IMF Publications by Subject
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Prediction theory:
2019
Title: The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China’s Shrinking Current Account Surplus
Series: Working Paper No. 19/244
Date: November 8, 2019
Subject: Accounting Aging Assets Balance of trade Bank deposits Bilateral trade Bonds Capital Capital account Capital flows Capital inflows Capital outflows Centrally planned economies Commodities Commodity markets Commodity prices Comparative advantage Consumer goods Consumption Credit Credit demand Credit policy Currencies Current account Current account balances Current account deficits Current account surpluses Debt Demand Development Domestic credit Domestic savings Economic sectors Economies Equilibrium (Economics) European Union Exchange rate appreciation Exchange rate depreciation Exchange rate regimes Exchange rates Export growth Export markets Export prices Exports Financial account Financial crises Financial systems Fiscal balance Fiscal policy Fixed exchange rates Flexible exchange rates Foreign currency deposits Foreign direct investment Foreign exchange Foreign exchange reserves Fuels Global imbalances Goods Government expenditures Gross domestic product Household consumption Housing Import prices Import substitution Import tariffs Imports Income accounting Income inequality Industry Inflation Infrastructure Institutional investment Interest rates International investment position International monetary system International reserves International trade Intervention Investment Liabilities Loans Manufacturing Market economies Migrations Monetary policy Oil Oil prices Patterns of trade Pension funds Policy instruments Population Prediction theory Price increases Prices Private consumption Private sector Production Products Profit margins Public investments Purchasing power Reserve assets Reserves Risk management Savings Services Services sector Social policy Social safety nets Stocks Structural fiscal balance Tariffs Taxation Taxes Touris
2018
Title: The Distributional Effects of Government Spending Shocks in Developing Economies
Series: Working Paper No. 18/57
Date: March 14, 2018
Subject: Business cycles Commodity prices Consumption Developing countries Development Disposable income Economic conditions Economic indicators Economic recession Economies Emerging markets Estate taxes Expenditure composition Expenditures Exports External shocks Fiscal consolidation Fiscal policy Fiscal stimulus Fiscal sustainability Government consumption Government expenditures Gross domestic product Imports Income distribution Income inequality Income shocks Incomes policy Inflation Investment Labor Market economies Military expenditures Nonlinear theories Oil crisis Oil prices Poverty Poverty and inequality Poverty measurement Prediction theory Production Production growth Productivity Progressive taxation Public investments Revenue measures Revenues Social benefits Social welfare programs Statistics Stocks Structural vector autoregression Tax changes Terms of trade Time series Unemployment Vector autoregression
2007
Title: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2
Series: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 2
Date: September 26, 2007
Subject: Budget deficits Capital account Debt service Developing countries Economic forecasting Economic indicators Economic stabilization Equilibrium (Economics) Exchange rates External debt Financial crises Fiscal policy Inflation Money Political economy Prediction theory Staff papers
2005
Title: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3
Series: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 3
Date: December 22, 2005
Notes: Issues from 1998 onward are available for free online
Subject: Asset markets Bonds Crisis management Developing countries Econometric models Employee selection Financial crises Fiscal transparency Foreign currency deposits Labor productivity Panel analysis Prediction theory Regression analysis Terms of trade Training Vector autoregression