## _wp11132 - References

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### I. Introduction
- Post-1997–1998 regional crisis policy focus: develop domestic debt markets to reduce foreign exchange mismatches and concentration of credit and maturity risks in banks (Committee on the Global Financial System [CGFS] 2007b; Turner 2009).
- Local currency bonds emphasized as they constitute a significant share of emerging bond markets, especially in Asia (Figure 1).
- Purposes of liquid and deep domestic debt markets:
  - diversify funding of governments, households, and corporations;
  - attract financing for infrastructure needs;
  - broaden assets for local institutional and retail investors;
  - provide an additional channel for financial intermediation if banks are stressed (Gyntelberg, Ma, and Remolona (2006); Gyntelberg (2007); Jiang, Tang, and Law (2002)).
- Crisis impact and recovery:
  - severe retrenchment of capital inflows during the global financial crisis; domestic bond markets saw high volatility and substantially lower liquidity in Q4 2008 (Figures 2 and 3).
  - drop in domestic bond issuance in 2008; recovery in 2009 due to fiscal stimuli and renewed capital inflows.
- Paper scope:
  - Section II: state of local currency debt markets;
  - Section III: main obstacles;
  - Section IV: policy responses;
  - concluding remarks.

### II. The State of Development

A. Borrowers and Lenders
- Pre-crisis external issuance rose due to lower costs of foreign currency-denominated issuance in G3 currencies (U.S. dollar, euro, and yen) and favorable credit ratings and diversification in currency denomination.
- Determinants of borrowing mode:
  - cost of borrowing remains primary determinant; maturity and diversification gaining importance.
  - domestic bond issuance often more costly and cumbersome than bank lending; corporate finance remains bank-dominated and relationship-based.
  - preference for private placements to save on regulatory costs (registration, prospectus, disclosure).
- Corporate bond market development (relative positions):
  - relatively more developed: Hong Kong SAR, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore.
  - lagging: India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand (Figure 5).
  - China: corporate bond market represents only 8–9 percent of GDP despite rapid capitalization growth since 2005.
- Institutional investor growth and profiles:
  - pension fund assets: Korea grew at 47 percent per annum during 2002–2007; National Pension Fund >21 percent of GDP in 2007 (mostly in fixed-income securities).
  - mutual funds: India mutual fund industry grew from about $30 billion in 2004 to more than $150 billion as of end-May 2010; China mutual funds AUM CAGR = 67% (Figure 6).
  - Hong Kong SAR and Singapore mutual fund industries derive more than 50 percent of their assets from abroad (Figure 6[b]).
- Foreign investor participation:
  - rising despite crisis-related setbacks; much participation via institutional investors and derivatives (non-deliverable forwards, structured notes, total return swaps).
  - assets under management for dedicated emerging market bond funds rose significantly (Emerging Markets Portfolio Funds Research).
- Regional initiatives:
  - Asian Bond Fund-2 (ABF-2) launched March 2005 introduced Pan Asia Bond Index Fund and a Fund of Bond Funds.
  - Asian Bond Market Initiative (ABMI) under ASEAN+3 catalyzed market infrastructure, securitized debt issuance, regional settlement, and rating agency strengthening.
  - Credit Guarantee and Investment Facility (ADB trust fund) expected to support corporate bond issuance.
- International financial institutions:
  - ADB, IFC, World Bank issued local currency bonds to provide high quality local instruments and build yield curves.
- Research finding:
  - Mizen and Tsoukas (2010): firm-specific characteristics (prior issuance) more important for public bond issuance than local market size/liquidity; coordinated government policies had little effect on probability of issuance at firm level.

