users is not sought on a systematic basis. - BOM plans: include a user survey in the Quarterly Bulletin and on the website in the near future. ### Monetary statistics — Timeliness and periodicity - (No additional specific timeliness figures provided in this section.) ### Monetary statistics — Consistency - Different institutional coverage in the monetary and government finance statistics hinders data reconciliation. (LO) - Expected improvements: - Adoption of the NSS unified sectorization matrix to enhance intersectoral consistency. - BOM plans to strengthen procedures to verify intersectoral consistency of statistics. ### Monetary statistics — Revision policy and practice - Users are not informed that the BOM does not conduct routine data revisions. (LO) - BOM plans: post on the website the revisions policy in the near future. ### Monetary statistics — Accessibility (Data accessibility, Metadata, Assistance) - Data accessibility: - No publicly announced advance release calendar. (LO) - Data formats and dissemination means improved since 2002 but further improvement needed. - BOM plans: fully adapt dissemination formats to those recommended in the MFSM. (September 2005.) - BOM plans: disseminate an advance release calendar. (September 2005) - Metadata accessibility: - Metadata is not available in the Quarterly Statistical Bulletin; the Bulletin does not contain a section with methodological notes, including breaks in series, to facilitate understanding of monetary statistics by the public. (LNO) - Detailed metadata are posted on the NIS website and the DSBB; efforts will be made to update the data more regularly, at least once a year. (Ongoing.) - BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes some methodological notes, including information on breaks in series. - BOM will disseminate an advance release calendar. (September 2005) - Assistance to users: - No contact person is identified. Catalogue of publications and other services to users are not available on the website. (LO) - Support services are available to users; contact information and a list of publications are provided on the website and the BOM Quarterly Bulletin. --- ### Balance of payments statistics — Pre-requisites of quality - 0.1 Legal and institutional environment: - No clear responsibility for compiling and disseminating external trade data; need to reinforce legal mandate and/or measures to ensure timely reporting. (LO) - NIS is responsible for compiling and disseminating external trade statistics. - May 2003: interagency Working Group on External Trade Statistics created. - Under Law of the National Statistical System (7/96 of July 5), in September 2002 NIS delegated to the BOM the responsibility for compiling and disseminating BOP. - BOM has the authority to demand information from any public or private entity. BOP surveys state that penalties can be applied for non-reporting or for reporting inaccurate data. - 0.2 Resources: - Staff, financial, and computing resources are inadequate. (LNO) - BOM communication No. 15/2004 of July 27 created the Balance of Payments Service within the Research and Statistics Department. - Four new staff joined the BOP Unit, representing more that fifty percent increase over the staff level in 2002. - BOP unit started computerizing the BOP compilation process in the BOM mainframe; individual computers of the staff have not yet been upgraded. - 0.3 Quality Awareness: - No formal processes in place to focus on data quality. No regular procedures to provide guidance on data quality. No feedback obtained from users. (LO) - With additional staff resources, staff will focus more on data quality and data verification. - BOM plans: establish an internal committee to work on data quality issues and to conduct surveys among users of BOP statistics. (December 2005) ### Balance of payments statistics — Integrity and Methodological soundness - 1.2 Transparency: - Products not identified in most publications. No advance notice is given of revisions or changes in methodology. (LO) - Status: Source of BOP statistics is identified in all publications. BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes explanatory notes on major changes in methodology, source data, and statistical techniques, but only when data are released. - 2.1 Concepts and definitions: - Residency criteria not totally consistent with BPM5. (LO) - A revised Exchange Law, which formally adopts the BPM5 residency criterion, is expected to be approved by the Parliament in late 2005. In practice, BOM already applies the BPM5 residency criterion for BOP compilation. - 2.2 Scope: - Coverage for services, current and capital transfers are limited. Direct investment information from enterprises not complete. Not complete coverage of private external debt and/or arrears. (LNO) - BOM actions: expanding enterprise surveys to major direct investment enterprises and major transportation, communications, and tourism enterprises to improve coverage of services and financial account. - Improved register of foreign investment and private