Montenegro: 2011 Article IV Consultation—Staff Report; Public Information Notice; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro
IMF Staff Country Reports, May 6, 2011
Source details
- Canonical URL
- Montenegro: 2011 Article IV Consultation—Staff Report; Public Information Notice; and Statement by the Executive Director for Montenegro
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Bibliographic details
- Published: May 6, 2011
- Series: IMF Staff Country Reports
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781455272488.002
Context and baseline
- Since its independence in 2006, Montenegro has experienced an economic and financial roller coaster ride.
- The baseline is predicated on continued improvements in cost competitiveness and productivity-raising foreign direct investment (FDI).
- Avoiding a relapse into recession will require strengthening the health of the banking system and removing impediments to restructuring the economy.
- Montenegro’s attractiveness to investors will depend on reducing macroeconomic and structural vulnerabilities.
- The business environment needs to be further improved.
- Redressing solvency issues and improving liquidity were jointly seen as priority tasks.
Key findings and analysis
- Economic trajectory characterized by volatility since 2006; stabilization depends on cost competitiveness and FDI-led productivity gains.
- Major vulnerabilities identified:
- Banking system health concerns (solvency and liquidity).
- Structural impediments to economic restructuring.
- Macroeconomic and structural vulnerabilities undermining investor confidence.
- Policy focus needed on measures that both restore financial sector stability and enhance the investment climate.
Policy recommendations and priorities
- Strengthen the health of the banking system:
- Address solvency issues.
- Improve liquidity conditions.
- Remove impediments to restructuring the economy to prevent relapse into recession.
- Improve the business environment to increase attractiveness to investors and foster productivity-raising FDI.
- Reduce macroeconomic and structural vulnerabilities to support sustained recovery and investor confidence.
Content in this bundle
- _cr11100 — Executive Summary