B. Liquidity
- Liquidity dimensions:
  - micro: depth (turnover ratios), tightness (bid–ask spreads), ability to absorb random shocks (price volatility).
  - macro: resilience to macro shocks (e.g., diversified investor base).
- Market liquidity variation across Asia: Hong Kong SAR, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore most liquid.
- Examples of reforms improving liquidity: constant two-way quotes by primary dealers in Korea; development of KTB futures; Singapore interest rate swap market high average daily turnover.
- Selected indicators from Table 1 (as presented; units preserved as in source):
  - China: Value Traded Government $5,368 billion; Corporate $1,812 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.68; Corporate Turnover Ratio 1.29; Government Bid-Ask Spread 5.1 bps.
  - Hong Kong SAR: Government Value Traded 5,527 1/ Includes Exchange Bills; Government Turnover Ratio 32.48; Government Bid-Ask Spread 0.04 bps; Corporate Turnover Ratio 13.
  - Indonesia: Government Value Traded $40 billion; Corporate $2 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.18; Corporate 0.06; Government Bid-Ask Spread 26.6 bps.
  - Japan: Government Value Traded $44,907 billion; Corporate $277 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 1.36; Corporate 0.08; Government Bid-Ask Spread n.a.
  - Korea: Government Value Traded $1,347 billion; Corporate $363 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.81; Corporate 0.19; Government Bid-Ask Spread 1.1 bps.
  - Malaysia: Government Value Traded $221 billion; Corporate $18 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.59; Corporate 0.06; Government Bid-Ask Spread 2.3 bps.
  - Philippines: Government Value Traded $76 billion; Corporate n.a.; Government Turnover Ratio 0.38; Corporate n.a.; Government Bid-Ask Spread 6.6 bps.
  - Singapore: Government Value Traded $204 billion; Corporate n.a.; Government Turnover Ratio 0.65; Corporate n.a.; Government Bid-Ask Spread 2.9 bps.
  - Thailand: Government Value Traded $368 billion; Corporate $5 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.83; Corporate 0.04; Government Bid-Ask Spread 3.4 bps.
  - Note: bps = basis points; Source: AsianBondsOnline [accessed September 2010].
- Liquidity constraints linked to narrow investor base, insufficient infrastructure, low transparency, and pricing information gaps.
- Reforms implemented in some countries: market-makers, modern trading platforms, upgraded payment and settlement systems.
- Secondary market liquidity dependent on foreign investors; access via offshore derivatives can both enhance liquidity and create sudden withdrawals during risk aversion.

C. Regulation
- Post-crisis policy and regulatory reforms supported market development: enhanced regulatory/supervisory capacity; improved corporate governance; active government reforms.
- Country examples of reforms and measures:
  - China: pilot allowing locally-listed banks to buy/sell bonds on stock exchanges since January 2009; corporations including foreign firms allowed to issue in interbank bond market; renminbi liberalized for trading/settlement in Hong Kong SAR.
  - Hong Kong SAR: electronic trading platform for government and corporate bonds launched December 2007.
  - India: January 2009 increase in FII limit for rupee-denominated corporate bonds from $6 billion to $15 billion; Reserve Bank of India Act amended January 2009 to develop and regulate corporate bond market; foreign exchange swap facility for banks with foreign branches/subsidiaries; liberalized limits on Indian mutual funds for overseas investments.
  - Indonesia: July 2008 bond pricing agency; eased reserve requirements on foreign currency deposits from 3 to 1 percent in October 2008.
  - Korea: December 2008 Won 10 trillion bond market stabilization fund; amended supervision regulation to facilitate exchange/off-exchange securities trading; real-time reporting of standardized bids/offers; tax changes to reduce taxes on high-yield funds; removal of withholding taxes on interest income and capital gains in May 2009 (parliament considering reinstatement).
  - Malaysia: Bursa Malaysia waived listing fees for debt securities denominated in ringgit and foreign currencies (waived until 2010); phased liberalization of foreign exchange limits and financial liberalization measures to facilitate foreign participation.
  - Singapore: despite fiscal surpluses, issues debt to develop yield curve; July 2009 MAS measures: accept AAA SGD debt from sovereigns/supranationals/sovereign-backed corporations as collateral for MAS Standing Facility; zero percent haircut for such securities; extended eligibility in July 2010 to public entities rated AAA with Basel zero risk weight.
  - Thailand: allowed foreign governments/financial institutions to issue baht bonds onshore; policies to reduce after-tax interest costs and simplify registration for corporations; amended regulations on securities borrowing/lending and short selling; securities law revised in 2010; relaxation of exchange controls on capital flows.
- Corporate governance:
  - post-crisis reforms: higher disclosure standards, minority shareholder protection, bankruptcy law reforms; enforcement remains uneven.
  - 2006 survey: Hong Kong SAR and Singapore scored high; Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan POC, Thailand lower; China, Indonesia, Philippines among lowest in East Asia.

