## Reducing Risks in Asia with Macroprudential Policies

_IMF Blog, April 30, 2014_

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**Canonical URL:** [Reducing Risks in Asia with Macroprudential Policies](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2014/04/30/reducing-risks-in-asia-with-macroprudential-policies)

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## Bibliographic details
- Authors: Edda Zoli
- Published: April 30, 2014

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### Context and challenges
- Booming real estate markets, rapid credit growth and—at least before the Fed’s tapering announcement last year—sustained capital inflows have raised financial stability challenges across many parts of Asia.
- Policymakers have increasingly used macroprudential policies that address the stability of the financial system as a whole rather than that of individual institutions.
- In some cases policymakers have also resorted to capital flow management measures to counter large capital inflows.

### Use of macroprudential policies in Asia
- Asia stands out for more extensive use of macroprudential measures than elsewhere, particularly housing-related measures.
- Many economies in the region have been heavy users of caps on loan-to-value ratios (the ratio between the size of the mortgage loan and the value of the house being purchased).
- Since 2000 tightening of loan-to-value ratios has occurred more than twice as often in Asia as it has in Central and Eastern Europe/Community of Independent States, advanced Europe, and North America.
- Macroprudential policies were most heavily tightened in the pre‑crisis boom period during 2006–07, and then again after the crisis as capital flowed back into the region and asset prices soared.
- Economies that experienced large capital inflows or housing and credit booms (Hong Kong SAR, Korea, Singapore, and Thailand) were the heaviest users.
- Asian economies with relatively less open financial accounts have taken a smaller number of residency-based capital flow measures or actions to discourage transactions in foreign currency than countries in Central and Eastern Europe and Latin America.

### Empirical evidence and impacts
- New empirical evidence on 13 Asian economies since 2000 indicates the following effects of housing-related macroprudential instruments:
  - Caps on loan-to-value ratios and the taxation of housing transactions have helped lower credit growth.
  - These measures have slowed house price inflation.
  - These measures have dampened bank leverage (although the latter effect is fairly small).
- No such effects are found for non-housing related macroprudential policies and capital flow measures in the empirical analysis presented; however, some non-housing measures may still have boosted resilience to shocks.
- Example: Measures introduced in Korea in 2010 to discourage foreign currency transactions have been followed by a decline in banks’ short-term foreign currency borrowing, thus reducing their vulnerability to foreign funding shocks.
- Overall assessment: while macroprudential policies are no substitute for warranted macroeconomic policy adjustment, they seem to have served the region well.

### Recalibrating macroprudential policies — considerations and recommendations
- Macroprudential policies were loosened in a counter-cyclical fashion during the 2008–09 global financial crisis.
- More experience is needed on whether and how these instruments should be recalibrated as the financial cycle turns.
- The main policymaker challenge: strike the right balance between preserving future resilience to shocks and averting asset price collapses and excessive deleveraging.
- The rolling back of policies may depend on factors such as:
  - how acute is the downturn in the financial cycle, and
  - how strong are local balance sheets,
  - and may vary across different measures.
- Specific policy implications suggested:
  - Accumulated capital buffers would typically be used to avoid a procyclical contraction in loan supply.
  - Widespread adoption across Asia of countercyclical capital requirements and dynamic provisioning in the future could be helpful to foster the buildup of buffers in the upward phase of the cycle.
  - In a downswing of the financial cycle, reserve requirements could also be lowered to release additional liquidity.
  - Whether policymakers should ease housing-related tools and measures to discourage foreign currency transactions is more controversial.
  - Where regulation is currently very tight, there may be a case for relaxing these instruments after assessing the soundness of banks’ and households’ balance sheets.

*Source: Reducing Risks in Asia with Macroprudential Policies, Edda Zoli, April 30, 2014.*

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- **Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific — Executive Summary**
  - [Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific — Executive Summary (Markdown version)](/external/pubs/ft/reo/2014/apd/eng/areo0414.pdf.md){rel="alternate" type="text/markdown"}
  - [Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific — Executive Summary (PDF)](/external/pubs/ft/reo/2014/apd/eng/areo0414.pdf){rel="external" type="application/pdf"}

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## References

- [https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/figure-one.jpg](https://www.imf.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/figure-one.jpg)

_Source: https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2014/04/30/reducing-risks-in-asia-with-macroprudential-policies_
