IMF Working Papers

Can Financial Soundness Indicators Help Predict Financial Sector Distress?

ByMarcin Pietrzak

July 23, 2021

Preview Citation

Format: Chicago

Marcin Pietrzak. Can Financial Soundness Indicators Help Predict Financial Sector Distress?, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 2021) accessed 12/7/2025

Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary

This paper shows how the role of Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs) in financial surveillance can be usefully enhanced. Drawing from different statistical techniques, the paper illustrates that FSIs generate signals that can accurately detect, with 4 to 12 quarters lead, emerging financial distress—as measured by tight financial conditions.

  • Pages:

    55

  • Volume:

    ---

  • DOI:

    ---

  • Issue:

    ---

  • Series:

    Working Paper No. 2021/197

  • Stock No:

    WPIEA2021197

  • ISBN:

    9781513593005

  • ISSN:

    1018-5941