IMF Publications by Subject
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Rational expectations:
2025
Title: An Evaluation of World Economic Outlook Forecasts: Any Evidence of Asymmetry?
Series: Working Paper No. 2025/031
Date: January 31, 2025
Subject: Economic forecasting Economic growth Economic recession Economic theory Labor Rational expectations Unemployment rate
2024
Title: The Consequences of Falling Behind the Curve: Inflation Shocks and Policy Delays Under Rational and Behavioral Expectations
Series: Working Paper No. 2024/042
Date: March 1, 2024
Subject: Central bank policy rate Economic theory Financial services Inflation Output gap Prices Production Rational expectations Real interest rates
Title: U.S. Inflation Expectations During the Pandemic
Series: Working Paper No. 2024/025
Date: February 9, 2024
Subject: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models Econometric analysis Economic forecasting Economic theory Income Inflation National accounts Prices Rational expectations
2022
Title: Shocks to Inflation Expectations
Series: Working Paper No. 2022/072
Date: April 29, 2022
Subject: Econometric analysis Economic theory Inflation Machine learning Neoclassical theory Prices Rational expectations Technology Vector autoregression
2021
Title: Uncertainty Premia, Sovereign Default Risk, and State-Contingent Debt
Series: Working Paper No. 2021/076
Date: March 12, 2021
Subject: Asset prices Bonds Debt default Economic sectors Economic theory External debt Financial crises Financial institutions Prices Public debt Rational expectations
2018
Title: How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/039
Date: March 5, 2018
Subject: Economic theory Production Production growth Rational expectations
2014
Title: Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel
Series: Working Paper No. 2014/031
Date: February 12, 2014
Subject: Econometric analysis Economic theory Estimation techniques Expenditure Public expenditure review Rational expectations
2013
Title: Solving and Estimating Indeterminate DSGE Models
Series: Working Paper No. 2013/200
Date: October 1, 2013
Subject: Estimation techniques Labor Neoclassical theory Rational expectations
Title: Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel
Series: Working Paper No. 2013/056
Date: February 27, 2013
Subject: Econometric analysis Economic forecasting Economic theory Estimation techniques Rational expectations
2012
Title: Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts
Series: Working Paper No. 2012/296
Date: December 20, 2012
Subject: Economic forecasting Economic theory Industrial production Inflation Oil prices Prices Production Rational expectations
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