debt expected to facilitate expanded coverage. - Coverage of current and capital transfers to the private sector could improve with results of the NIS census for NGOs conducted in 2004/2005 with data covering 2003/2004. (Ongoing) - 2.3 Classification/Sectorization: - Classification problems in services and other investments. (LO) - Gradual improvement of basic data sources (trade data, monthly bank surveys on foreign exchange transactions, enterprise surveys) are reducing classification problems in services and other investments. ### Balance of payments statistics — Accuracy and reliability - 3.1 Source data: - Primary data sources are insufficient. Specific procedures to adjust data not adequate. Lags in information provided by all sources. (LO) - BOP source data are being strengthened. Breakdown and coverage of Customs data improving through quality control procedures. - Expected improvements: BOM register of foreign investment and private debt will improve in short-term. - More staff resources allow analysis and adjustment to source data. Lags in responses being addressed. Lag in Customs data has been reduced. - 3.2 Statistical techniques: - Compilation method does not facilitate verification of errors. No estimation techniques are employed to adjust data for missing observations. No estimates on shuttle trade. (LNO) - Status: BOM maintains regular dialogue with major data providers to query misclassified amounts. Some estimates made for missing observations, such as services provided from abroad to government projects paid directly abroad. - Estimates are made on smuggling and travel, based on exchange rate transactions through exchange houses. - 3.3 Assessment and validation of source data: - Verification of reported statistics is limited. Surveys not assessed for adequacy. (LO) - Verification improving gradually as reporters and compilers better understand BOP methodology; training seminars organized. - 3.4 Assessment and validation of intermediate data and outputs: - Behavior of series is crosschecked with related series/indicators only sporadically. (LO) - No reconciliation of data with bilateral donors or international organizations. - Increase of BOP staff will allow for more frequent and in-depth crosschecking with related series/indicators. - BOP staff meets regularly with NIS and MOF to cross-check consistency of data. - MOF will reconcile external debt data with creditors on a more frequent basis. (September 2005) - 3.5 Revision studies: - Revision studies are not carried out to inform the statistical process. (LNO) - BOM plans: undertake studies of BOP revisions to inform the statistical process in the context of computerization and increased staff resources. ### Balance of payments statistics — Serviceability (Relevance, Consistency, Revision policy) - 4.1 Relevance: - There is no process of consultation with users. (LNO) - BOM plans: conduct surveys among users of BOP statistics and seek users' feedback on its website and Quarterly Bulletin. (December 2005) - 4.3 Consistency: - Large errors and omissions are not investigated. Series are reconstructed when changes are made, but these data and explanations have not been made public. Inconsistencies in sectorization and classification of transactions across data sets. (LO) - Improvements: - Basic sources of data improvements have reduced errors and omissions. - BOM released a BOP time series for 1980-2003, reclassified according to the BPM5. - Starting in 2004, data are compiled and disseminated according to the BPM5. - Adoption of the NSS unified sectorization matrix is expected to enhance intersectoral consistency. (September 2005.) - BOM plans to strengthen procedures to verify intersectoral consistency of statistics in collaboration with NIS. (Starting in June 2005) - 4.4 Revision policy and practice: - No formal revision policy. Analyses of revisions are not made public. (LNO) - BOM plans: disseminate the revisions policy in publications and website. (December 2005) ### Balance of payments statistics — Accessibility - 5.1 Data accessibility: - Improvement needed by including time series on the website and in hardcopy publications. No pre-announced schedule for data release. (LO) - Status: BOM disseminates data for BOP going back to 1980 on the website. - BOM plans: disseminate an advance release calendar. (September 2005) and revision studies. (May 2006) - 5.2 Metadata accessibility: - No documentation on changes to BPM5 new methodology is available to users. (LNO) - Detailed metadata are posted on the NIS website and the DSBB. - BOM Quarterly Bulletin includes some methodological notes, including information on breaks in series. - 5.3 Assistance to users: - No contact person is identified. (LO) - Support services are available to users. Contact information and a list of publications are provided on the BOM website and Quarterly Bulletin. *Content based on _cr05278 - 4. Serviceability* --- _Source: https://www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported-full-text-pdf/external/pubs/ft/scr/2005/_cr05278.pdf_