### III. Obstacles to Further Development
- Major impediments:
  - (i) bank dominance;
  - (ii) lack of critical size in issuance;
  - (iii) lack of a diverse investor base and preponderance of buy-and-hold investors;
  - (iv) embryonic legal and regulatory framework for nonbank financial institutions;
  - (v) tax and capital controls on foreign investors;
  - (vi) weak corporate governance;
  - (vii) inadequate information provision, pricing transparency, and infrastructure;
  - (viii) high issuance and transaction costs;
  - (ix) lack of pricing benchmarks and hedging instruments;
  - (x) lack of a robust framework for asset-backed securitization.
- Investor base concentration:
  - buy-and-hold investors (banks, pension funds, insurance companies) dominate; inhibits secondary market liquidity and profitable market intermediation.
  - bank dominance reduces average maturity of issuance (Figure 8).
  - pension funds’ asset allocation often regulated and concentrated in government securities.
- Foreign participation constraints:
  - capital controls, taxation (withholding taxes, capital gains tax), lack of funding and hedging markets, lack of benchmarks.
  - examples: China and India restrict holdings/trading to licensed FIIs; most Asian markets impose withholding taxes on nonresidents with exceptions (Malaysia, Singapore); repo markets often not available to foreigners.
- Structural causes:
  - small average firm size relative to advanced economies makes public bond issuance costly; private placements and external bond markets preferred.
- Legal and enforcement weaknesses:
  - bankruptcy, creditor rights, and enforceability issues hamper market development; many countries still lack robust bankruptcy frameworks—exceptions include Korea, Hong Kong SAR, Malaysia, Singapore (Figure 9).
  - China: legal framework inhibits close-out netting for OTC derivatives.
- Market microstructure issues:
  - fragmentation, high transaction costs, lack of government yield curves as benchmarks, private placement prevalence, and low turnover inhibit arbitrage and active positions.
- Investability and benchmarks:
  - availability of indices (JP Morgan GBI-EM family, iBoxx Pan Asia Index, Citibank World Government Bond Index) helps, but indices may be difficult to replicate cost-effectively by most fund managers.
- Repo and derivatives market constraints:
  - repo markets restricted or unavailable, reducing funding and two-way trading.
  - derivatives largely OTC and underdeveloped except in India, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore; sizable NDF markets for China, India, Korea.
  - exchange-traded interest rate futures present mainly in Hong Kong SAR, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore.
- Asset-backed securitization (ABS) subdued:
  - low incentives to securitize in bank-dominated systems; post-crisis confidence damage to ABS; hurdles include poor legal frameworks, small investor base, high costs, taxes, lack of transparency and borrower default data.
  - India amended Securities Contracts Regulation Act in 2007 but impediments remain (no securitization act, tax/legal uncertainties, weak foreclosure laws, stamp duties).

