How Does Bank Competition Affect Solvency, Liquidity and Credit Risk? Evidence from the MENA Countries
IMF Working Papers, September 29, 2015
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- How Does Bank Competition Affect Solvency, Liquidity and Credit Risk? Evidence from the MENA Countries
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Raja Almarzoqi, Alessandro Scopelliti
- Published: September 29, 2015
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513581910.001
Summary of main findings
- Price competition has a positive effect on bank liquidity by inducing self-discipline incentives on banks for the choice of bank funding sources and for the holding of liquid assets.
- Price competition may have a potentially negative impact on bank solvency and on the credit quality of the loan portfolio.
- More competitive banks may be less solvent if the potential increase in the equity base—due to capital adjustments—is not large enough to compensate for the reduction in bank profitability.
- Banks subject to stronger competitive pressures may have a higher rate of nonperforming loans if the increase in the risk-taking incentives from the lender’s side overcomes the decrease in the credit risk from the borrower’s side.
- Country-specific policies for market entry conditions—and for bank regulation and supervision—may significantly affect the sign and the size of the relationship between competition and bank stability.
Analytical mechanisms identified
- Liquidity channel:
- Price competition → greater self-discipline on funding choices → higher holdings of liquid assets → improved bank liquidity.
- Solvency channel:
- Price competition → reduced bank profitability → possible need for capital adjustments.
- If capital adjustments do not sufficiently increase the equity base, solvency may decline.
- Credit-risk channel:
- Competition affects lender risk-taking incentives and borrower credit risk.
- Net effect on nonperforming loans depends on whether lender-side risk-taking increases more than borrower-side credit risk decreases.
Policy recommendations
- Improve market contestability to shape competitive dynamics positively.
- Increase the quality and independence of prudential supervision to mitigate potential adverse effects of competition on solvency and credit risk.
- Tailor country-specific policies for market entry conditions and for bank regulation and supervision to influence the sign and magnitude of competition–stability relationships.