IMF Publications by Subject
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Production growth:
2020
Title: Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning
Series: Working Paper No. 20/45
Date: February 28, 2020
Subject: Capacity utilization Economic growth Emerging markets Production growth Stock markets
Title: The More the Merrier? A Machine Learning Algorithm for Optimal Pooling of Panel Data
Series: Working Paper No. 20/44
Date: February 28, 2020
Subject: Data analysis Developing countries Economic models Emerging markets Production growth
2019
Title: The Negative Mean Output Gap
Series: Working Paper No. 19/183
Date: August 23, 2019
Subject: Accounting systems Bank rates Bond yields Business cycles Capital Capital stocks Central banking Central Banks Consumption Cost of capital Data processing Debt Demand Economic policy Economic recession Economies Employment Fiscal consolidation Fiscal policy Goods Government expenditures Gross domestic product Gross national product Hiring Inflation Inflation rates Interest rates Investment Labor Labor market friction Labor markets Labor shortages Monetary policy Potential output Price adjustments Prices Production Production functions Production growth Productivity Public debt Real wages Risk premium Shock identification Supply Supply and demand Time series Total factor productivity Unemployment Wage adjustments Wage bargaining Wage bill Wage flexibility Wage increases Wage reductions Wages
Title: Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis
Series: Working Paper No. 19/35
Date: February 19, 2019
Subject: Business cycles Capacity utilization Potential output Production growth Unemployment
2018
Title: Demographics and Interest Rates in Asia
Series: Working Paper No. 18/172
Date: July 27, 2018
Subject: Age-related spending Aging Arbitrage Asia Asset bubbles Asset prices Bond yields Capital Capital account Capital inflows Capital markets Central banking Central Banks Current account Current account balances Debt Demand Demographic indicators Demographic transition Developed countries Development Domestic investment Domestic savings Economic integration Economic recession Economies Emerging markets Expenditures Financial account Financial crises Financial markets Financial risk Financial systems Fiscal balance Fiscal data General equilibrium models Gross domestic product Human fertility Income inequality Inflation expectations Interest Interest rate increases Interest rate structures Interest rates Investment Labor force Labor markets Labor productivity Macroprudential policies and financial stability Market economies Market interest rates Monetary policy Negative interest rates Older people Open economies Pensions Population Population growth Potential output Precautionary savings Price stabilization Prices Private savings Production growth Productivity Real interest rates Retirement Savings Small open economies Statistics Supply Supply and demand Tax revenue Unemployment
Title: World Economic Outlook, April 2018 : Cyclical Upswing, Structural Change
Series: World Economic and Financial Surveys
Date: April 17, 2018
Subject: Economic growth Economic integration Economies Employment Information technology Innovation spillovers Labor force participation Labor markets Manufacturing Manufacturing sector Market economies Population growth Production Production growth Spillovers Technology transfer
Title: A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia
Series: Departmental Paper No. 18/06
Date: April 10, 2018
Subject: Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of Algeria Armenia Azerbaijan Bahrain Djibouti Economic growth Economic reforms Economic stabilization Egypt Fiscal analysis Fiscal management Fiscal policy Georgia Growth acceleration Iran, Islamic Republic of Iraq Jordan Kazakhstan Kuwait Kyrgyz Republic Lebanon Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Mauritania Middle East Middle East and Central Asia Morocco Oman Pakistan Production growth Public financial management Qatar Regional economics Saudi Arabia Somalia Sudan Syrian Arab Republic Tajikistan Tunisia Turkmenistan United Arab Emirates Uzbekistan Yemen, Republic of
Title: The Distributional Effects of Government Spending Shocks in Developing Economies
Series: Working Paper No. 18/57
Date: March 14, 2018
Subject: Business cycles Commodity prices Consumption Developing countries Development Disposable income Economic conditions Economic indicators Economic recession Economies Emerging markets Estate taxes Expenditure composition Expenditures Exports External shocks Fiscal consolidation Fiscal policy Fiscal stimulus Fiscal sustainability Government consumption Government expenditures Gross domestic product Imports Income distribution Income inequality Income shocks Incomes policy Inflation Investment Labor Market economies Military expenditures Nonlinear theories Oil crisis Oil prices Poverty Poverty and inequality Poverty measurement Prediction theory Production Production growth Productivity Progressive taxation Public investments Revenue measures Revenues Social benefits Social welfare programs Statistics Stocks Structural vector autoregression Tax changes Terms of trade Time series Unemployment Vector autoregression
Title: The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters
Series: Working Paper No. 18/56
Date: March 13, 2018
Subject: Agriculture Climate policy Climatic changes Consumption Demand Developed countries Development Economic growth Economic indicators Economic recession Economic theory Economies Emerging markets Energy Energy policy Energy sector Environmental policy Exports Financial crises Fossil fuels Greenhouse gas emissions Gross domestic product Imports Industry International trade Market economies Nonlinear theories Oil Policy instruments Population Production Production growth Renewable resources Service exports Services Services industry Services sector Statistics Stocks Time series Trade partners Transition economies
Title: How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?
Series: Working Paper No. 18/39
Date: March 5, 2018
Subject: Business cycles Economic forecasting Economic growth Economic models Economic recession Financial crises Production growth