### IV. Policy Recommendations
- Overarching aim: create deep local currency bond markets as part of a diversified financial system to finance infrastructure and broaden funding channels (Sheng (2010)).
- Strengthen regulation and supervision:
  - build confidence in regulatory, supervisory, and enforcement frameworks for capital markets and nonbank financial institutions.
  - improve information availability: credible rating systems, reporting requirements, adoption of international accounting standards.
  - consider rationalizing/consolidating oversight of nonbank financial institutions; build agency capacity and cross-border cooperation.
  - example: Korea’s Financial Investment Services and Capital Market (Consolidation) Act adopting a functional regulatory approach.
- Build reliable benchmark yield curves:
  - governments can consolidate issuance along chosen segments; timely and regular information provision; reopening longer-dated benchmark issues.
  - Singapore example: lengthened government securities maturities to 15 years, then 20 years; swaps extended up to 30 years—stimulated long-term bond issuance.
- Diversify domestic investor base:
  - attract pensions, insurance, mutual, and hedge funds to shift intermediation from banks to capital markets; diversify banks’ income sources; strengthen governance and risk management.
- Revamp investment regulation for domestic institutional investors:
  - widen eligible local instruments; loosen foreign asset holding limits; ensure reforms accompanied by governance and risk management strengthening.
  - mutual fund regulation: secure legal basis, define manager/custodian roles, disclosure, transparency in issuance/valuation/pricing/redemption.
- Enhance foreign investor participation:
  - lower cost of access; address taxation and capital control issues; improve market access to qualify for investability indices (e.g., JP Morgan GBI-EM).
  - regional hubs (Hong Kong SAR, Singapore) illustrate benefits of foreign access and local repo funding.
- Improve issuance ease and reduce costs:
  - streamline disclosure documents; standardize bond terms; follow International Capital Market Association guidelines; Singapore cited as low-impediment example.
- Increase pricing transparency and market infrastructure:
  - centralize indicative price information (Hong Kong Monetary Authority Central Money Markets Unit Bond Price Bulletin launched January 2006).
  - require standardized reporting of debt trades (India now requires reporting of all debt trades including private placements).
  - allow local currency debt trading via international clearing/settlement (Euroclear, Clearstream).
  - market-makers identify key liquidity enhancers: investor base diversity, hedging products, functioning repo markets, price transparency, tax incentives, efficient clearing/settlement.
- Strengthen sovereign debt management:
  - consolidate issuance, reopen benchmarks, and adopt liability management to enhance liquidity.
  - consider interest rate swap market development as a pricing benchmark where appropriate (e.g., Singapore).
- Market micro-structure reforms for government bond liquidity:
  - measures include auction schedules, bond reopening schemes, repo/securities lending regulations, STRIPS programs, exchange programs, buyback programs (OECD–World Bank–IMF Global Bond Market Forum 2008).
- Develop local bond market indices:
  - indices facilitate trading and attract active asset managers; inclusion criteria (accessibility, regulatory/tax environment) can incentivize reforms.
- Develop derivatives markets in parallel:
  - build simple derivatives after basic liquidity exists; prefer exchange-based trading (examples: Brazil; regional centers Hong Kong SAR and Singapore).
  - benefits: liquidity, price discovery, efficient netting and collateral use, transparency, market surveillance, lower counterparty risks.
- Foster swap markets:
  - permit offshore banks to engage in local currency swap activities; phase out statutory liquidity constraints on swap transactions; allow securities dealers with risk controls to participate.
- Promote covered bonds and ABS cautiously:
  - covered bonds easier to introduce than ABS; require specific rules for covered bonds; ABS development requires rebuilding investor confidence, transparency, disclosure, ratings, incentive alignment, securitization laws, tax/regulatory clarity, foreclosure norms.
  - Korea example: introduced laws post-Asian crisis enabling SPVs and “true sale”.
- Improve data collection and reporting:
  - centralized databases on corporate bonds issued/outstanding, primary and secondary market size, maturity structure, liquidity.
  - adopt methodological standards from the BIS–ECB–IMF Handbook on Securities Statistics (Deutsche Bundesbank, IMF, World Bank (2009)).

### V. Concluding Remarks
- Key challenge: generate financial assets aligned with economic growth to provide collateral for expanding fixed-income markets and domestic/regional investment opportunities.
- Constraints:
  - shortage of good quality financial assets can lead to speculative valuations and global imbalances (Caballero 2006).
  - significant proportion of Asian corporations rated below investment grade, inhibiting issuance and excluding certain investors.
- Potential:
  - growth in residential mortgages and household debt instruments can broaden the collateral pool for fixed-income markets.
  - integrated regional market for local currency bonds could address critical size issues—regional cooperation through ASEAN+3, ABMI, ABFs to harmonize market infrastructure and standards.
  - need to examine firm-level incentives for bond finance uptake—historical bank dependence, issuance costs, and unfamiliarity with bond processes.
- Cultural and structural shifts:
  - develop a credit culture; equity culture and comfortable liquidity positions of banks/corporations may hinder bond market expansion.
  - signs in China and India of a shift toward broader capital market development as corporate credit demand rises.
  - during the global crisis, Asian corporations turned to local corporate bond markets when banks reduced lending—positive indicator for market development (IMF (2010)).
- Outlook:
  - difficult to define critical market size, but expansion in local debt markets in Asia could be rapid given expected growth trajectory.

*Source: _wp11132 - References (IMF PDF content provided).*

### References .............................................................................................................

