A Practical Guide to Public Debt Dynamics, Fiscal Sustainability, and Cyclical Adjustment of Budgetary Aggregates
Technical Notes and Manuals, January 27, 2010
Source details
- Canonical URL
- A Practical Guide to Public Debt Dynamics, Fiscal Sustainability, and Cyclical Adjustment of Budgetary Aggregates
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Julio Escolano
- Published: January 27, 2010
- Series: Technical Notes and Manuals
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781462396955.005
Summary and purpose
- Presents a practical guide to public debt dynamics, fiscal sustainability, and cyclical adjustment of budgetary aggregates.
- Discusses fiscal formulas of practical use in fiscal analysis.
- Derives formulas for:
- debt dynamics, and
- cyclical and inflation adjustment of budgetary aggregates.
- Discusses other relationships for special applications, and some practical implications and usage.
- Debt-dynamics formulas are based on the assumption that changes in liabilities are the result of above-the-line budgetary operations.
Core analytical content
- Fiscal formulas for debt dynamics and cyclical/inflation adjustment of budgetary aggregates.
- Derivations provided for:
- debt dynamics formulas,
- cyclical adjustment formulas,
- inflation adjustment formulas.
- Additional relationships for special applications are discussed alongside practical implications and usage.
Key assumptions and terminology
- Assumption explicitly stated: changes in liabilities are the result of above-the-line budgetary operations.
- Technical and domain terms preserved and central:
- balance ratio, budget balance, Budget planning and preparation, cyclical adjustment, Cyclically adjusted balance, debt path, debt ratio, debt ratio decline, Fiscal stance, Government budget constraint, Interest payments, interest rate, Ponzi game, potential GDP, Public debt dynamics, target debt ratio, TNM.
Practical implications and usage (as described)
- Provides formulas intended for practical use in fiscal analysis and fiscal planning.
- Offers guidance on applying cyclical and inflation adjustments to budgetary aggregates for analysis of public debt dynamics and fiscal sustainability.
Content in this bundle
- Box 1. Notation Glossary