Georgia: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Georgia
IMF Staff Country Reports, May 24, 2024
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- Georgia: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Georgia
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Bibliographic details
- Published: May 24, 2024
- Series: IMF Staff Country Reports
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400274602.002
Economic performance and outlook
- Georgia’s economic performance remains robust.
- Growth has moderated from double digits but remains high.
- Inflation is low.
- Fiscal and financial buffers are healthy.
- EU candidate status has boosted sentiment.
- The global environment remains highly uncertain due to ongoing conflicts and shifting geo-economic patterns.
Risks and recommended resilience measures
- Continue to strengthen resilience to adverse shocks by maintaining prudent macroeconomic policies.
- Capitalize on new economic opportunities and make decisive progress toward EU accession to boost growth potential.
- Structural reforms are needed to achieve stronger, more inclusive, and job-rich growth.
Fiscal policy guidance
- Modest further fiscal adjustment is appropriate in the medium term.
- Purpose: to build sufficient buffers under the fiscal rule and create room for productive spending.
Monetary policy and exchange rate management
- Monetary policy normalization should proceed gradually and cautiously, to ensure core inflation remains close to target.
- Continued exchange rate flexibility is essential.
- Reserve build-up is recommended to guard against external shocks.
Financial sector vigilance and specific risks
- Maintain financial sector vigilance to guard against risks, including from capital inflows, virtual assets, and sanctions.
Policy priorities summary
- Preserve prudent macroeconomic stance (fiscal and monetary).
- Build buffers under the fiscal rule while allowing room for productive spending.
- Gradual monetary normalization to keep core inflation near target.
- Maintain exchange rate flexibility and accumulate reserves.
- Strengthen financial sector oversight against emerging risks.
- Undertake structural reforms to raise long-term, inclusive, and job-rich growth prospects, and advance EU accession efforts.
Source: Georgia: 2024 Article IV Consultation; Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Georgia (May 24, 2024).
Content in this bundle
- 1geoea2024001