### _wp11132 - References

### I. Introduction
- Post-1997–1998 regional crisis policy focus: develop domestic debt markets to reduce foreign exchange mismatches and concentration of credit and maturity risks in banks (Committee on the Global Financial System [CGFS] 2007b; Turner 2009).
- Local currency bonds were emphasized as they constitute a significant share of emerging bond markets, especially in Asia (Figure 1).
- Purposes of liquid and deep domestic debt markets:
  - diversify funding of governments, households, and corporations;
  - attract financing for infrastructure needs;
  - broaden assets for local institutional and retail investors;
  - provide an additional channel for financial intermediation if banks are stressed (Gyntelberg, Ma, and Remolona (2006); Gyntelberg (2007); Jiang, Tang, and Law (2002)).
- Crisis impact and recovery:
  - severe retrenchment of capital inflows during the global financial crisis; domestic bond markets saw high volatility and substantially lower liquidity in Q4 2008 (Figures 2 and 3).
  - drop in domestic bond issuance in 2008; recovery in 2009 due to fiscal stimuli and renewed capital inflows.
- Paper scope:
  - Section II: state of local currency debt markets;
  - Section III: main obstacles;
  - Section IV: policy responses;
  - concluding remarks.

### II. The State of Development
- Assessment framework: three key dimensions—(i) hurdles confronting borrowers and lenders; (ii) issues faced by liquidity providers; (iii) presence/absence of supportive government policies and regulations (Chami, Fullenkamp, and Sharma (2010)).

A. Borrowers and Lenders
- Pre-crisis external issuance rose due to:
  - lower costs of foreign currency-denominated issuance in G3 currencies (U.S. dollar, euro, and yen);
  - favorable credit ratings and diversification in currency denomination.
- Borrowing mode determinants:
  - cost of borrowing remains primary determinant; maturity and diversification gaining importance.
  - domestic bond issuance often more costly and cumbersome than bank lending; corporate finance remains bank-dominated and relationship-based.
  - preference for private placements to save on regulatory costs (registration, prospectus, disclosure).
- Corporate bond markets: uneven development
  - relatively more developed: Hong Kong SAR, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore.
  - lagging: India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand (Figure 5).
  - China: corporate bond market represents only 8–9 percent of GDP despite rapid capitalization growth since 2005.
- Institutional investor growth and profiles:
  - pension fund assets: Korea grew at 47 percent per annum during 2002–2007; National Pension Fund >21 percent of GDP in 2007 (mostly in fixed-income securities).
  - mutual funds: India mutual fund industry grew from about $30 billion in 2004 to more than $150 billion as of end-May 2010; China mutual funds AUM CAGR = 67% (Figure 6).
  - Hong Kong SAR and Singapore mutual fund industries derive more than 50 percent of their assets from abroad (Figure 6[b]).
- Foreign investor participation:
  - rising despite crisis-related setbacks; much participation via institutional investors and derivatives (non-deliverable forwards, structured notes, total return swaps).
  - assets under management for dedicated emerging market bond funds rose significantly (Emerging Markets Portfolio Funds Research).
- Regional initiatives:
  - Asian Bond Fund-2 (ABF-2) launched March 2005 introduced Pan Asia Bond Index Fund and a Fund of Bond Funds.
  - Asian Bond Market Initiative (ABMI) under ASEAN+3 catalyzed market infrastructure, securitized debt issuance, regional settlement, and rating agency strengthening.
  - Credit Guarantee and Investment Facility (ADB trust fund) expected to support corporate bond issuance.
- International financial institutions:
  - ADB, IFC, World Bank issued local currency bonds to provide high quality local instruments and build yield curves.
- Finding from research:
  - Mizen and Tsoukas (2010): firm-specific characteristics (prior issuance) more important for public bond issuance than local market size/liquidity; coordinated government policies had little effect on probability of issuance at firm level.

