India: 2013 Article IV Consultation
February 6, 2013
Summary
India’s economy has slowed substantially before and after the global financial crisis. The economy is in a weaker position than before the crisis. With investment particularly hard-hit, potential GDP is likely to be lower than estimated. Inflation is constraining the room for monetary policy easing. Banks’ capital ratios have fallen slightly, but asset quality is deteriorating considerably. The current account deficit registered a record high in 2011–12. Delivering on structural reforms, fiscal consolidation, and low inflation are critical for a sustained recovery.
Subject: Balance of payments, Banking, Current account deficits, External debt, Financial services, Inflation, Prices, Public debt, Real interest rates
Keywords: anchor inflation expectation, core WPI inflation, CPI trend, CR, Current account deficits, deficit, Global, headline WPI inflation, Inflation, inflation expectation, inflation expectations survey, ISCR, Real interest rates, South Asia, U.S. dollar
Pages:
94
Volume:
2013
DOI:
Issue:
037
Series:
Country Report No. 2013/037
Stock No:
1INDEA2013002
ISBN:
9781475594225
ISSN:
1934-7685





