IMF Working Papers

This paper combines labor force survey microdata with measures of occupational AI exposure and complementarity to examine the potential impact of recent advancements in AI on the Philippine labor market. We find that around one third of workers are highly exposed to AI with around sixty percent of those also rated highly complementary, indicating potential productivity gains. College-educated, young, urban, female, and well-paid workers in the services sector are most exposed. Business process outsourcing (BPO) is identified as the sector with the highest proportion of jobs at risk of displacement. Addressing regulatory gaps, infrastructure needs, and workforce reskilling is crucial to maximize benefits and mitigate negative impacts.