B. Liquidity
- Liquidity dimensions:
  - micro: depth (turnover ratios), tightness (bid–ask spreads), ability to absorb random shocks (price volatility).
  - macro: resilience to macro shocks (e.g., diversified investor base).
- Market liquidity variation across Asia (Table 1):
  - Hong Kong SAR, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore most liquid.
  - Examples of reforms improving liquidity: constant two-way quotes by primary dealers in Korea; development of KTB futures; Singapore interest rate swap market high average daily turnover.
- Table 1 selected indicators (as presented):
  - China: Value Traded Government $5,368 billion; Corporate $1,812 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.68; Corporate Turnover Ratio 1.29; Government Bid-Ask Spread 5.1 bps.
  - Hong Kong SAR: Government Value Traded 5,527 ($ billion?) 1/ Includes Exchange Bills; Government Turnover Ratio 32.48; Government Bid-Ask Spread 0.04 bps; Corporate Turnover Ratio 13.
  - Indonesia: Government Value Traded $40 billion; Corporate $2 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.18; Corporate 0.06; Government Bid-Ask Spread 26.6 bps.
  - Japan: Government Value Traded $44,907 billion; Corporate $277 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 1.36; Corporate 0.08; Government Bid-Ask Spread n.a.
  - Korea: Government Value Traded $1,347 billion; Corporate $363 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.81; Corporate 0.19; Government Bid-Ask Spread 1.1 bps.
  - Malaysia: Government Value Traded $221 billion; Corporate $18 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.59; Corporate 0.06; Government Bid-Ask Spread 2.3 bps.
  - Philippines: Government Value Traded $76 billion; Corporate n.a.; Government Turnover Ratio 0.38; Corporate n.a.; Government Bid-Ask Spread 6.6 bps.
  - Singapore: Government Value Traded $204 billion; Corporate n.a.; Government Turnover Ratio 0.65; Corporate n.a.; Government Bid-Ask Spread 2.9 bps.
  - Thailand: Government Value Traded $368 billion; Corporate $5 billion; Government Turnover Ratio 0.83; Corporate 0.04; Government Bid-Ask Spread 3.4 bps.
  - Note: bps = basis points; Source: AsianBondsOnline [accessed September 2010].
- Liquidity constraints linked to narrow investor base, insufficient infrastructure, low transparency, and pricing information gaps.
- Reforms implemented in some countries: market-makers, modern trading platforms, upgraded payment and settlement systems.
- Secondary market liquidity dependent on foreign investors; access via offshore derivatives can both enhance liquidity and create sudden withdrawals during risk aversion.

C. Regulation
- Post-crisis policy and regulatory reforms supported market development: enhanced regulatory/supervisory capacity; improved corporate governance; active government reforms.
- Country examples of reforms and measures:
  - China: pilot allowing locally-listed banks to buy/sell bonds on stock exchanges since January 2009; corporations including foreign firms allowed to issue in interbank bond market; renminbi liberalized for trading/settlement in Hong Kong SAR.
  - Hong Kong SAR: electronic trading platform for government and corporate bonds launched December 2007.
  - India: January 2009 increase in FII limit for rupee-denominated corporate bonds from $6 billion to $15 billion; Reserve Bank of India Act amended January 2009 to develop and regulate corporate bond market; foreign exchange swap facility for banks with foreign branches/subsidiaries; liberalized limits on Indian mutual funds for overseas investments.
  - Indonesia: July 2008 bond pricing agency; eased reserve requirements on foreign currency deposits from 3 to 1 percent in October 2008.
  - Korea: December 2008 Won 10 trillion bond market stabilization fund; amended supervision regulation to facilitate exchange/off-exchange securities trading; real-time reporting of standardized bids/offers; tax changes to reduce taxes on high-yield funds; removal of withholding taxes on interest income and capital gains in May 2009 (parliament considering reinstatement).
  - Malaysia: Bursa Malaysia waived listing fees for debt securities denominated in ringgit and foreign currencies (waived until 2010); phased liberalization of foreign exchange limits and financial liberalization measures to facilitate foreign participation.
  - Singapore: despite fiscal surpluses, issues debt to develop yield curve; July 2009 MAS measures: accept AAA SGD debt from sovereigns/supranationals/sovereign-backed corporations as collateral for MAS Standing Facility; zero percent haircut for such securities; extended eligibility in July 2010 to public entities rated AAA with Basel zero risk weight.
  - Thailand: allowed foreign governments/financial institutions to issue baht bonds onshore; policies to reduce after-tax interest costs and simplify registration for corporations; amended regulations on securities borrowing/lending and short selling; securities law revised in 2010; relaxation of exchange controls on capital flows.
- Corporate governance:
  - post-crisis reforms: higher disclosure standards, minority shareholder protection, bankruptcy law reforms; enforcement remains uneven.
  - 2006 survey: Hong Kong SAR and Singapore scored high; Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan POC, Thailand lower; China, Indonesia, Philippines among lowest in East Asia.

### III. Obstacles to Further Development
- Major impediments listed:
  - (i) bank dominance;
  - (ii) lack of critical size in issuance;
  - (iii) lack of a diverse investor base and preponderance of buy-and-hold investors;
  - (iv) embryonic legal and regulatory framework for nonbank financial institutions;
  - (v) tax and capital controls on foreign investors;
  - (vi) weak corporate governance;
  - (vii) inadequate information provision, pricing transparency, and infrastructure;
  - (viii) high issuance and transaction costs;
  - (ix) lack of pricing benchmarks and hedging instruments;
  - (x) lack of a robust framework for asset-backed securitization.
- Investor base concentration:
  - buy-and-hold investors (banks, pension funds, insurance companies) dominate; inhibits secondary market liquidity and profitable market intermediation.
  - bank dominance reduces average maturity of issuance (Figure 8).
  - pension funds’ asset allocation often regulated and concentrated in government securities.
- Foreign participation constraints (Table 2 highlights):
  - capital controls, taxation (withholding taxes, capital gains tax), lack of funding and hedging markets, lack of benchmarks.
  - examples: China and India restrict holdings/trading to licensed FIIs; most Asian markets impose withholding taxes on nonresidents with exceptions (Malaysia, Singapore); repo markets often not available to foreigners.
- Structural causes:
  - small average firm size relative to advanced economies makes public bond issuance costly; private placements and external bond markets preferred.
- Legal and enforcement weaknesses:
  - bankruptcy, creditor rights, and enforceability issues hamper market development; many countries still lack robust bankruptcy frameworks—exceptions include Korea, Hong Kong SAR, Malaysia, Singapore (Figure 9).
  - China: legal framework inhibits close-out netting for OTC derivatives.
- Market microstructure issues:
  - fragmentation, high transaction costs, lack of government yield curves as benchmarks, private placement prevalence, and low turnover inhibit arbitrage and active positions.
- Investability and benchmarks:
  - availability of indices (JP Morgan GBI-EM family, iBoxx Pan Asia Index, Citibank World Government Bond Index) helps, but indices may be difficult to replicate cost-effectively by most fund managers.
- Repo and derivatives market constraints:
  - repo markets restricted or unavailable, reducing funding and two-way trading.
  - derivatives largely OTC and underdeveloped except in India, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore; sizable NDF markets for China, India, Korea.
  - exchange-traded interest rate futures present mainly in Hong Kong SAR, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore.
- Asset-backed securitization (ABS) subdued:
  - low incentives to securitize in bank-dominated systems; post-crisis confidence damage to ABS; hurdles include poor legal frameworks, small investor base, high costs, taxes, lack of transparency and borrower default data.
  - India amended Securities Contracts Regulation Act in 2007 but impediments remain (no securitization act, tax/legal uncertainties, weak foreclosure laws, stamp duties).

### IV. Policy Recommendations
- Overarching aim: create deep local currency bond markets as part of a diversified financial system to finance infrastructure and broaden funding channels (Sheng (2010)).
- Strengthen regulation and supervision:
  - build confidence in regulatory, supervisory, and enforcement frameworks for capital markets and nonbank financial institutions.
  - improve information availability: credible rating systems, reporting requirements, adoption of international accounting standards.
  - consider rationalizing/consolidating oversight of nonbank financial institutions; build agency capacity and cross-border cooperation.
  - example: Korea’s Financial Investment Services and Capital Market (Consolidation) Act adopting a functional regulatory approach.
- Build reliable benchmark yield curves:
  - governments can consolidate issuance along chosen segments; timely and regular information provision; reopening longer-dated benchmark issues.
  - Singapore example: lengthened government securities maturities to 15 years, then 20 years; swaps extended up to 30 years—stimulated long-term bond issuance.
- Diversify domestic investor base:
  - attract pensions, insurance, mutual, and hedge funds to shift intermediation from banks to capital markets; diversify banks’ income sources; strengthen governance and risk management.
- Revamp investment regulation for domestic institutional investors:
  - widen eligible local instruments; loosen foreign asset holding limits; ensure reforms accompanied by governance and risk management strengthening.
  - mutual fund regulation: secure legal basis, define manager/custodian roles, disclosure, transparency in issuance/valuation/pricing/redemption.
- Enhance foreign investor participation:
  - lower cost of access; address taxation and capital control issues; improve market access to qualify for investability indices (e.g., JP Morgan GBI-EM).
  - regional hubs (Hong Kong SAR, Singapore) illustrate benefits of foreign access and local repo funding.
- Improve issuance ease and reduce costs:
  - streamline disclosure documents; standardize bond terms; follow International Capital Market Association guidelines; Singapore cited as low-impediment example.
- Increase pricing transparency and market infrastructure:
  - centralize indicative price information (Hong Kong Monetary Authority Central Money Markets Unit Bond Price Bulletin launched January 2006).
  - require standardized reporting of debt trades (India now requires reporting of all debt trades including private placements).
  - allow local currency debt trading via international clearing/settlement (Euroclear, Clearstream).
  - market-makers identify key liquidity enhancers: investor base diversity, hedging products, functioning repo markets, price transparency, tax incentives, efficient clearing/settlement.
- Strengthen sovereign debt management:
  - consolidate issuance, reopen benchmarks, and adopt liability management to enhance liquidity.
  - consider interest rate swap market development as a pricing benchmark where appropriate (e.g., Singapore).
- Market micro-structure reforms for government bond liquidity:
  - measures include auction schedules, bond reopening schemes, repo/securities lending regulations, STRIPS programs, exchange programs, buyback programs (OECD–World Bank–IMF Global Bond Market Forum 2008).
- Develop local bond market indices:
  - indices facilitate trading and attract active asset managers; inclusion criteria (accessibility, regulatory/tax environment) can incentivize reforms.
- Develop derivatives markets in parallel:
  - build simple derivatives after basic liquidity exists; prefer exchange-based trading (examples: Brazil; regional centers Hong Kong SAR and Singapore).
  - benefits: liquidity, price discovery, efficient netting and collateral use, transparency, market surveillance, lower counterparty risks.
- Foster swap markets:
  - permit offshore banks to engage in local currency swap activities; phase out statutory liquidity constraints on swap transactions; allow securities dealers with risk controls to participate.
- Promote covered bonds and ABS cautiously:
  - covered bonds easier to introduce than ABS; require specific rules for covered bonds; ABS development requires rebuilding investor confidence, transparency, disclosure, ratings, incentive alignment, securitization laws, tax/regulatory clarity, foreclosure norms.
  - Korea example: introduced laws post-Asian crisis enabling SPVs and “true sale”.
- Improve data collection and reporting:
  - centralized databases on corporate bonds issued/outstanding, primary and secondary market size, maturity structure, liquidity.
  - adopt methodological standards from the BIS–ECB–IMF Handbook on Securities Statistics (Deutsche Bundesbank, IMF, World Bank (2009)).

### V. Concluding Remarks
- Key challenge: generate financial assets aligned with economic growth to provide collateral for expanding fixed-income markets and domestic/regional investment opportunities.
- Constraints:
  - shortage of good quality financial assets can lead to speculative valuations and global imbalances (Caballero 2006).
  - significant proportion of Asian corporations rated below investment grade, inhibiting issuance and excluding certain investors.
- Potential:
  - growth in residential mortgages and household debt instruments can broaden the collateral pool for fixed-income markets.
  - integrated regional market for local currency bonds could address critical size issues—regional cooperation through ASEAN+3, ABMI, ABFs to harmonize market infrastructure and standards.
  - need to examine firm-level incentives for bond finance uptake—historical bank dependence, issuance costs, and unfamiliarity with bond processes.
- Cultural and structural shifts:
  - develop a credit culture; equity culture and comfortable liquidity positions of banks/corporations may hinder bond market expansion.
  - signs in China and India of a shift toward broader capital market development as corporate credit demand rises.
  - during the global crisis, Asian corporations turned to local corporate bond markets when banks reduced lending—positive indicator for market development (IMF (2010)).
- Outlook:
  - difficult to define critical market size, but expansion in local debt markets in Asia could be rapid given expected growth trajectory.

*Source: _wp11132 - References (IMF PDF content provided).*

### REFERENCES

### _wp11132 - REFERENCES

### References

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*Source: _wp11132 - REFERENCES*

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_Source: https://www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported-full-text-pdf/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/_wp11132.pdf_
